Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,085
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
75 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,715.33
Current Value
$8,892.10
Period P&L
$176.80
Max Drawdown
-27.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
22 / 15
Best Trade
+3.13%
Worst Trade
-3.54%
Avg Trade Return
+0.07%
Avg Hold Time
3.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$643,634.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$176.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$176.80
Gross Return
+2.03%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 75 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $8,715.33 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:40am ET $212.38 41 $8,707.58
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:55am ET $217.31 41 $8,909.64 $8,917.36 +$202.06
(+2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 1:00pm ET $219.27 40 $8,770.80
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 3:15pm ET $217.00 40 $8,680.00 $8,826.56 $-90.80
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET $218.76 40 $8,750.20
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 9:40am ET $221.83 40 $8,873.00 $8,949.36 +$122.80
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:10am ET $225.28 39 $8,785.92
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 1:05pm ET $218.07 39 $8,504.73 $8,668.17 $-281.19
(-3.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $196.94 44 $8,665.14
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:35am ET $194.66 44 $8,565.04 $8,568.07 $-100.10
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:35am ET $187.67 45 $8,445.32
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 10:40am ET $193.54 45 $8,709.30 $8,832.05 +$263.97
(+3.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 9:30am ET $199.21 44 $8,765.24
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 9:35am ET $198.36 44 $8,727.84 $8,794.65 $-37.40
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 2:20pm ET $200.97 43 $8,641.71
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 3:35pm ET $201.21 43 $8,652.03 $8,804.97 +$10.32
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 2:20pm ET $212.29 41 $8,703.89
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 2:30pm ET $213.70 41 $8,761.70 $8,862.78 +$57.81
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 1:55pm ET $217.58 40 $8,703.20
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 2:40pm ET $219.26 40 $8,770.40 $8,929.98 +$67.20
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 9:30am ET $219.47 40 $8,778.60
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 10:00am ET $221.37 40 $8,854.80 $9,006.18 +$76.20
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $195.77 46 $9,005.42
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 12:15pm ET $189.18 46 $8,702.05 $8,702.81 $-303.37
(-3.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 9:30am ET $183.67 47 $8,632.26
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 9:35am ET $182.84 47 $8,593.48 $8,664.02 $-38.78
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 12:00pm ET $180.34 48 $8,656.32
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 1:20pm ET $180.16 48 $8,647.49 $8,655.19 $-8.83
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 1:40pm ET $192.95 44 $8,489.80
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 2:05pm ET $194.19 44 $8,544.36 $8,709.75 +$54.56
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET $195.85 44 $8,617.40
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 9:35am ET $193.84 44 $8,528.89 $8,621.25 $-88.51
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $196.49 43 $8,449.27
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:40am ET $198.42 43 $8,531.94 $8,703.92 +$82.68
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 3:05pm ET $197.42 44 $8,686.48
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 3:20pm ET $197.82 44 $8,704.08 $8,721.52 +$17.60
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 1:45pm ET $194.70 44 $8,566.58
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $195.83 44 $8,616.30 $8,771.24 +$49.72
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 2:55pm ET $192.62 45 $8,667.90
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:10pm ET $193.27 45 $8,697.11 $8,800.46 +$29.21
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET $192.95 45 $8,682.53
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:45am ET $193.99 45 $8,729.55 $8,847.48 +$47.03
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:20pm ET $189.38 46 $8,711.48
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $189.83 46 $8,732.11 $8,868.11 +$20.63
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $198.62 44 $8,739.28
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET $197.44 44 $8,687.36 $8,816.19 $-51.92
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:40am ET $204.47 43 $8,792.21
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:55am ET $205.53 43 $8,837.79 $8,861.77 +$45.58
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 12:35pm ET $192.23 46 $8,842.53
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 1:20pm ET $192.79 46 $8,868.11 $8,887.35 +$25.58
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:10pm ET $192.01 46 $8,832.23
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 2:15pm ET $191.69 46 $8,817.74 $8,872.86 $-14.49
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 3:30pm ET $190.74 46 $8,774.04
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 3:40pm ET $191.27 46 $8,798.42 $8,897.24 +$24.38
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 3:40pm ET $180.11 49 $8,825.53
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $176.73 49 $8,659.77 $8,731.48 $-165.76
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $173.12 50 $8,655.75
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 10:20am ET $176.85 50 $8,842.50 $8,918.23 +$186.75
(+2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $183.67 48 $8,816.16
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $177.16 48 $8,503.68 $8,605.75 $-312.48
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:40pm ET $174.23 49 $8,537.27
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 3:15pm ET $175.27 49 $8,588.23 $8,656.71 +$50.96
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 3:15pm ET $164.60 52 $8,559.20
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:30pm ET $165.79 52 $8,621.08 $8,718.59 +$61.88
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:25pm ET $166.65 52 $8,665.80
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 1:30pm ET $165.82 52 $8,622.90 $8,675.69 $-42.90
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $148.88 58 $8,635.04
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:25am ET $151.79 58 $8,803.82 $8,844.47 +$168.78
(+1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 12:55pm ET $139.73 63 $8,802.68
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:05pm ET $138.54 63 $8,728.33 $8,770.13 $-74.34
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:15pm ET $156.66 55 $8,616.57
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $156.62 55 $8,614.10 $8,767.66 $-2.47
(-0.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
42m held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $159.12 55 $8,751.60
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:45am ET $161.38 55 $8,876.04 $8,892.10 +$124.44
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,892.10
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,107.90
Total Return: -11.08%
Back to Professor Mean