PANW Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 39 trades in period
-4.45%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,052.02
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$9,473.41
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
6,689
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
75 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,473.41
Current Value
$9,052.02
Period P&L
$-421.41
Max Drawdown
-24.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
21 /
18
Best Trade
+1.26%
Worst Trade
-2.33%
Avg Trade Return
-0.12%
Avg Hold Time
9.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$727,941.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-421.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$-421.41
Gross Return
-4.45%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.45%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 75 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,473.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 3:45pm ET | $205.04 | 46 | $9,431.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $205.99 | 46 | $9,475.54 | $9,517.13 |
+$43.71 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 9:40am ET | $201.32 | 47 | $9,462.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 11:05am ET | $201.50 | 47 | $9,470.27 | $9,525.35 |
+$8.23 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 2:20pm ET | $200.36 | 47 | $9,416.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 2:55pm ET | $200.75 | 47 | $9,435.02 | $9,543.45 |
+$18.09 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 10:00am ET | $183.33 | 52 | $9,533.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 11:30am ET | $181.92 | 52 | $9,459.84 | $9,470.13 |
$-73.32 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 1:25pm ET | $184.19 | 51 | $9,393.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 1:55pm ET | $184.92 | 51 | $9,430.92 | $9,507.61 |
+$37.48 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 2:35pm ET | $185.00 | 51 | $9,435.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 3:00pm ET | $185.59 | 51 | $9,465.09 | $9,537.70 |
+$30.09 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 12:20pm ET | $189.80 | 50 | $9,490.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 12:55pm ET | $190.17 | 50 | $9,508.45 | $9,556.15 |
+$18.45 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 3:50pm ET | $189.34 | 50 | $9,467.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 9:55am ET | $190.14 | 50 | $9,507.00 | $9,596.15 |
+$40.00 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 2:15pm ET | $194.17 | 49 | $9,514.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 2:35pm ET | $194.90 | 49 | $9,550.10 | $9,631.92 |
+$35.77 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 9:40am ET | $197.14 | 48 | $9,462.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 9:45am ET | $196.32 | 48 | $9,423.12 | $9,592.32 |
$-39.60 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 11:05am ET | $194.69 | 49 | $9,539.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 11:20am ET | $195.77 | 49 | $9,592.73 | $9,645.49 |
+$53.17 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 1:40pm ET | $192.63 | 50 | $9,631.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 2:05pm ET | $192.96 | 50 | $9,648.00 | $9,661.99 |
+$16.50 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 2:55pm ET | $190.47 | 50 | $9,523.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $190.98 | 50 | $9,549.00 | $9,687.74 |
+$25.75 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $189.29 | 51 | $9,653.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 11:05am ET | $187.72 | 51 | $9,573.72 | $9,607.67 |
$-80.07 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 12:40pm ET | $186.56 | 51 | $9,514.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 1:35pm ET | $186.88 | 51 | $9,530.88 | $9,623.99 |
+$16.32 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 1:35pm ET | $185.69 | 51 | $9,470.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 2:50pm ET | $185.62 | 51 | $9,466.62 | $9,620.42 |
$-3.57 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 3:35pm ET | $186.94 | 51 | $9,533.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 9:40am ET | $187.57 | 51 | $9,566.07 | $9,652.80 |
+$32.38 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 9:40am ET | $188.41 | 51 | $9,608.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 11:55am ET | $188.02 | 51 | $9,588.77 | $9,632.91 |
$-19.90 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 9:40am ET | $186.78 | 51 | $9,525.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 10:05am ET | $187.17 | 51 | $9,545.72 | $9,652.85 |
+$19.94 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 10:15am ET | $187.63 | 51 | $9,569.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 1:20pm ET | $186.71 | 51 | $9,521.96 | $9,605.67 |
$-47.17 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.1h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 2:30pm ET | $187.13 | 51 | $9,543.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 9:35am ET | $186.24 | 51 | $9,498.35 | $9,560.39 |
$-45.28 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $183.12 | 52 | $9,522.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $182.22 | 52 | $9,475.44 | $9,513.59 |
$-46.80 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 12:20pm ET | $183.75 | 51 | $9,371.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 2:00pm ET | $182.70 | 51 | $9,317.45 | $9,459.79 |
$-53.81 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 3:50pm ET | $193.96 | 48 | $9,309.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.29 | 48 | $9,181.68 | $9,331.63 |
$-128.16 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $189.65 | 49 | $9,292.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $189.05 | 49 | $9,263.45 | $9,302.35 |
$-29.28 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 12:05pm ET | $188.69 | 49 | $9,245.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 1:05pm ET | $189.07 | 49 | $9,264.43 | $9,320.97 |
+$18.62 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 1:25pm ET | $190.88 | 48 | $9,162.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 3:05pm ET | $190.49 | 48 | $9,143.52 | $9,302.29 |
$-18.68 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 12:15pm ET | $191.73 | 48 | $9,202.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 2:20pm ET | $189.37 | 48 | $9,089.76 | $9,189.25 |
$-113.04 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 3:50pm ET | $187.75 | 48 | $9,012.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.76 | 48 | $8,868.48 | $9,045.73 |
$-143.52 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $183.58 | 49 | $8,995.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:55am ET | $184.65 | 49 | $9,047.85 | $9,098.04 |
+$52.31 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 10:10am ET | $180.97 | 50 | $9,048.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:30am ET | $181.86 | 50 | $9,092.75 | $9,142.29 |
+$44.25 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 11:25am ET | $182.51 | 50 | $9,125.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $180.38 | 50 | $9,018.75 | $9,035.39 |
$-106.90 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4.4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 2:45pm ET | $183.64 | 49 | $8,998.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.95 | 49 | $9,062.55 | $9,099.58 |
+$64.19 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $180.69 | 50 | $9,034.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $179.96 | 50 | $8,998.00 | $9,063.33 |
$-36.25 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 12:05pm ET | $176.55 | 51 | $9,004.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 12:20pm ET | $177.25 | 51 | $9,039.50 | $9,098.77 |
+$35.44 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 12:20pm ET | $176.26 | 51 | $8,989.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:20pm ET | $175.98 | 51 | $8,974.98 | $9,084.49 |
$-14.28 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $162.15 | 56 | $9,080.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:10am ET | $164.20 | 56 | $9,195.20 | $9,199.29 |
+$114.80 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 1:05pm ET | $160.38 | 57 | $9,141.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $156.65 | 57 | $8,929.05 | $8,986.68 |
$-212.61 (-2.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.5h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:25pm ET | $165.27 | 54 | $8,924.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:55pm ET | $166.48 | 54 | $8,989.92 | $9,052.02 |
+$65.34 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,052.02
Net Profit/Loss:
$-947.98
Total Return:
-9.48%