PG Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 35 trades in period
+1.57%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,148.64
Current Value
69%
Win Rate
$10,976.21
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
76.9 overbought
20d Trend
+10.5%
5d Trend
+5.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
32
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.7/35
Total Return
9.1/25
Win Rate
9.1/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality
32.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 32.1
30-Day Momentum
38
+1.1%
30d Return
86%
Win Rate
14
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 38.4
Conf: 0.98×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,817
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,976.21
Current Value
$11,148.64
Period P&L
$172.42
Max Drawdown
-7.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
24 /
11
Best Trade
+0.91%
Worst Trade
-1.07%
Avg Trade Return
+0.05%
Avg Hold Time
5.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$767,755.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$172.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$172.42
Gross Return
+1.57%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.57%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,976.21 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:30am ET | $158.74 | 69 | $10,953.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 11:50am ET | $159.36 | 69 | $10,995.84 | $11,018.99 |
+$42.78 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $159.07 | 69 | $10,975.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $158.38 | 69 | $10,928.22 | $10,971.38 |
$-47.61 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $158.44 | 69 | $10,932.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 12:30pm ET | $156.94 | 69 | $10,829.20 | $10,867.89 |
$-103.49 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 1:20pm ET | $158.05 | 68 | $10,747.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 1:40pm ET | $158.33 | 68 | $10,766.44 | $10,886.93 |
+$19.04 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $164.11 | 66 | $10,831.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $165.43 | 66 | $10,918.71 | $10,974.38 |
+$87.45 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $163.05 | 67 | $10,924.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 11:00am ET | $163.45 | 67 | $10,951.15 | $11,000.98 |
+$26.60 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $165.29 | 66 | $10,909.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 12:25pm ET | $164.71 | 66 | $10,870.86 | $10,962.70 |
$-38.28 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 3:50pm ET | $159.55 | 68 | $10,849.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 10:45am ET | $158.50 | 68 | $10,778.01 | $10,891.31 |
$-71.39 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 2:05pm ET | $154.48 | 70 | $10,813.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 2:50pm ET | $154.86 | 70 | $10,840.20 | $10,917.91 |
+$26.60 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $153.15 | 71 | $10,873.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $154.55 | 71 | $10,973.05 | $11,017.31 |
+$99.40 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 3:35pm ET | $155.79 | 70 | $10,905.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $154.60 | 70 | $10,822.00 | $10,934.01 |
$-83.30 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $151.79 | 72 | $10,928.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:10am ET | $152.74 | 72 | $10,997.64 | $11,003.13 |
+$69.12 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:25pm ET | $150.74 | 72 | $10,853.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 12:45pm ET | $151.29 | 72 | $10,892.88 | $11,042.64 |
+$39.51 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 1:00pm ET | $152.02 | 72 | $10,945.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 3:20pm ET | $151.98 | 72 | $10,942.20 | $11,039.39 |
$-3.25 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.07 | 75 | $10,955.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 12:20pm ET | $145.34 | 75 | $10,900.50 | $10,984.64 |
$-54.75 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $143.96 | 76 | $10,940.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 10:50am ET | $144.65 | 76 | $10,993.02 | $11,036.70 |
+$52.06 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 1:10pm ET | $143.81 | 76 | $10,929.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 2:40pm ET | $144.06 | 76 | $10,948.56 | $11,055.70 |
+$19.00 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $143.72 | 76 | $10,922.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $144.17 | 76 | $10,956.92 | $11,089.90 |
+$34.20 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 2:30pm ET | $143.13 | 77 | $11,020.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.21 | 77 | $11,027.17 | $11,096.45 |
+$6.55 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $144.01 | 77 | $11,088.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 11:20am ET | $143.13 | 77 | $11,021.01 | $11,029.08 |
$-67.38 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 11:45am ET | $143.69 | 76 | $10,920.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 1:05pm ET | $143.64 | 76 | $10,916.64 | $11,025.27 |
$-3.81 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $142.88 | 77 | $11,001.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $143.28 | 77 | $11,032.56 | $11,056.07 |
+$30.80 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 1:40pm ET | $141.24 | 78 | $11,016.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 2:10pm ET | $141.53 | 78 | $11,039.34 | $11,078.69 |
+$22.62 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.98 | 76 | $10,942.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $144.65 | 76 | $10,993.40 | $11,129.61 |
+$50.92 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 1:35pm ET | $145.26 | 76 | $11,039.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 2:20pm ET | $145.45 | 76 | $11,053.82 | $11,144.05 |
+$14.44 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $144.26 | 77 | $11,108.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.62 | 77 | $11,058.74 | $11,094.38 |
$-49.67 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 3:25pm ET | $146.85 | 75 | $11,013.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 3:45pm ET | $147.09 | 75 | $11,031.75 | $11,112.38 |
+$18.00 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $143.39 | 77 | $11,041.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 10:05am ET | $143.96 | 77 | $11,084.92 | $11,156.27 |
+$43.89 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:50am ET | $142.47 | 78 | $11,112.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 1:05pm ET | $142.60 | 78 | $11,122.80 | $11,166.41 |
+$10.14 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 11:35am ET | $149.25 | 74 | $11,044.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 12:55pm ET | $149.67 | 74 | $11,075.58 | $11,197.49 |
+$31.08 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 2:15pm ET | $148.17 | 75 | $11,112.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 2:35pm ET | $148.38 | 75 | $11,128.87 | $11,213.61 |
+$16.12 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $148.09 | 75 | $11,106.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 11:50am ET | $146.50 | 75 | $10,987.50 | $11,094.73 |
$-118.88 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 1:05pm ET | $146.62 | 75 | $10,996.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 1:50pm ET | $146.89 | 75 | $11,016.75 | $11,114.98 |
+$20.25 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 2:10pm ET | $146.92 | 75 | $11,019.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:10pm ET | $147.03 | 75 | $11,027.25 | $11,123.23 |
+$8.25 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $143.05 | 77 | $11,014.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $143.38 | 77 | $11,040.26 | $11,148.64 |
+$25.41 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,148.64
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,148.64
Total Return:
+11.49%