NVDA Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 39 trades in period
+6.97%
Last 3 Months Return
$15,894.65
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$14,859.41
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
53
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
19.4/35
Total Return
15.1/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
3.7/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality
53.5/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 52.6
30-Day Momentum
58
+6.1%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
3.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 61.4
Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$14,859.41
Current Value
$15,894.65
Period P&L
$1,035.22
Max Drawdown
-11.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
23 /
16
Best Trade
+2.22%
Worst Trade
-3.06%
Avg Trade Return
+0.18%
Avg Hold Time
4.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,189,992.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,035.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,035.22
Gross Return
+6.97%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.97%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $14,859.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:00pm ET | $178.09 | 83 | $14,781.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:50pm ET | $178.81 | 83 | $14,841.23 | $14,919.19 |
+$59.76 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $171.49 | 86 | $14,748.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $169.68 | 86 | $14,592.91 | $14,763.53 |
$-155.66 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:00am ET | $166.54 | 88 | $14,655.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:15am ET | $168.06 | 88 | $14,789.28 | $14,897.29 |
+$133.76 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $175.95 | 84 | $14,779.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:10pm ET | $175.70 | 84 | $14,758.38 | $14,875.87 |
$-21.42 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $176.35 | 84 | $14,813.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $177.17 | 84 | $14,882.27 | $14,944.32 |
+$68.45 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:50am ET | $175.79 | 85 | $14,942.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 11:25am ET | $174.89 | 85 | $14,865.65 | $14,867.40 |
$-76.92 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 3:00pm ET | $181.21 | 82 | $14,859.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 3:10pm ET | $181.78 | 82 | $14,905.96 | $14,914.14 |
+$46.74 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 1:30pm ET | $188.04 | 79 | $14,855.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 1:45pm ET | $188.54 | 79 | $14,894.72 | $14,953.31 |
+$39.17 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 12:30pm ET | $199.10 | 75 | $14,932.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 2:30pm ET | $197.00 | 75 | $14,775.00 | $14,796.18 |
$-157.13 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $199.80 | 74 | $14,785.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:50pm ET | $200.48 | 74 | $14,835.53 | $14,846.51 |
+$50.33 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $200.74 | 73 | $14,654.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:40pm ET | $200.15 | 73 | $14,610.95 | $14,803.44 |
$-43.07 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET | $200.09 | 73 | $14,606.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 2:35pm ET | $199.47 | 73 | $14,561.31 | $14,758.18 |
$-45.26 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $209.21 | 70 | $14,644.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 12:05pm ET | $210.01 | 70 | $14,700.35 | $14,813.83 |
+$55.65 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 12:20pm ET | $209.93 | 70 | $14,694.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 3:00pm ET | $208.99 | 70 | $14,629.30 | $14,748.38 |
$-65.45 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $200.08 | 73 | $14,606.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $201.55 | 73 | $14,713.15 | $14,855.47 |
+$107.09 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:20am ET | $195.86 | 75 | $14,689.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 12:25pm ET | $196.41 | 75 | $14,731.12 | $14,897.09 |
+$41.62 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 2:55pm ET | $196.64 | 75 | $14,747.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $199.39 | 75 | $14,954.25 | $15,103.70 |
+$206.61 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 3:25pm ET | $211.57 | 71 | $15,021.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 3:50pm ET | $212.49 | 71 | $15,087.14 | $15,169.37 |
+$65.67 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $214.04 | 70 | $14,983.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $215.29 | 70 | $15,070.30 | $15,256.52 |
+$87.15 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 1:40pm ET | $226.21 | 67 | $15,156.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 2:10pm ET | $226.77 | 67 | $15,193.59 | $15,294.04 |
+$37.52 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $229.69 | 66 | $15,159.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $227.34 | 66 | $15,004.44 | $15,138.94 |
$-155.10 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $223.94 | 67 | $15,003.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 11:40am ET | $222.99 | 67 | $14,940.33 | $15,075.56 |
$-63.38 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 3:25pm ET | $221.37 | 68 | $15,053.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $222.75 | 68 | $15,147.00 | $15,169.39 |
+$93.83 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $221.47 | 68 | $15,059.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $226.38 | 68 | $15,393.85 | $15,503.28 |
+$333.89 (+2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $218.07 | 71 | $15,482.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 11:10am ET | $217.36 | 71 | $15,432.55 | $15,452.87 |
$-50.41 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 11:10am ET | $213.94 | 72 | $15,403.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 12:55pm ET | $213.88 | 72 | $15,399.36 | $15,448.55 |
$-4.32 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.48 | 73 | $15,438.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $213.87 | 73 | $15,612.15 | $15,622.66 |
+$174.11 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 2:00pm ET | $215.38 | 72 | $15,507.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 2:20pm ET | $216.34 | 72 | $15,576.48 | $15,691.42 |
+$68.76 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 3:50pm ET | $222.65 | 70 | $15,585.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $227.43 | 70 | $15,919.75 | $16,025.37 |
+$333.95 (+2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $220.03 | 72 | $15,842.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $219.48 | 72 | $15,802.67 | $15,985.89 |
$-39.48 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $212.95 | 75 | $15,971.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 10:35am ET | $213.96 | 75 | $16,047.00 | $16,061.64 |
+$75.75 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 11:10am ET | $209.38 | 76 | $15,913.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 1:30pm ET | $208.18 | 76 | $15,821.68 | $15,970.06 |
$-91.58 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET | $208.28 | 76 | $15,829.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $210.85 | 76 | $16,024.60 | $16,165.38 |
+$195.32 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $203.71 | 79 | $16,093.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $203.51 | 79 | $16,077.29 | $16,149.18 |
$-16.20 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 1:00pm ET | $200.38 | 80 | $16,030.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET | $203.26 | 80 | $16,260.80 | $16,379.18 |
+$230.00 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 2:20pm ET | $204.48 | 80 | $16,358.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 2:30pm ET | $205.03 | 80 | $16,402.20 | $16,423.38 |
+$44.20 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.18 | 77 | $16,260.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 11:05am ET | $209.34 | 77 | $16,118.80 | $16,281.70 |
$-141.68 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $206.01 | 79 | $16,274.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 2:45pm ET | $207.40 | 79 | $16,384.60 | $16,391.51 |
+$109.81 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 3:05pm ET | $208.37 | 78 | $16,252.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $202.00 | 78 | $15,756.00 | $15,894.65 |
$-496.86 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,894.65
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,894.65
Total Return:
+58.95%