PEP Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 36 trades in period
+4.97%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,295.93
Current Value
69%
Win Rate
$9,808.83
Period Start
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
85.2 overbought
20d Trend
+19.9%
5d Trend
+9.7%
EMA20 Dist
+9.3%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
62.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
17
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.3/35
Total Return
2.8/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality
17.4/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 17.1
30-Day Momentum
12
-1.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.8
Conf: 0.87×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,808.83
Current Value
$10,295.93
Period P&L
$487.15
Max Drawdown
-12.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
25 /
11
Best Trade
+1.77%
Worst Trade
-1.66%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$717,865.51
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$487.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$487.15
Gross Return
+4.97%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.97%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PEP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,808.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:50am ET | $149.81 | 65 | $9,737.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:05am ET | $150.08 | 65 | $9,755.20 | $9,826.33 |
+$17.55 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 11:40am ET | $151.82 | 64 | $9,716.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:45pm ET | $151.92 | 64 | $9,722.88 | $9,833.05 |
+$6.72 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:00pm ET | $157.50 | 62 | $9,765.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 2:15pm ET | $158.04 | 62 | $9,798.48 | $9,866.53 |
+$33.48 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $153.75 | 64 | $9,840.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 10:45am ET | $154.58 | 64 | $9,893.12 | $9,919.65 |
+$53.12 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:40pm ET | $155.81 | 63 | $9,816.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:30pm ET | $156.11 | 63 | $9,834.93 | $9,938.55 |
+$18.90 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $153.42 | 64 | $9,818.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:45am ET | $153.32 | 64 | $9,812.54 | $9,932.21 |
$-6.34 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 2:55pm ET | $157.57 | 63 | $9,927.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $157.54 | 63 | $9,925.02 | $9,930.19 |
$-2.02 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $155.61 | 63 | $9,803.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 12:00pm ET | $155.68 | 63 | $9,807.84 | $9,934.60 |
+$4.41 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $155.63 | 63 | $9,804.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.00 | 63 | $9,765.00 | $9,894.91 |
$-39.69 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 2:10pm ET | $157.71 | 62 | $9,778.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:20pm ET | $157.98 | 62 | $9,794.76 | $9,911.39 |
+$16.48 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 12:00pm ET | $157.08 | 63 | $9,896.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 2:25pm ET | $156.31 | 63 | $9,847.53 | $9,862.88 |
$-48.51 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 3:35pm ET | $154.75 | 63 | $9,749.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.01 | 63 | $9,765.63 | $9,879.26 |
+$16.38 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $155.54 | 63 | $9,799.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $155.88 | 63 | $9,820.44 | $9,900.68 |
+$21.42 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 12:35pm ET | $155.15 | 63 | $9,774.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.74 | 63 | $9,874.31 | $10,000.54 |
+$99.86 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.9h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.53 | 64 | $9,953.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $156.15 | 64 | $9,993.60 | $10,040.22 |
+$39.68 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 1:00pm ET | $158.07 | 63 | $9,958.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 2:50pm ET | $157.08 | 63 | $9,896.04 | $9,977.69 |
$-62.53 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $153.04 | 65 | $9,947.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 10:15am ET | $154.06 | 65 | $10,013.90 | $10,043.99 |
+$66.30 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.02 | 64 | $9,921.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 10:50am ET | $155.49 | 64 | $9,951.68 | $10,074.39 |
+$30.40 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 11:05am ET | $155.05 | 64 | $9,923.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 11:40am ET | $155.78 | 64 | $9,969.92 | $10,121.11 |
+$46.72 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 2:35pm ET | $149.68 | 67 | $10,028.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 3:25pm ET | $149.83 | 67 | $10,038.39 | $10,130.60 |
+$9.49 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $151.00 | 67 | $10,117.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $152.38 | 67 | $10,209.46 | $10,223.06 |
+$92.46 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $149.02 | 68 | $10,133.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 10:30am ET | $149.55 | 68 | $10,169.74 | $10,259.32 |
+$36.26 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 1:30pm ET | $149.12 | 68 | $10,140.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 2:15pm ET | $149.31 | 68 | $10,153.08 | $10,272.24 |
+$12.92 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 1:05pm ET | $149.95 | 68 | $10,196.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 3:20pm ET | $149.60 | 68 | $10,172.46 | $10,248.10 |
$-24.14 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $147.56 | 69 | $10,181.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 10:45am ET | $148.16 | 69 | $10,223.38 | $10,289.84 |
+$41.74 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $149.72 | 68 | $10,180.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 11:35am ET | $147.30 | 68 | $10,016.74 | $10,125.62 |
$-164.22 (-1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 1:45pm ET | $148.14 | 68 | $10,073.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 2:45pm ET | $148.32 | 68 | $10,085.76 | $10,137.82 |
+$12.20 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.40 | 69 | $10,032.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 10:45am ET | $145.16 | 69 | $10,016.38 | $10,121.60 |
$-16.22 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 3:05pm ET | $141.68 | 71 | $10,058.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $142.18 | 71 | $10,094.78 | $10,157.45 |
+$35.85 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 1:45pm ET | $143.05 | 71 | $10,156.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $144.89 | 71 | $10,287.19 | $10,288.09 |
+$130.64 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 3:00pm ET | $142.60 | 72 | $10,267.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 11:00am ET | $140.23 | 72 | $10,096.78 | $10,117.67 |
$-170.42 (-1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 1:15pm ET | $142.69 | 70 | $9,988.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $142.88 | 70 | $10,001.60 | $10,130.97 |
+$13.30 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 3:45pm ET | $144.13 | 70 | $10,089.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 10:55am ET | $143.65 | 70 | $10,055.50 | $10,097.37 |
$-33.60 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $145.48 | 69 | $10,038.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 10:15am ET | $146.47 | 69 | $10,106.43 | $10,165.68 |
+$68.31 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 12:10pm ET | $143.78 | 70 | $10,064.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 1:50pm ET | $143.10 | 70 | $10,017.35 | $10,118.43 |
$-47.25 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 2:00pm ET | $141.00 | 71 | $10,011.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.50 | 71 | $10,188.50 | $10,295.93 |
+$177.50 (+1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,295.93
Net Profit/Loss:
+$295.93
Total Return:
+2.96%