MSFT Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 38 trades in period
-6.90%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,547.44
Current Value
55%
Win Rate
$10,255.55
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,863
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
75 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,255.55
Current Value
$9,547.44
Period P&L
$-708.04
Max Drawdown
-10.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
21 /
17
Best Trade
+1.54%
Worst Trade
-2.28%
Avg Trade Return
-0.19%
Avg Hold Time
8.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$758,215.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-708.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$-708.04
Gross Return
-6.90%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.90%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 75 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,255.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 3:45pm ET | $509.33 | 20 | $10,186.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $510.40 | 20 | $10,208.00 | $10,276.98 |
+$21.50 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $499.75 | 20 | $9,995.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 9:35am ET | $499.07 | 20 | $9,981.39 | $10,263.37 |
$-13.61 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 9:35am ET | $491.41 | 20 | $9,828.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 9:55am ET | $494.67 | 20 | $9,893.40 | $10,328.57 |
+$65.20 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:05am ET | $489.15 | 21 | $10,272.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 1:10pm ET | $483.23 | 21 | $10,147.73 | $10,204.25 |
$-124.32 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 3:25pm ET | $473.39 | 21 | $9,941.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $474.89 | 21 | $9,972.69 | $10,235.75 |
+$31.50 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $471.28 | 21 | $9,896.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 9:40am ET | $467.88 | 21 | $9,825.48 | $10,164.35 |
$-71.40 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 1:15pm ET | $485.78 | 20 | $9,715.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 1:45pm ET | $486.92 | 20 | $9,738.42 | $10,187.17 |
+$22.82 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 2:20pm ET | $488.21 | 20 | $9,764.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 3:35pm ET | $487.98 | 20 | $9,759.60 | $10,182.67 |
$-4.50 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $476.20 | 21 | $10,000.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 10:30am ET | $483.53 | 21 | $10,154.03 | $10,336.60 |
+$153.93 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 11:05am ET | $476.90 | 21 | $10,014.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 11:25am ET | $478.14 | 21 | $10,040.84 | $10,362.53 |
+$25.94 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 11:25am ET | $479.28 | 21 | $10,064.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 12:20pm ET | $480.42 | 21 | $10,088.82 | $10,386.55 |
+$24.02 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 1:05pm ET | $490.10 | 21 | $10,292.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 1:15pm ET | $491.00 | 21 | $10,311.00 | $10,405.45 |
+$18.90 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $480.70 | 21 | $10,094.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 9:35am ET | $478.97 | 21 | $10,058.32 | $10,369.17 |
$-36.28 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 3:30pm ET | $483.16 | 21 | $10,146.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 12:15pm ET | $478.51 | 21 | $10,048.75 | $10,271.55 |
$-97.61 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 1:20pm ET | $473.49 | 21 | $9,943.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 1:50pm ET | $474.15 | 21 | $9,957.05 | $10,285.41 |
+$13.86 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 3:50pm ET | $477.24 | 21 | $10,022.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $476.06 | 21 | $9,997.26 | $10,260.63 |
$-24.78 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 1:45pm ET | $484.66 | 21 | $10,177.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 3:50pm ET | $485.74 | 21 | $10,200.44 | $10,283.31 |
+$22.68 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $486.50 | 21 | $10,216.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $485.34 | 21 | $10,192.14 | $10,258.95 |
$-24.36 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 1:10pm ET | $486.57 | 21 | $10,217.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 1:35pm ET | $487.29 | 21 | $10,233.09 | $10,274.07 |
+$15.12 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 2:50pm ET | $487.87 | 21 | $10,245.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 3:35pm ET | $488.31 | 21 | $10,254.51 | $10,283.31 |
+$9.24 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $482.32 | 21 | $10,128.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $480.15 | 21 | $10,083.15 | $10,237.79 |
$-45.53 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 1:05pm ET | $473.98 | 21 | $9,953.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 1:45pm ET | $475.19 | 21 | $9,978.89 | $10,263.09 |
+$25.30 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 1:55pm ET | $487.58 | 21 | $10,239.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 2:00pm ET | $486.79 | 21 | $10,222.59 | $10,246.50 |
$-16.59 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 2:10pm ET | $476.49 | 21 | $10,006.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:10pm ET | $477.66 | 21 | $10,030.76 | $10,270.97 |
+$24.46 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:25am ET | $478.59 | 21 | $10,050.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 11:10am ET | $479.46 | 21 | $10,068.66 | $10,289.24 |
+$18.27 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 12:55pm ET | $467.69 | 22 | $10,289.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 3:00pm ET | $467.91 | 22 | $10,293.91 | $10,293.97 |
+$4.73 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 10:45am ET | $457.65 | 22 | $10,068.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:55am ET | $459.46 | 22 | $10,108.12 | $10,333.90 |
+$39.93 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 3:20pm ET | $461.27 | 22 | $10,147.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $451.40 | 22 | $9,930.69 | $10,116.64 |
$-217.25 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $450.65 | 22 | $9,914.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $449.43 | 22 | $9,887.37 | $10,089.72 |
$-26.93 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:45pm ET | $450.53 | 22 | $9,911.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:45pm ET | $450.90 | 22 | $9,919.80 | $10,097.86 |
+$8.14 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $465.81 | 21 | $9,782.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 9:45am ET | $467.70 | 21 | $9,821.70 | $10,137.55 |
+$39.69 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 3:25pm ET | $480.60 | 21 | $10,092.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:45am ET | $481.31 | 21 | $10,107.51 | $10,152.46 |
+$14.91 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $432.38 | 23 | $9,944.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 11:35am ET | $425.12 | 23 | $9,777.76 | $9,985.48 |
$-166.98 (-1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 3:00pm ET | $428.52 | 23 | $9,855.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 3:05pm ET | $427.64 | 23 | $9,835.72 | $9,965.24 |
$-20.24 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $416.55 | 23 | $9,580.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:05pm ET | $412.42 | 23 | $9,485.77 | $9,870.25 |
$-94.99 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.6h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 3:25pm ET | $415.16 | 23 | $9,548.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $405.70 | 23 | $9,331.10 | $9,652.67 |
$-217.58 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $412.59 | 23 | $9,489.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:45pm ET | $414.33 | 23 | $9,529.56 | $9,692.64 |
+$39.97 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $409.70 | 23 | $9,423.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 12:20pm ET | $403.39 | 23 | $9,277.90 | $9,547.44 |
$-145.20 (-1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,547.44
Net Profit/Loss:
$-452.56
Total Return:
-4.53%