Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,590
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
75 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,462.66
Current Value
$9,065.06
Period P&L
$-397.56
Max Drawdown
-30.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
17 / 17
Best Trade
+6.56%
Worst Trade
-7.28%
Avg Trade Return
-0.10%
Avg Hold Time
12h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$582,495.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-397.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$-397.56
Gross Return
-4.20%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.20%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 75 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 34 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,462.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $6.06 1,560 $9,460.31
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:55am ET $6.27 1,560 $9,782.76 $9,785.07 +$322.45
(+3.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 1:55pm ET $6.13 1,597 $9,781.63
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 3:20pm ET $6.12 1,597 $9,765.66 $9,769.10 $-15.97
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 9:35am ET $5.92 1,650 $9,767.84
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 12:55pm ET $5.79 1,650 $9,545.25 $9,546.51 $-222.59
(-2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 2:55pm ET $5.80 1,645 $9,541.00
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $5.50 1,645 $9,039.28 $9,044.79 $-501.73
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 11:25am ET $5.41 1,671 $9,040.28
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 12:25pm ET $5.44 1,671 $9,089.07 $9,093.58 +$48.79
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $5.39 1,687 $9,092.93
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 9:35am ET $5.35 1,687 $9,025.45 $9,026.10 $-67.48
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:35am ET $5.15 1,753 $9,024.44
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 12:00pm ET $5.07 1,753 $8,885.26 $8,886.91 $-139.19
(-1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 12:10pm ET $5.05 1,761 $8,884.25
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 12:25pm ET $5.06 1,761 $8,910.13 $8,912.80 +$25.89
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET $5.00 1,782 $8,910.00
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 10:55am ET $5.03 1,782 $8,954.55 $8,957.35 +$44.55
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $5.03 1,779 $8,952.64
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $4.97 1,779 $8,832.74 $8,837.44 $-119.90
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 2:05pm ET $5.12 1,727 $8,833.61
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 10:30am ET $5.04 1,727 $8,696.31 $8,700.15 $-137.30
(-1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:35am ET $4.98 1,745 $8,695.68
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 12:15pm ET $4.97 1,745 $8,663.93 $8,668.39 $-31.76
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 1:50pm ET $4.95 1,751 $8,667.45
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 3:00pm ET $4.95 1,751 $8,667.45 $8,668.39 $0.00
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:50pm ET $5.00 1,735 $8,667.89
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $4.99 1,735 $8,648.98 $8,649.48 $-18.91
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 3:55pm ET $4.99 1,733 $8,647.67
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET $4.94 1,733 $8,557.03 $8,558.84 $-90.64
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $5.11 1,674 $8,554.14
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $5.25 1,674 $8,784.32 $8,789.02 +$230.17
(+2.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 1:35pm ET $5.56 1,580 $8,784.80
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $5.16 1,580 $8,144.90 $8,149.12 $-639.90
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 12:50pm ET $5.13 1,590 $8,148.75
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $5.12 1,590 $8,132.85 $8,133.22 $-15.90
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 2:15pm ET $4.88 1,666 $8,130.08
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:35pm ET $4.89 1,666 $8,146.74 $8,149.88 +$16.66
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 12:50pm ET $4.81 1,696 $8,149.28
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:30pm ET $4.82 1,696 $8,166.24 $8,166.84 +$16.96
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:30pm ET $4.73 1,726 $8,163.98
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET $4.68 1,726 $8,069.05 $8,071.91 $-94.93
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 12:50pm ET $4.87 1,659 $8,071.04
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 1:55pm ET $4.89 1,659 $8,108.86 $8,109.73 +$37.83
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 3:30pm ET $4.72 1,719 $8,105.09
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $4.59 1,719 $7,881.62 $7,886.26 $-223.47
(-2.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 3:20pm ET $4.62 1,706 $7,881.72
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:15am ET $4.63 1,706 $7,890.25 $7,894.79 +$8.53
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.9h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:50pm ET $4.59 1,719 $7,890.21
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $4.57 1,719 $7,847.24 $7,851.82 $-42.97
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
42m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $4.83 1,625 $7,848.75
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:00pm ET $4.84 1,625 $7,862.56 $7,865.63 +$13.81
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 3:30pm ET $4.65 1,691 $7,863.15
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:35am ET $4.68 1,691 $7,913.03 $7,915.51 +$49.88
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 1:40pm ET $4.59 1,724 $7,913.16
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:20pm ET $4.63 1,724 $7,979.71 $7,982.06 +$66.55
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 2:55pm ET $4.81 1,661 $7,981.11
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $4.94 1,661 $8,200.86 $8,201.81 +$219.75
(+2.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $4.53 1,810 $8,199.30
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 11:05am ET $4.48 1,810 $8,108.80 $8,111.31 $-90.50
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:10pm ET $4.49 1,808 $8,108.88
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 2:15pm ET $4.47 1,808 $8,090.80 $8,093.23 $-18.08
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 2:45pm ET $4.80 1,685 $8,093.05
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $5.12 1,685 $8,623.83 $8,624.00 +$530.78
(+6.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $4.76 1,811 $8,619.82
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:35am ET $4.95 1,811 $8,973.50 $8,977.69 +$353.69
(+4.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $4.96 1,809 $8,972.82
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:40am ET $5.01 1,809 $9,060.20 $9,065.06 +$87.37
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,065.06
Net Profit/Loss: $-934.94
Total Return: -9.35%
Back to Professor Mean