MU Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 35 trades in period
+15.84%
Last 3 Months Return
$13,263.82
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$11,450.57
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
34
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.0/35
Total Return
12.7/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality
34.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 33.7
30-Day Momentum
60
+9.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
10
Trades
3.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 68.4
Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+26 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,450.57
Current Value
$13,263.82
Period P&L
$1,813.22
Max Drawdown
-23.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
22 /
13
Best Trade
+6.63%
Worst Trade
-8.76%
Avg Trade Return
+0.46%
Avg Hold Time
5.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$838,844.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,813.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,813.22
Gross Return
+15.84%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.84%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,450.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $401.11 | 28 | $11,231.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 11:25am ET | $395.01 | 28 | $11,060.28 | $11,279.66 |
$-170.94 (-1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:00pm ET | $379.88 | 29 | $11,016.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:50pm ET | $382.39 | 29 | $11,089.31 | $11,352.60 |
+$72.94 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 1:25pm ET | $360.75 | 31 | $11,183.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $357.29 | 31 | $11,075.99 | $11,245.34 |
$-107.26 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:40am ET | $314.28 | 35 | $10,999.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 10:00am ET | $324.61 | 35 | $11,361.35 | $11,606.89 |
+$361.55 (+3.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $340.91 | 34 | $11,590.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $344.92 | 34 | $11,727.28 | $11,743.37 |
+$136.48 (+1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $377.93 | 31 | $11,715.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:30pm ET | $380.56 | 31 | $11,797.34 | $11,824.89 |
+$81.52 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $373.30 | 31 | $11,572.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:45pm ET | $373.92 | 31 | $11,591.52 | $11,844.11 |
+$19.22 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $410.40 | 28 | $11,491.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET | $421.61 | 28 | $11,805.16 | $12,158.07 |
+$313.96 (+2.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 10:05am ET | $449.54 | 27 | $12,137.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 11:15am ET | $452.76 | 27 | $12,224.52 | $12,245.15 |
+$87.08 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET | $454.50 | 26 | $11,817.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 1:25pm ET | $458.79 | 26 | $11,928.54 | $12,356.69 |
+$111.54 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 3:20pm ET | $455.31 | 27 | $12,293.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $458.46 | 27 | $12,378.42 | $12,441.74 |
+$85.05 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $482.23 | 25 | $12,055.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 10:35am ET | $480.40 | 25 | $12,010.00 | $12,395.87 |
$-45.87 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:30pm ET | $495.08 | 25 | $12,376.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 1:50pm ET | $497.45 | 25 | $12,436.25 | $12,455.24 |
+$59.37 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 2:00pm ET | $518.26 | 24 | $12,438.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 3:05pm ET | $519.36 | 24 | $12,464.64 | $12,481.64 |
+$26.40 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 12:30pm ET | $514.30 | 24 | $12,343.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:15pm ET | $512.15 | 24 | $12,291.53 | $12,429.99 |
$-51.65 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $511.03 | 24 | $12,264.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $515.35 | 24 | $12,368.40 | $12,533.67 |
+$103.68 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 2:10pm ET | $573.63 | 21 | $12,046.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 2:55pm ET | $576.38 | 21 | $12,103.98 | $12,591.42 |
+$57.75 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $651.88 | 19 | $12,385.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 9:55am ET | $663.15 | 19 | $12,599.85 | $12,805.55 |
+$214.13 (+1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 3:40pm ET | $790.23 | 16 | $12,643.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 11:55am ET | $721.02 | 16 | $11,536.32 | $11,698.11 |
$-1,107.44 (-8.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $787.68 | 14 | $11,027.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 9:45am ET | $807.23 | 14 | $11,301.22 | $11,971.81 |
+$273.70 (+2.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $737.16 | 16 | $11,794.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 11:10am ET | $736.24 | 16 | $11,779.92 | $11,957.09 |
$-14.72 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 12:30pm ET | $681.04 | 17 | $11,577.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 3:05pm ET | $675.31 | 17 | $11,480.27 | $11,859.68 |
$-97.41 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 12:25pm ET | $711.52 | 16 | $11,384.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 12:45pm ET | $721.02 | 16 | $11,536.32 | $12,011.71 |
+$152.03 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $745.47 | 16 | $11,927.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 3:30pm ET | $754.22 | 16 | $12,067.44 | $12,151.63 |
+$139.92 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 9:50am ET | $906.06 | 13 | $11,778.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 10:10am ET | $922.57 | 13 | $11,993.41 | $12,366.26 |
+$214.63 (+1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 3:15pm ET | $946.59 | 13 | $12,305.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 3:45pm ET | $955.22 | 13 | $12,417.86 | $12,478.45 |
+$112.19 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,022.36 | 12 | $12,268.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $1,035.56 | 12 | $12,426.72 | $12,636.85 |
+$158.40 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,013.98 | 12 | $12,167.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 11:05am ET | $1,003.88 | 12 | $12,046.52 | $12,515.61 |
$-121.24 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 12:30pm ET | $906.34 | 13 | $11,782.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 1:55pm ET | $905.28 | 13 | $11,768.64 | $12,501.77 |
$-13.84 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 3:00pm ET | $942.97 | 13 | $12,258.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 3:50pm ET | $941.67 | 13 | $12,241.71 | $12,484.81 |
$-16.96 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 2:20pm ET | $989.45 | 12 | $11,873.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,055.02 | 12 | $12,660.24 | $13,271.65 |
+$786.84 (+6.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:30am ET | $1,068.41 | 12 | $12,820.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 12:10pm ET | $1,052.31 | 12 | $12,627.72 | $13,078.42 |
$-193.23 (-1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $1,041.29 | 12 | $12,495.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 2:10pm ET | $1,063.97 | 12 | $12,767.64 | $13,350.58 |
+$272.16 (+2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1,136.58 | 11 | $12,502.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,134.24 | 11 | $12,476.69 | $13,324.90 |
$-25.68 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,078.93 | 12 | $12,947.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,073.83 | 12 | $12,886.02 | $13,263.82 |
$-61.08 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,263.82
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,263.82
Total Return:
+32.64%