Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,880
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
71 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (4 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,567.77
Current Value
$11,496.99
Period P&L
$929.19
Max Drawdown
-23.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
20 / 14
Best Trade
+5.49%
Worst Trade
-8.72%
Avg Trade Return
+0.28%
Avg Hold Time
5.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$729,823.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$929.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$929.19
Gross Return
+8.79%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.79%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 71 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 34 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,567.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $242.44 43 $10,424.92
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:35am ET $241.49 43 $10,384.24 $10,527.12 $-40.68
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET $223.41 47 $10,500.04
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 9:35am ET $222.93 47 $10,477.71 $10,504.80 $-22.32
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 12:10pm ET $198.25 52 $10,309.00
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 1:15pm ET $199.70 52 $10,384.40 $10,580.20 +$75.40
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $224.62 47 $10,557.14
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:35am ET $223.98 47 $10,526.83 $10,549.88 $-30.32
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 2:10pm ET $240.23 43 $10,329.89
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 2:45pm ET $240.98 43 $10,362.14 $10,582.13 +$32.25
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 11:45am ET $233.20 45 $10,494.00
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 11:55am ET $233.95 45 $10,527.91 $10,616.04 +$33.91
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 2:55pm ET $247.18 42 $10,381.56
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET $252.84 42 $10,619.28 $10,853.76 +$237.72
(+2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 12:15pm ET $262.30 41 $10,754.30
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 1:50pm ET $261.49 41 $10,721.09 $10,820.55 $-33.21
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $249.45 43 $10,726.14
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 11:55am ET $242.64 43 $10,433.52 $10,527.94 $-292.62
(-2.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 2:20pm ET $240.94 43 $10,360.21
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 9:55am ET $239.03 43 $10,278.11 $10,445.84 $-82.10
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:35am ET $231.16 45 $10,402.42
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 1:00pm ET $225.77 45 $10,159.43 $10,202.85 $-242.99
(-2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 2:40pm ET $251.05 40 $10,042.00
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 3:35pm ET $252.79 40 $10,111.60 $10,272.45 +$69.60
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:50pm ET $265.78 38 $10,099.64
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $272.50 38 $10,355.00 $10,527.81 +$255.36
(+2.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 1:35pm ET $275.60 38 $10,472.82
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 2:20pm ET $276.35 38 $10,501.28 $10,556.28 +$28.47
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 11:00am ET $284.62 37 $10,530.94
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 12:55pm ET $284.53 37 $10,527.61 $10,552.95 $-3.33
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 3:05pm ET $293.67 35 $10,278.45
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $289.31 35 $10,125.85 $10,400.35 $-152.60
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 12:05pm ET $311.63 33 $10,283.63
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 1:25pm ET $312.30 33 $10,305.90 $10,422.62 +$22.28
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:25pm ET $338.84 30 $10,165.20
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:00pm ET $340.01 30 $10,200.15 $10,457.58 +$34.95
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $324.44 32 $10,382.08
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 2:45pm ET $327.52 32 $10,480.68 $10,556.18 +$98.60
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $342.43 30 $10,272.90
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET $348.01 30 $10,440.30 $10,723.58 +$167.40
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET $343.80 31 $10,657.80
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:40am ET $342.19 31 $10,607.89 $10,673.66 $-49.91
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:45am ET $331.81 32 $10,617.76
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 11:25am ET $335.20 32 $10,726.40 $10,782.30 +$108.64
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:00pm ET $341.07 31 $10,573.17
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET $359.80 31 $11,153.82 $11,362.95 +$580.65
(+5.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $361.60 31 $11,209.45
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:45pm ET $365.66 31 $11,335.46 $11,488.96 +$126.02
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET $382.14 30 $11,464.05
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:30am ET $386.62 30 $11,598.60 $11,623.51 +$134.55
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 11:30am ET $400.64 29 $11,618.56
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $399.28 29 $11,579.12 $11,584.07 $-39.44
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:20pm ET $390.25 29 $11,317.11
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $402.17 29 $11,662.93 $11,929.89 +$345.82
(+3.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET $429.57 27 $11,598.39
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 11:30am ET $428.16 27 $11,560.30 $11,891.81 $-38.09
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 1:00pm ET $427.10 27 $11,531.58
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 2:00pm ET $428.63 27 $11,573.01 $11,933.23 +$41.43
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $437.58 27 $11,814.75
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:10pm ET $438.49 27 $11,839.23 $11,957.71 +$24.48
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $403.66 29 $11,706.13
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:35pm ET $368.46 29 $10,685.34 $10,936.93 $-1,020.79
(-8.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:45pm ET $377.46 28 $10,568.88
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:05pm ET $381.45 28 $10,680.59 $11,048.64 +$111.71
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $372.10 29 $10,790.90
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:15am ET $389.20 29 $11,286.80 $11,544.54 +$495.90
(+4.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 2:55pm ET $373.72 30 $11,211.60
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:00pm ET $372.14 30 $11,164.05 $11,496.99 $-47.55
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,496.99
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,496.99
Total Return: +14.97%
Back to Professor Mean