ORCL Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 38 trades in period
+15.51%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,976.14
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$8,636.41
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
14
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.3/35
Total Return
4.6/25
Win Rate
5.9/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality
14.6/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 14.4
30-Day Momentum
37
+4.1%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 43.0
Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,636.41
Current Value
$9,976.14
Period P&L
$1,339.77
Max Drawdown
-27.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
24 /
14
Best Trade
+4.62%
Worst Trade
-2.87%
Avg Trade Return
+0.39%
Avg Hold Time
4.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$698,440.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,339.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,339.77
Gross Return
+15.51%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.51%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $8,636.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $147.07 | 58 | $8,530.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 12:35pm ET | $146.44 | 58 | $8,493.52 | $8,599.83 |
$-36.54 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $140.98 | 61 | $8,599.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:50am ET | $140.05 | 61 | $8,543.05 | $8,543.10 |
$-56.73 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:55pm ET | $137.72 | 62 | $8,538.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:40pm ET | $138.01 | 62 | $8,556.62 | $8,561.08 |
+$17.98 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $145.65 | 58 | $8,447.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:15pm ET | $145.51 | 58 | $8,439.58 | $8,552.96 |
$-8.12 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $145.09 | 58 | $8,414.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 11:50am ET | $144.68 | 58 | $8,391.15 | $8,529.18 |
$-23.78 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:25pm ET | $142.48 | 59 | $8,406.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 2:30pm ET | $143.05 | 59 | $8,439.95 | $8,562.81 |
+$33.63 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $141.22 | 60 | $8,473.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $139.66 | 60 | $8,379.60 | $8,469.21 |
$-93.60 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 2:05pm ET | $138.20 | 61 | $8,429.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 3:30pm ET | $137.86 | 61 | $8,409.46 | $8,448.77 |
$-20.44 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:10pm ET | $161.60 | 52 | $8,403.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:15pm ET | $162.80 | 52 | $8,465.60 | $8,511.17 |
+$62.40 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $169.79 | 50 | $8,489.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $175.50 | 50 | $8,775.00 | $8,796.92 |
+$285.75 (+3.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:45am ET | $177.39 | 49 | $8,692.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:05pm ET | $178.17 | 49 | $8,730.21 | $8,835.02 |
+$38.10 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET | $182.04 | 48 | $8,738.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $185.91 | 48 | $8,923.68 | $9,020.54 |
+$185.52 (+2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.80 | 50 | $8,990.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $178.97 | 50 | $8,948.50 | $8,979.04 |
$-41.50 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 12:00pm ET | $170.87 | 52 | $8,885.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 1:15pm ET | $171.15 | 52 | $8,899.73 | $8,993.53 |
+$14.49 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 3:05pm ET | $172.54 | 52 | $8,972.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 3:20pm ET | $173.23 | 52 | $9,007.96 | $9,029.15 |
+$35.62 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $165.63 | 54 | $8,944.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $163.56 | 54 | $8,832.24 | $8,917.37 |
$-111.78 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $161.35 | 55 | $8,874.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:45am ET | $164.53 | 55 | $9,049.15 | $9,092.27 |
+$174.90 (+2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 2:10pm ET | $181.08 | 50 | $9,054.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $181.90 | 50 | $9,095.00 | $9,133.27 |
+$41.00 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.4h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $182.89 | 49 | $8,961.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 10:05am ET | $185.84 | 49 | $9,106.16 | $9,277.82 |
+$144.55 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 12:00pm ET | $194.81 | 47 | $9,156.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 1:40pm ET | $194.46 | 47 | $9,139.62 | $9,261.37 |
$-16.45 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.99 | 48 | $9,215.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 10:10am ET | $194.90 | 48 | $9,354.96 | $9,400.81 |
+$139.44 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 12:30pm ET | $182.71 | 51 | $9,317.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 1:20pm ET | $183.48 | 51 | $9,357.48 | $9,440.33 |
+$39.52 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $188.46 | 50 | $9,423.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 10:15am ET | $190.48 | 50 | $9,524.00 | $9,541.33 |
+$101.00 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 11:45am ET | $192.18 | 49 | $9,416.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 12:25pm ET | $193.39 | 49 | $9,476.11 | $9,600.62 |
+$59.29 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 12:30pm ET | $183.81 | 52 | $9,558.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 12:55pm ET | $185.70 | 52 | $9,656.14 | $9,698.64 |
+$98.02 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 2:55pm ET | $182.18 | 53 | $9,655.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 3:15pm ET | $183.18 | 53 | $9,708.54 | $9,751.90 |
+$53.26 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $190.15 | 51 | $9,697.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $192.04 | 51 | $9,794.04 | $9,848.54 |
+$96.64 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 11:55am ET | $191.31 | 51 | $9,756.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 2:10pm ET | $191.43 | 51 | $9,762.68 | $9,854.41 |
+$5.87 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 3:50pm ET | $247.50 | 39 | $9,652.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $244.72 | 39 | $9,544.08 | $9,745.99 |
$-108.42 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $236.57 | 41 | $9,699.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $233.92 | 41 | $9,590.72 | $9,637.20 |
$-108.79 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $228.35 | 42 | $9,590.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $231.66 | 42 | $9,729.72 | $9,776.29 |
+$139.09 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 11:20am ET | $219.10 | 44 | $9,640.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 1:35pm ET | $215.88 | 44 | $9,498.72 | $9,634.83 |
$-141.46 (-1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 3:15pm ET | $211.94 | 45 | $9,537.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $213.27 | 45 | $9,597.15 | $9,694.68 |
+$59.85 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $198.20 | 48 | $9,513.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $207.36 | 48 | $9,953.28 | $10,134.36 |
+$439.68 (+4.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $179.74 | 56 | $10,065.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 10:55am ET | $182.86 | 56 | $10,240.16 | $10,309.08 |
+$174.72 (+1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $188.88 | 54 | $10,199.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $193.45 | 54 | $10,446.03 | $10,555.59 |
+$246.51 (+2.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 2:00pm ET | $187.89 | 56 | $10,521.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 10:20am ET | $182.51 | 56 | $10,220.28 | $10,254.03 |
$-301.56 (-2.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $170.99 | 59 | $10,088.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 3:05pm ET | $166.28 | 59 | $9,810.52 | $9,976.14 |
$-277.89 (-2.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5.6h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,976.14
Net Profit/Loss:
$-23.86
Total Return:
-0.24%