PFE Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 35 trades in period
+1.86%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,532.87
Current Value
71%
Win Rate
$10,340.90
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
56.4 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+0.2%
EMA20 Dist
+1.5%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
77%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
21
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.6/35
Total Return
6.7/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality
21.2/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 20.9
30-Day Momentum
23
+0.4%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 23.8
Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,340.90
Current Value
$10,532.87
Period P&L
$192.03
Max Drawdown
-11.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
25 /
10
Best Trade
+1.42%
Worst Trade
-2.20%
Avg Trade Return
+0.05%
Avg Hold Time
4.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$724,659.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$192.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$192.03
Gross Return
+1.86%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.86%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PFE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,340.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $26.97 | 383 | $10,327.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.15 | 383 | $10,396.54 | $10,409.78 |
+$68.94 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 2:35pm ET | $27.57 | 377 | $10,392.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.60 | 377 | $10,405.20 | $10,422.97 |
+$13.19 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.9h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 1:35pm ET | $28.27 | 368 | $10,403.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 2:05pm ET | $28.34 | 368 | $10,429.12 | $10,448.73 |
+$25.76 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.53 | 379 | $10,433.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 12:15pm ET | $26.92 | 379 | $10,204.57 | $10,219.43 |
$-229.30 (-2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $27.12 | 376 | $10,197.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 12:50pm ET | $27.01 | 376 | $10,157.64 | $10,179.95 |
$-39.48 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 3:45pm ET | $27.17 | 374 | $10,163.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.24 | 374 | $10,187.76 | $10,204.26 |
+$24.31 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 1:45pm ET | $27.18 | 375 | $10,194.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 2:25pm ET | $27.24 | 375 | $10,213.13 | $10,223.01 |
+$18.75 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 12:55pm ET | $27.74 | 368 | $10,206.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 1:40pm ET | $27.78 | 368 | $10,223.04 | $10,239.57 |
+$16.56 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 2:10pm ET | $27.42 | 373 | $10,225.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 2:35pm ET | $27.47 | 373 | $10,246.31 | $10,260.08 |
+$20.51 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.75 | 383 | $10,247.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:00pm ET | $26.45 | 383 | $10,130.31 | $10,143.23 |
$-116.85 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.5h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.90 | 377 | $10,141.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $27.03 | 377 | $10,190.31 | $10,192.24 |
+$49.01 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET | $26.45 | 385 | $10,183.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 11:25am ET | $26.83 | 385 | $10,327.63 | $10,336.62 |
+$144.38 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.51 | 389 | $10,314.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:40am ET | $26.50 | 389 | $10,310.44 | $10,332.73 |
$-3.89 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 12:30pm ET | $26.33 | 392 | $10,319.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 1:15pm ET | $26.38 | 392 | $10,339.00 | $10,352.33 |
+$19.60 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 12:15pm ET | $26.33 | 393 | $10,349.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 1:35pm ET | $26.35 | 393 | $10,354.57 | $10,357.24 |
+$4.91 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.08 | 397 | $10,355.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 12:40pm ET | $25.82 | 397 | $10,248.56 | $10,250.05 |
$-107.19 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.2h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 2:20pm ET | $25.72 | 398 | $10,234.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 3:10pm ET | $25.76 | 398 | $10,252.48 | $10,267.96 |
+$17.91 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 3:30pm ET | $25.93 | 395 | $10,242.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $25.97 | 395 | $10,256.18 | $10,281.78 |
+$13.82 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 2:30pm ET | $25.75 | 399 | $10,272.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 2:50pm ET | $25.79 | 399 | $10,290.17 | $10,299.69 |
+$17.91 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 3:05pm ET | $25.25 | 407 | $10,276.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 3:25pm ET | $25.32 | 407 | $10,303.21 | $10,326.15 |
+$26.46 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 3:25pm ET | $25.61 | 403 | $10,320.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.91 | 403 | $10,439.72 | $10,445.04 |
+$118.89 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.71 | 406 | $10,437.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 10:00am ET | $25.82 | 406 | $10,482.92 | $10,490.92 |
+$45.88 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.88 | 405 | $10,481.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 10:50am ET | $25.83 | 405 | $10,463.17 | $10,472.69 |
$-18.23 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 12:15pm ET | $26.27 | 398 | $10,457.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 1:35pm ET | $26.24 | 398 | $10,443.52 | $10,458.76 |
$-13.93 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 2:30pm ET | $26.03 | 401 | $10,440.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 2:40pm ET | $26.08 | 401 | $10,460.08 | $10,478.81 |
+$20.05 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 3:40pm ET | $25.63 | 408 | $10,455.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.52 | 408 | $10,412.16 | $10,435.97 |
$-42.84 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.50 | 409 | $10,427.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 11:20am ET | $25.44 | 409 | $10,404.96 | $10,413.47 |
$-22.50 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 1:45pm ET | $25.68 | 405 | $10,400.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 2:35pm ET | $25.71 | 405 | $10,412.51 | $10,425.58 |
+$12.11 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 2:55pm ET | $26.00 | 400 | $10,402.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $26.03 | 400 | $10,414.00 | $10,437.58 |
+$12.00 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $25.55 | 408 | $10,423.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $25.61 | 408 | $10,448.88 | $10,462.88 |
+$25.30 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 1:05pm ET | $26.10 | 400 | $10,440.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET | $26.26 | 400 | $10,506.00 | $10,528.88 |
+$66.00 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 1:40pm ET | $26.15 | 402 | $10,510.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 1:50pm ET | $26.19 | 402 | $10,530.39 | $10,548.98 |
+$20.10 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $26.05 | 404 | $10,524.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 10:25am ET | $25.99 | 404 | $10,497.94 | $10,522.72 |
$-26.26 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 2:00pm ET | $26.08 | 403 | $10,512.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 2:40pm ET | $26.10 | 403 | $10,520.31 | $10,530.78 |
+$8.06 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $25.11 | 419 | $10,521.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 10:55am ET | $25.11 | 419 | $10,523.18 | $10,532.87 |
+$2.09 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,532.87
Net Profit/Loss:
+$532.87
Total Return:
+5.33%