Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,108
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
75 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,065.91
Current Value
$10,957.65
Period P&L
$-108.28
Max Drawdown
-13.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
23 / 16
Best Trade
+1.09%
Worst Trade
-1.71%
Avg Trade Return
-0.02%
Avg Hold Time
7.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$857,358.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-108.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$-108.28
Gross Return
-0.98%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.98%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 75 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 39 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,065.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 3:35pm ET $111.59 99 $11,047.41
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 10:40am ET $111.18 99 $11,006.82 $11,025.33 $-40.59
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET $111.97 98 $10,973.53
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 9:35am ET $111.24 98 $10,901.52 $10,953.32 $-72.01
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 10:00am ET $108.61 100 $10,860.50
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 10:35am ET $109.66 100 $10,966.00 $11,058.82 +$105.50
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 10:55am ET $105.13 105 $11,038.60
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 12:15pm ET $105.35 105 $11,061.75 $11,081.97 +$23.15
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 1:30pm ET $104.52 106 $11,078.59
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 1:45pm ET $104.84 106 $11,113.03 $11,116.41 +$34.44
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 3:00pm ET $106.02 104 $11,025.56
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 3:45pm ET $106.16 104 $11,040.12 $11,130.97 +$14.56
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 2:20pm ET $108.59 102 $11,075.67
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 2:50pm ET $108.85 102 $11,102.19 $11,157.49 +$26.52
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET $104.55 106 $11,081.77
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 9:35am ET $104.30 106 $11,055.80 $11,131.52 $-25.97
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 9:35am ET $102.87 108 $11,109.96
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 12:00pm ET $102.43 108 $11,061.90 $11,083.46 $-48.06
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $98.12 112 $10,989.44
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 9:35am ET $97.78 112 $10,950.80 $11,044.82 $-38.64
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 10:40am ET $96.28 114 $10,976.48
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 11:30am ET $96.44 114 $10,993.59 $11,061.93 +$17.11
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 12:55pm ET $94.25 117 $11,027.25
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $93.38 117 $10,925.46 $10,960.14 $-101.79
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 3:35pm ET $95.41 114 $10,876.74
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 3:40pm ET $95.18 114 $10,850.52 $10,933.92 $-26.22
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 9:45am ET $93.38 117 $10,924.99
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 9:55am ET $93.99 117 $10,996.83 $11,005.76 +$71.84
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 11:05am ET $95.89 114 $10,930.89
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 12:30pm ET $95.80 114 $10,921.20 $10,996.07 $-9.69
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 2:00pm ET $93.81 117 $10,975.56
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 2:35pm ET $94.06 117 $11,004.44 $11,024.95 +$28.88
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:50pm ET $94.48 116 $10,959.68
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $93.78 116 $10,878.86 $10,944.13 $-80.82
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 10:00am ET $92.86 117 $10,864.62
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:35am ET $93.28 117 $10,913.18 $10,992.68 +$48.56
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 12:40pm ET $93.39 117 $10,926.05
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 12:50pm ET $93.48 117 $10,937.04 $11,003.68 +$11.00
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $94.12 116 $10,917.92
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:35am ET $94.64 116 $10,977.66 $11,063.42 +$59.74
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:35am ET $93.64 118 $11,049.10
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 11:10am ET $93.67 118 $11,052.47 $11,066.80 +$3.37
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
22 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 3:00pm ET $93.87 117 $10,982.21
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $92.26 117 $10,794.42 $10,879.01 $-187.78
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $91.69 118 $10,818.94
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 2:20pm ET $91.68 118 $10,818.24 $10,878.32 $-0.70
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $90.59 120 $10,870.80
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $91.58 120 $10,989.60 $10,997.12 +$118.80
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $89.64 122 $10,936.08
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 10:15am ET $90.58 122 $11,050.76 $11,111.80 +$114.68
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 12:35pm ET $89.69 123 $11,031.26
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 2:15pm ET $89.62 123 $11,022.65 $11,103.19 $-8.61
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET $89.19 124 $11,059.54
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 11:25am ET $88.92 124 $11,025.46 $11,069.11 $-34.08
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 12:30pm ET $88.86 124 $11,018.02
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 1:05pm ET $89.05 124 $11,041.58 $11,092.67 +$23.56
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 12:30pm ET $88.13 125 $11,015.63
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:25pm ET $88.46 125 $11,057.38 $11,134.42 +$41.75
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET $84.19 132 $11,113.09
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:15am ET $84.75 132 $11,187.04 $11,208.37 +$73.95
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $85.61 130 $11,128.65
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 2:50pm ET $85.78 130 $11,151.40 $11,231.12 +$22.75
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $85.71 131 $11,227.36
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $84.71 131 $11,097.01 $11,100.77 $-130.35
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 3:35pm ET $84.93 130 $11,040.71
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $83.53 130 $10,858.77 $10,918.84 $-181.94
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held
34 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $83.03 131 $10,876.28
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:55pm ET $83.34 131 $10,917.70 $10,960.26 +$41.42
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:25pm ET $82.92 132 $10,945.44
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:05pm ET $83.07 132 $10,964.58 $10,979.40 +$19.14
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:40am ET $79.59 137 $10,903.83
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET $79.86 137 $10,940.14 $11,015.71 +$36.31
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 12:00pm ET $80.70 136 $10,975.20
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 12:15pm ET $81.31 136 $11,057.48 $11,097.99 +$82.28
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 12:35pm ET $81.15 136 $11,036.40
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 12:55pm ET $81.33 136 $11,060.88 $11,122.47 +$24.48
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:30pm ET $82.42 134 $11,043.61
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:40am ET $81.18 134 $10,878.79 $10,957.65 $-164.82
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,957.65
Net Profit/Loss: +$957.65
Total Return: +9.58%
Back to Professor Mean