Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
6,558
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
74 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,361.59
Current Value
$10,971.38
Period P&L
$609.79
Max Drawdown
-7.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.48

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
27 / 8
Best Trade
+1.34%
Worst Trade
-0.81%
Avg Trade Return
+0.16%
Avg Hold Time
6.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$738,508.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$609.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$609.79
Gross Return
+5.89%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.89%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 74 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,361.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 3:45pm ET $147.80 70 $10,346.00
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $146.60 70 $10,262.08 $10,277.68 $-83.92
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 11:30am ET $146.12 70 $10,228.40
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 12:10pm ET $146.64 70 $10,264.80 $10,314.08 +$36.40
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 2:25pm ET $146.85 70 $10,279.50
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 3:05pm ET $147.14 70 $10,299.80 $10,334.38 +$20.30
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 3:15pm ET $150.61 68 $10,241.66
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 3:50pm ET $150.87 68 $10,258.82 $10,351.54 +$17.16
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $147.94 69 $10,207.86
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 10:20am ET $148.23 69 $10,227.87 $10,371.55 +$20.01
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 3:30pm ET $148.21 69 $10,226.49
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 3:50pm ET $147.74 69 $10,193.72 $10,338.77 $-32.77
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 12:00pm ET $146.03 70 $10,222.10
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 1:05pm ET $146.22 70 $10,235.40 $10,352.07 +$13.30
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET $144.72 71 $10,275.12
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 9:55am ET $145.28 71 $10,314.88 $10,391.83 +$39.76
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 12:35pm ET $139.05 74 $10,289.70
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 12:55pm ET $139.76 74 $10,342.50 $10,444.63 +$52.80
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 1:40pm ET $140.33 74 $10,384.42
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 1:45pm ET $140.08 74 $10,365.92 $10,426.13 $-18.50
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 1:50pm ET $140.69 74 $10,411.06
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 2:05pm ET $141.03 74 $10,436.22 $10,451.29 +$25.16
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 2:20pm ET $144.45 72 $10,400.40
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 2:45pm ET $144.58 72 $10,410.00 $10,460.89 +$9.60
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $145.20 72 $10,454.40
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 9:30am ET $147.15 72 $10,594.80 $10,601.29 +$140.40
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $146.92 72 $10,577.88
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 11:05am ET $146.51 72 $10,548.72 $10,572.13 $-29.16
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 12:00pm ET $144.33 73 $10,536.09
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 2:00pm ET $144.33 73 $10,535.73 $10,571.77 $-0.37
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 3:10pm ET $142.68 74 $10,558.47
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 3:15pm ET $142.55 74 $10,548.33 $10,561.63 $-10.14
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 3:15pm ET $143.29 73 $10,460.10
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 9:30am ET $143.86 73 $10,501.42 $10,602.95 +$41.32
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 1:20pm ET $144.57 73 $10,553.25
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 1:45pm ET $144.68 73 $10,561.64 $10,611.34 +$8.40
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 2:00pm ET $144.54 73 $10,551.19
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 2:30pm ET $144.73 73 $10,565.29 $10,625.44 +$14.10
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $143.49 74 $10,617.89
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 10:05am ET $144.01 74 $10,656.37 $10,663.92 +$38.48
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 12:45pm ET $141.59 75 $10,619.25
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 1:50pm ET $141.80 75 $10,634.63 $10,679.29 +$15.37
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:35am ET $140.66 75 $10,549.50
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $140.51 75 $10,538.25 $10,668.04 $-11.25
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:20pm ET $141.32 75 $10,598.63
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:30pm ET $141.61 75 $10,620.75 $10,690.17 +$22.13
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 12:35pm ET $143.01 74 $10,582.74
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 1:20pm ET $143.36 74 $10,608.27 $10,715.70 +$25.53
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 12:20pm ET $146.39 73 $10,686.47
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 1:10pm ET $146.47 73 $10,692.43 $10,721.65 +$5.96
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:40pm ET $144.84 74 $10,717.79
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 2:50pm ET $144.99 74 $10,729.26 $10,733.12 +$11.47
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:30pm ET $146.44 73 $10,690.12
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:20pm ET $146.79 73 $10,715.67 $10,758.67 +$25.55
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 12:05pm ET $149.37 72 $10,754.37
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $149.98 72 $10,798.56 $10,802.87 +$44.19
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $150.16 71 $10,661.36
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $150.64 71 $10,695.44 $10,836.95 +$34.08
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:25am ET $148.19 73 $10,817.87
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:50am ET $148.94 73 $10,872.62 $10,891.70 +$54.75
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 12:35pm ET $147.61 73 $10,775.54
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:05pm ET $147.84 73 $10,792.32 $10,908.48 +$16.78
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:15pm ET $155.48 70 $10,883.60
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 2:25pm ET $155.59 70 $10,891.30 $10,916.18 +$7.70
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 2:50pm ET $157.41 69 $10,861.29
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $158.28 69 $10,921.32 $10,976.21 +$60.03
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:30am ET $158.74 69 $10,953.06
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 11:50am ET $159.36 69 $10,995.84 $11,018.99 +$42.78
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $159.07 69 $10,975.83
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $158.38 69 $10,928.22 $10,971.38 $-47.61
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,971.38
Net Profit/Loss: +$971.38
Total Return: +9.71%
Back to Professor Mean