OXY Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 34 trades in period
+1.64%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,700.86
Current Value
65%
Win Rate
$8,560.18
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
52.3 neutral
20d Trend
+2.4%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
68%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
10
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality
10.2/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 10.0
30-Day Momentum
19
+0.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.9
Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,851
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,560.18
Current Value
$8,700.86
Period P&L
$140.69
Max Drawdown
-17.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
22 /
12
Best Trade
+3.08%
Worst Trade
-2.81%
Avg Trade Return
+0.06%
Avg Hold Time
5.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$584,899.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$140.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$140.69
Gross Return
+1.64%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.64%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 OXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $8,560.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:05pm ET | $45.99 | 186 | $8,553.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:25pm ET | $46.05 | 186 | $8,565.30 | $8,572.27 |
+$12.09 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $46.33 | 185 | $8,571.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $46.30 | 185 | $8,565.50 | $8,566.72 |
$-5.55 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 1:55pm ET | $47.34 | 180 | $8,521.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:05pm ET | $47.36 | 180 | $8,525.34 | $8,570.16 |
+$3.44 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $45.79 | 187 | $8,563.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET | $45.44 | 187 | $8,497.28 | $8,503.78 |
$-66.38 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 10:50am ET | $51.06 | 166 | $8,475.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 12:25pm ET | $50.83 | 166 | $8,437.78 | $8,466.43 |
$-37.35 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $51.72 | 163 | $8,430.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 11:25am ET | $51.57 | 163 | $8,405.80 | $8,441.87 |
$-24.56 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 3:00pm ET | $50.69 | 166 | $8,414.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 3:20pm ET | $50.83 | 166 | $8,437.73 | $8,465.06 |
+$23.19 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 12:10pm ET | $53.73 | 157 | $8,435.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 1:20pm ET | $53.76 | 157 | $8,440.04 | $8,469.49 |
+$4.43 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 1:35pm ET | $54.11 | 156 | $8,441.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 3:45pm ET | $53.68 | 156 | $8,374.08 | $8,402.41 |
$-67.08 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 12:40pm ET | $53.66 | 156 | $8,370.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 1:40pm ET | $53.85 | 156 | $8,401.38 | $8,432.83 |
+$30.42 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 3:10pm ET | $54.14 | 155 | $8,391.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.55 | 155 | $8,455.25 | $8,496.38 |
+$63.55 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.95 | 160 | $8,472.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 10:30am ET | $53.95 | 160 | $8,632.00 | $8,656.38 |
+$160.00 (+1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 3:05pm ET | $58.43 | 148 | $8,647.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.36 | 148 | $8,489.28 | $8,498.02 |
$-158.36 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.24 | 148 | $8,472.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 10:15am ET | $57.85 | 148 | $8,561.80 | $8,587.56 |
+$89.54 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 12:15pm ET | $57.66 | 148 | $8,533.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 12:35pm ET | $57.92 | 148 | $8,572.16 | $8,626.02 |
+$38.47 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 1:45pm ET | $58.24 | 148 | $8,620.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 2:15pm ET | $58.42 | 148 | $8,646.16 | $8,651.92 |
+$25.90 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 1:20pm ET | $60.98 | 141 | $8,598.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 1:30pm ET | $61.14 | 141 | $8,620.74 | $8,674.48 |
+$22.56 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:15pm ET | $60.26 | 143 | $8,616.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $60.51 | 143 | $8,652.93 | $8,710.94 |
+$36.46 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.25 | 144 | $8,676.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:50am ET | $61.39 | 144 | $8,840.16 | $8,875.10 |
+$164.16 (+1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET | $66.37 | 133 | $8,827.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:45pm ET | $66.17 | 133 | $8,800.62 | $8,848.51 |
$-26.59 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $63.58 | 139 | $8,838.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET | $62.29 | 139 | $8,658.31 | $8,668.51 |
$-180.00 (-2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 1:40pm ET | $62.60 | 138 | $8,638.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 2:40pm ET | $62.77 | 138 | $8,662.84 | $8,692.54 |
+$24.03 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 3:40pm ET | $62.87 | 138 | $8,676.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.44 | 138 | $8,755.41 | $8,771.90 |
+$79.36 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.00 | 153 | $8,721.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 11:00am ET | $58.76 | 153 | $8,989.52 | $9,040.42 |
+$268.52 (+3.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $59.79 | 151 | $9,028.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 2:15pm ET | $58.65 | 151 | $8,856.90 | $8,869.03 |
$-171.39 (-1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 2:25pm ET | $57.97 | 152 | $8,812.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $58.04 | 152 | $8,822.08 | $8,878.91 |
+$9.88 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.96 | 155 | $8,828.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 1:10pm ET | $55.36 | 155 | $8,580.80 | $8,630.91 |
$-248.00 (-2.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 3:35pm ET | $55.85 | 154 | $8,600.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $56.32 | 154 | $8,673.28 | $8,704.06 |
+$73.15 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $53.07 | 164 | $8,703.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 11:20am ET | $52.60 | 164 | $8,626.40 | $8,626.98 |
$-77.08 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 2:50pm ET | $54.67 | 157 | $8,582.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.69 | 157 | $8,586.33 | $8,630.90 |
+$3.92 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.63 | 149 | $8,586.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $57.10 | 149 | $8,507.90 | $8,551.93 |
$-78.97 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 1:35pm ET | $58.53 | 146 | $8,546.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 2:35pm ET | $58.65 | 146 | $8,562.90 | $8,568.72 |
+$16.79 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.39 | 144 | $8,552.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 11:00am ET | $59.93 | 144 | $8,629.92 | $8,646.48 |
+$77.76 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.53 | 145 | $8,631.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 10:15am ET | $59.90 | 145 | $8,686.22 | $8,700.86 |
+$54.38 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,700.86
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,299.14
Total Return:
-12.99%