ORCL Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 35 trades in period
+4.14%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,133.27
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$8,770.16
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.2/10
Raw Quality
8.7/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 8.6
30-Day Momentum
58
+6.3%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
2.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 60.6
Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+49 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,770.16
Current Value
$9,133.27
Period P&L
$363.15
Max Drawdown
-27.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
19 /
16
Best Trade
+3.37%
Worst Trade
-3.01%
Avg Trade Return
+0.12%
Avg Hold Time
5.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$604,131.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$363.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$363.15
Gross Return
+4.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.14%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $8,770.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:15pm ET | $156.66 | 55 | $8,616.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $156.62 | 55 | $8,614.10 | $8,767.66 |
$-2.47 (-0.0%) |
📅 Sim Ended
42m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $159.12 | 55 | $8,751.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:45am ET | $161.38 | 55 | $8,876.04 | $8,892.10 |
+$124.44 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.90 | 56 | $8,842.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:05am ET | $155.01 | 56 | $8,680.56 | $8,730.26 |
$-161.84 (-1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 1:40pm ET | $156.18 | 55 | $8,590.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 2:25pm ET | $156.70 | 55 | $8,618.23 | $8,758.31 |
+$28.05 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $153.12 | 57 | $8,727.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $151.83 | 57 | $8,654.31 | $8,684.78 |
$-73.53 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $143.80 | 60 | $8,627.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $139.47 | 60 | $8,368.20 | $8,425.17 |
$-259.61 (-3.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.5h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $144.22 | 58 | $8,364.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 11:05am ET | $145.30 | 58 | $8,427.40 | $8,487.81 |
+$62.64 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.08 | 58 | $8,414.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 11:00am ET | $145.24 | 58 | $8,423.92 | $8,497.09 |
+$9.28 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 12:55pm ET | $150.57 | 56 | $8,432.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 2:05pm ET | $153.12 | 56 | $8,574.72 | $8,639.68 |
+$142.59 (+1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 3:10pm ET | $155.13 | 55 | $8,532.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:25pm ET | $152.35 | 55 | $8,379.52 | $8,486.87 |
$-152.81 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:10pm ET | $150.31 | 56 | $8,417.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:10pm ET | $151.17 | 56 | $8,465.52 | $8,535.03 |
+$48.16 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 12:05pm ET | $160.12 | 53 | $8,486.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 12:35pm ET | $161.68 | 53 | $8,569.30 | $8,618.24 |
+$83.21 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 2:40pm ET | $155.71 | 55 | $8,564.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $158.59 | 55 | $8,722.45 | $8,776.36 |
+$158.13 (+1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 11:05am ET | $155.62 | 56 | $8,714.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 12:40pm ET | $155.21 | 56 | $8,691.76 | $8,753.29 |
$-23.07 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 3:35pm ET | $153.18 | 57 | $8,731.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $151.23 | 57 | $8,620.11 | $8,642.14 |
$-111.15 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $151.28 | 57 | $8,622.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 11:00am ET | $150.83 | 57 | $8,597.31 | $8,616.49 |
$-25.65 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $152.93 | 56 | $8,564.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 1:35pm ET | $153.29 | 56 | $8,583.96 | $8,636.37 |
+$19.88 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $147.07 | 58 | $8,530.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 12:35pm ET | $146.44 | 58 | $8,493.52 | $8,599.83 |
$-36.54 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $140.98 | 61 | $8,599.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:50am ET | $140.05 | 61 | $8,543.05 | $8,543.10 |
$-56.73 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:55pm ET | $137.72 | 62 | $8,538.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:40pm ET | $138.01 | 62 | $8,556.62 | $8,561.08 |
+$17.98 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $145.65 | 58 | $8,447.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:15pm ET | $145.51 | 58 | $8,439.58 | $8,552.96 |
$-8.12 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $145.09 | 58 | $8,414.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 11:50am ET | $144.68 | 58 | $8,391.15 | $8,529.18 |
$-23.78 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:25pm ET | $142.48 | 59 | $8,406.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 2:30pm ET | $143.05 | 59 | $8,439.95 | $8,562.81 |
+$33.63 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $141.22 | 60 | $8,473.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $139.66 | 60 | $8,379.60 | $8,469.21 |
$-93.60 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 2:05pm ET | $138.20 | 61 | $8,429.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 3:30pm ET | $137.86 | 61 | $8,409.46 | $8,448.77 |
$-20.44 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:10pm ET | $161.60 | 52 | $8,403.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:15pm ET | $162.80 | 52 | $8,465.60 | $8,511.17 |
+$62.40 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $169.79 | 50 | $8,489.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $175.50 | 50 | $8,775.00 | $8,796.92 |
+$285.75 (+3.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:45am ET | $177.39 | 49 | $8,692.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:05pm ET | $178.17 | 49 | $8,730.21 | $8,835.02 |
+$38.10 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET | $182.04 | 48 | $8,738.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $185.91 | 48 | $8,923.68 | $9,020.54 |
+$185.52 (+2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.80 | 50 | $8,990.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $178.97 | 50 | $8,948.50 | $8,979.04 |
$-41.50 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 12:00pm ET | $170.87 | 52 | $8,885.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 1:15pm ET | $171.15 | 52 | $8,899.73 | $8,993.53 |
+$14.49 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 3:05pm ET | $172.54 | 52 | $8,972.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 3:20pm ET | $173.23 | 52 | $9,007.96 | $9,029.15 |
+$35.62 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $165.63 | 54 | $8,944.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $163.56 | 54 | $8,832.24 | $8,917.37 |
$-111.78 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $161.35 | 55 | $8,874.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:45am ET | $164.53 | 55 | $9,049.15 | $9,092.27 |
+$174.90 (+2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 2:10pm ET | $181.08 | 50 | $9,054.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $181.90 | 50 | $9,095.00 | $9,133.27 |
+$41.00 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,133.27
Net Profit/Loss:
$-866.73
Total Return:
-8.67%