PLTR Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 38 trades in period
-11.20%
Last 3 Months Return
$17,119.66
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$19,278.35
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
53
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
22.2/35
Total Return
15.4/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
53.7/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 53.0
30-Day Momentum
20
-8.5%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
15
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.0
Conf: 1.00×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$19,278.35
Current Value
$17,119.66
Period P&L
$-2,158.76
Max Drawdown
-11.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
24 /
14
Best Trade
+3.20%
Worst Trade
-9.88%
Avg Trade Return
-0.29%
Avg Hold Time
6.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,407,099.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,158.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,158.76
Gross Return
-11.20%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.20%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $19,278.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:30pm ET | $135.42 | 142 | $19,229.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 2:25pm ET | $135.83 | 142 | $19,287.86 | $19,336.63 |
+$58.22 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:15pm ET | $143.67 | 134 | $19,251.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $143.16 | 134 | $19,183.44 | $19,268.29 |
$-68.34 (-0.3%) |
📅 Sim Ended
42m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $136.81 | 140 | $19,153.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 11:10am ET | $135.22 | 140 | $18,930.80 | $19,045.69 |
$-222.60 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $128.80 | 147 | $18,933.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 10:20am ET | $130.66 | 147 | $19,207.02 | $19,319.11 |
+$273.42 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 1:15pm ET | $138.51 | 139 | $19,252.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $132.38 | 139 | $18,400.82 | $18,467.74 |
$-851.38 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $132.24 | 139 | $18,381.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 10:30am ET | $133.56 | 139 | $18,564.78 | $18,651.15 |
+$183.41 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $129.08 | 144 | $18,587.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 10:30am ET | $129.70 | 144 | $18,676.80 | $18,740.43 |
+$89.28 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 3:25pm ET | $133.85 | 140 | $18,739.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $134.67 | 140 | $18,853.80 | $18,855.23 |
+$114.80 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $134.39 | 140 | $18,814.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $137.15 | 140 | $19,201.00 | $19,241.63 |
+$386.40 (+2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 1:45pm ET | $145.50 | 132 | $19,206.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 2:20pm ET | $145.97 | 132 | $19,268.04 | $19,303.67 |
+$62.04 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 12:35pm ET | $150.46 | 128 | $19,258.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 1:15pm ET | $151.52 | 128 | $19,394.57 | $19,439.41 |
+$135.74 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 3:15pm ET | $158.33 | 122 | $19,316.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 10:45am ET | $155.79 | 122 | $19,006.38 | $19,129.32 |
$-310.09 (-1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $153.15 | 124 | $18,990.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $153.65 | 124 | $19,051.98 | $19,190.70 |
+$61.38 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:25pm ET | $151.43 | 126 | $19,080.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 12:40pm ET | $152.20 | 126 | $19,177.45 | $19,287.97 |
+$97.27 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 2:35pm ET | $154.79 | 124 | $19,194.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $154.90 | 124 | $19,207.60 | $19,301.37 |
+$13.40 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.9h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $152.35 | 126 | $19,196.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:50am ET | $153.22 | 126 | $19,305.72 | $19,410.99 |
+$109.62 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 2:45pm ET | $149.85 | 129 | $19,330.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $150.66 | 129 | $19,435.14 | $19,516.13 |
+$105.14 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $159.76 | 122 | $19,490.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $157.16 | 122 | $19,173.52 | $19,198.93 |
$-317.20 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $157.24 | 122 | $19,182.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 12:45pm ET | $156.26 | 122 | $19,064.33 | $19,080.59 |
$-118.34 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $147.48 | 129 | $19,025.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.83 | 129 | $18,812.07 | $18,867.64 |
$-212.95 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $142.26 | 132 | $18,778.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 11:00am ET | $142.21 | 132 | $18,771.72 | $18,861.04 |
$-6.60 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 3:40pm ET | $145.83 | 129 | $18,812.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 3:50pm ET | $146.25 | 129 | $18,866.25 | $18,915.22 |
+$54.18 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.32 | 131 | $18,774.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $141.76 | 131 | $18,570.57 | $18,710.87 |
$-204.35 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET | $147.67 | 126 | $18,606.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:10pm ET | $147.94 | 126 | $18,640.44 | $18,744.89 |
+$34.02 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 12:20pm ET | $145.43 | 128 | $18,615.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $131.07 | 128 | $16,776.32 | $16,906.17 |
$-1,838.72 (-9.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $123.77 | 136 | $16,832.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:35am ET | $127.72 | 136 | $17,370.60 | $17,443.98 |
+$537.81 (+3.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:00pm ET | $135.78 | 128 | $17,379.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET | $135.56 | 128 | $17,351.68 | $17,415.82 |
$-28.16 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $140.68 | 123 | $17,303.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:35am ET | $141.91 | 123 | $17,454.93 | $17,567.73 |
+$151.91 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 12:20pm ET | $146.35 | 120 | $17,561.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 12:55pm ET | $147.30 | 120 | $17,676.00 | $17,682.33 |
+$114.60 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:00pm ET | $145.47 | 121 | $17,601.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:20pm ET | $145.74 | 121 | $17,635.14 | $17,715.60 |
+$33.27 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET | $145.46 | 121 | $17,600.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $149.24 | 121 | $18,058.64 | $18,173.58 |
+$457.98 (+2.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $149.73 | 121 | $18,117.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $147.74 | 121 | $17,877.11 | $17,933.36 |
$-240.22 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $140.64 | 127 | $17,861.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 11:05am ET | $140.93 | 127 | $17,898.11 | $17,970.19 |
+$36.83 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 11:45am ET | $143.11 | 125 | $17,888.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 1:15pm ET | $143.32 | 125 | $17,915.00 | $17,996.44 |
+$26.25 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $141.18 | 127 | $17,929.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $139.03 | 127 | $17,656.81 | $17,723.34 |
$-273.10 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $136.70 | 129 | $17,634.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:05am ET | $138.05 | 129 | $17,808.45 | $17,897.49 |
+$174.15 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:50pm ET | $143.23 | 124 | $17,759.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 12:55pm ET | $144.10 | 124 | $17,868.40 | $18,005.99 |
+$108.50 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 3:15pm ET | $147.19 | 122 | $17,957.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $139.93 | 122 | $17,070.85 | $17,119.66 |
$-886.33 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$17,119.66
Net Profit/Loss:
+$7,119.66
Total Return:
+71.20%