NVDA Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 39 trades in period
+2.30%
Last 3 Months Return
$14,407.37
Current Value
62%
Win Rate
$14,083.77
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,192
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
75 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$14,083.77
Current Value
$14,407.37
Period P&L
$323.58
Max Drawdown
-11.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
24 /
15
Best Trade
+2.39%
Worst Trade
-2.65%
Avg Trade Return
+0.06%
Avg Hold Time
4.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,096,110.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$323.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$323.58
Gross Return
+2.30%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.30%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 75 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $14,083.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $181.73 | 77 | $13,993.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:40am ET | $186.08 | 77 | $14,328.16 | $14,418.53 |
+$334.76 (+2.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 9:40am ET | $187.43 | 76 | $14,244.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 11:25am ET | $187.20 | 76 | $14,227.20 | $14,401.05 |
$-17.48 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 3:30pm ET | $182.35 | 78 | $14,223.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $183.88 | 78 | $14,342.29 | $14,520.05 |
+$119.00 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:05am ET | $190.75 | 76 | $14,497.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 1:10pm ET | $185.70 | 76 | $14,113.20 | $14,136.25 |
$-383.80 (-2.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 9:45am ET | $176.86 | 79 | $13,971.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 10:35am ET | $178.92 | 79 | $14,135.00 | $14,299.31 |
+$163.06 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 2:10pm ET | $175.09 | 81 | $14,181.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 3:00pm ET | $176.19 | 81 | $14,271.39 | $14,388.82 |
+$89.50 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $179.24 | 80 | $14,339.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 9:35am ET | $177.84 | 80 | $14,227.14 | $14,276.75 |
$-112.06 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 2:20pm ET | $179.01 | 79 | $14,141.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 2:35pm ET | $179.47 | 79 | $14,178.13 | $14,313.09 |
+$36.34 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $179.74 | 79 | $14,199.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 9:35am ET | $179.27 | 79 | $14,162.33 | $14,275.96 |
$-37.13 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 2:10pm ET | $182.93 | 78 | $14,268.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 2:15pm ET | $182.46 | 78 | $14,231.88 | $14,239.30 |
$-36.66 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 2:15pm ET | $181.35 | 78 | $14,145.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 2:55pm ET | $181.86 | 78 | $14,184.69 | $14,278.69 |
+$39.39 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $183.96 | 77 | $14,164.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 9:35am ET | $184.78 | 77 | $14,227.70 | $14,341.47 |
+$62.78 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 10:05am ET | $183.93 | 77 | $14,162.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 12:30pm ET | $182.79 | 77 | $14,074.83 | $14,253.69 |
$-87.78 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $177.24 | 80 | $14,179.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 12:15pm ET | $177.33 | 80 | $14,186.41 | $14,260.90 |
+$7.21 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 1:30pm ET | $176.85 | 80 | $14,148.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 1:55pm ET | $177.45 | 80 | $14,196.00 | $14,308.90 |
+$48.00 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $174.55 | 81 | $14,138.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 12:15pm ET | $171.28 | 81 | $13,873.68 | $14,044.03 |
$-264.87 (-1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 12:15pm ET | $174.17 | 80 | $13,933.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 12:55pm ET | $175.28 | 80 | $14,022.40 | $14,133.23 |
+$89.20 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 12:40pm ET | $182.86 | 77 | $14,080.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 1:05pm ET | $183.23 | 77 | $14,108.33 | $14,161.34 |
+$28.10 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 9:40am ET | $187.67 | 75 | $14,075.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 11:10am ET | $187.74 | 75 | $14,080.52 | $14,166.58 |
+$5.24 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 3:50pm ET | $190.86 | 74 | $14,123.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $186.64 | 74 | $13,811.36 | $13,854.67 |
$-311.91 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 9:40am ET | $187.31 | 73 | $13,673.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 9:45am ET | $187.88 | 73 | $13,714.88 | $13,896.16 |
+$41.49 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 2:05pm ET | $188.56 | 73 | $13,764.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 2:15pm ET | $188.22 | 73 | $13,740.06 | $13,871.66 |
$-24.51 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 11:55am ET | $189.30 | 73 | $13,818.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 12:00pm ET | $188.43 | 73 | $13,755.39 | $13,808.15 |
$-63.51 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 1:30pm ET | $187.57 | 73 | $13,692.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 2:40pm ET | $188.17 | 73 | $13,736.41 | $13,851.95 |
+$43.81 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $189.25 | 73 | $13,815.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $189.24 | 73 | $13,814.52 | $13,851.22 |
$-0.73 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.05 | 75 | $13,803.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $185.63 | 75 | $13,922.25 | $13,970.10 |
+$118.88 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $184.65 | 75 | $13,848.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 11:10am ET | $184.77 | 75 | $13,857.76 | $13,978.97 |
+$8.87 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $183.43 | 76 | $13,940.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $182.43 | 76 | $13,864.36 | $13,902.65 |
$-76.32 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 3:15pm ET | $187.78 | 74 | $13,895.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $189.28 | 74 | $14,006.94 | $14,013.87 |
+$111.22 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.09 | 76 | $13,838.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $180.48 | 76 | $13,716.48 | $13,891.51 |
$-122.36 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 3:05pm ET | $184.28 | 75 | $13,820.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:50pm ET | $184.57 | 75 | $13,842.75 | $13,913.64 |
+$22.12 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 12:45pm ET | $186.29 | 74 | $13,785.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 1:30pm ET | $186.87 | 74 | $13,828.38 | $13,956.56 |
+$42.92 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 3:50pm ET | $188.89 | 73 | $13,788.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.31 | 73 | $13,965.62 | $14,133.21 |
+$176.65 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $190.61 | 74 | $14,105.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $191.69 | 74 | $14,185.06 | $14,213.13 |
+$79.92 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 1:05pm ET | $191.44 | 74 | $14,166.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 2:05pm ET | $191.77 | 74 | $14,190.98 | $14,237.55 |
+$24.42 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:35pm ET | $189.41 | 75 | $14,205.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:40pm ET | $189.00 | 75 | $14,175.01 | $14,206.81 |
$-30.74 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 2:40pm ET | $176.97 | 80 | $14,157.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:15pm ET | $178.53 | 80 | $14,282.12 | $14,331.33 |
+$124.52 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $174.20 | 82 | $14,284.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $175.26 | 82 | $14,371.32 | $14,418.25 |
+$86.92 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:10pm ET | $190.34 | 75 | $14,275.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $190.19 | 75 | $14,264.25 | $14,407.37 |
$-10.88 (-0.1%) |
📅 Sim Ended
48m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,407.37
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,407.37
Total Return:
+44.07%