PLTR Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-21 to present • 39 trades in period
-17.86%
Last 3 Months Return
$16,030.99
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$19,516.06
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026
49
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
18.8/35
Total Return
14.9/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality
49.2/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 48.9
30-Day Momentum
17
-7.8%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.9
Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-32 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$19,516.06
Current Value
$16,030.99
Period P&L
$-3,485.14
Max Drawdown
-11.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.22
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
23 /
16
Best Trade
+3.20%
Worst Trade
-9.88%
Avg Trade Return
-0.48%
Avg Hold Time
4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,369,999.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,485.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,485.14
Gross Return
-17.86%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.86%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $19,516.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $159.76 | 122 | $19,490.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $157.16 | 122 | $19,173.52 | $19,198.93 |
$-317.20 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $157.24 | 122 | $19,182.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 12:45pm ET | $156.26 | 122 | $19,064.33 | $19,080.59 |
$-118.34 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $147.48 | 129 | $19,025.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.83 | 129 | $18,812.07 | $18,867.64 |
$-212.95 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $142.26 | 132 | $18,778.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 11:00am ET | $142.21 | 132 | $18,771.72 | $18,861.04 |
$-6.60 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 3:40pm ET | $145.83 | 129 | $18,812.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 3:50pm ET | $146.25 | 129 | $18,866.25 | $18,915.22 |
+$54.18 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.32 | 131 | $18,774.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $141.76 | 131 | $18,570.57 | $18,710.87 |
$-204.35 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET | $147.67 | 126 | $18,606.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:10pm ET | $147.94 | 126 | $18,640.44 | $18,744.89 |
+$34.02 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 12:20pm ET | $145.43 | 128 | $18,615.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $131.07 | 128 | $16,776.32 | $16,906.17 |
$-1,838.72 (-9.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $123.77 | 136 | $16,832.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:35am ET | $127.72 | 136 | $17,370.60 | $17,443.98 |
+$537.81 (+3.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:00pm ET | $135.78 | 128 | $17,379.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET | $135.56 | 128 | $17,351.68 | $17,415.82 |
$-28.16 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $140.68 | 123 | $17,303.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:35am ET | $141.91 | 123 | $17,454.93 | $17,567.73 |
+$151.91 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 12:20pm ET | $146.35 | 120 | $17,561.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 12:55pm ET | $147.30 | 120 | $17,676.00 | $17,682.33 |
+$114.60 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:00pm ET | $145.47 | 121 | $17,601.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:20pm ET | $145.74 | 121 | $17,635.14 | $17,715.60 |
+$33.27 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET | $145.46 | 121 | $17,600.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $149.24 | 121 | $18,058.64 | $18,173.58 |
+$457.98 (+2.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $149.73 | 121 | $18,117.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $147.74 | 121 | $17,877.11 | $17,933.36 |
$-240.22 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $140.64 | 127 | $17,861.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 11:05am ET | $140.93 | 127 | $17,898.11 | $17,970.19 |
+$36.83 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 11:45am ET | $143.11 | 125 | $17,888.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 1:15pm ET | $143.32 | 125 | $17,915.00 | $17,996.44 |
+$26.25 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $141.18 | 127 | $17,929.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $139.03 | 127 | $17,656.81 | $17,723.34 |
$-273.10 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $136.70 | 129 | $17,634.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:05am ET | $138.05 | 129 | $17,808.45 | $17,897.49 |
+$174.15 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:50pm ET | $143.23 | 124 | $17,759.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 12:55pm ET | $144.10 | 124 | $17,868.40 | $18,005.99 |
+$108.50 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 3:15pm ET | $147.19 | 122 | $17,957.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $139.93 | 122 | $17,070.85 | $17,119.66 |
$-886.33 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $133.32 | 128 | $17,064.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $135.21 | 128 | $17,306.88 | $17,362.22 |
+$242.56 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 12:10pm ET | $138.11 | 125 | $17,263.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 2:05pm ET | $137.52 | 125 | $17,190.00 | $17,288.47 |
$-73.75 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $135.01 | 128 | $17,281.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 10:25am ET | $135.64 | 128 | $17,361.92 | $17,368.47 |
+$80.00 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 11:20am ET | $134.54 | 129 | $17,355.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 12:15pm ET | $134.80 | 129 | $17,389.20 | $17,402.01 |
+$33.54 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 1:35pm ET | $130.27 | 133 | $17,325.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 3:20pm ET | $130.28 | 133 | $17,327.24 | $17,403.34 |
+$1.33 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $132.74 | 131 | $17,388.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $134.09 | 131 | $17,565.14 | $17,580.19 |
+$176.85 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $134.13 | 131 | $17,571.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $132.73 | 131 | $17,387.83 | $17,396.99 |
$-183.20 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $135.50 | 128 | $17,344.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 11:15am ET | $136.21 | 128 | $17,435.52 | $17,488.51 |
+$91.52 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 2:55pm ET | $136.60 | 128 | $17,485.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $133.18 | 128 | $17,047.68 | $17,050.75 |
$-437.76 (-2.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 2:50pm ET | $155.50 | 109 | $16,949.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 3:15pm ET | $156.07 | 109 | $17,011.63 | $17,112.88 |
+$62.13 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.10 | 108 | $16,966.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 11:40am ET | $152.20 | 108 | $16,437.06 | $16,583.14 |
$-529.74 (-3.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 3:00pm ET | $141.90 | 116 | $16,459.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 3:45pm ET | $142.27 | 116 | $16,503.90 | $16,627.22 |
+$44.08 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $141.20 | 117 | $16,520.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $139.60 | 117 | $16,332.62 | $16,439.44 |
$-187.78 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $135.15 | 121 | $16,353.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $136.26 | 121 | $16,487.46 | $16,573.75 |
+$134.31 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET | $131.13 | 126 | $16,521.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 11:45am ET | $132.47 | 126 | $16,691.22 | $16,743.22 |
+$169.47 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $128.65 | 130 | $16,724.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 10:55am ET | $129.21 | 130 | $16,796.65 | $16,815.37 |
+$72.15 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 1:00pm ET | $133.58 | 125 | $16,697.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 2:25pm ET | $133.93 | 125 | $16,741.87 | $16,859.74 |
+$44.37 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $134.04 | 125 | $16,755.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 11:05am ET | $127.41 | 125 | $15,926.25 | $16,030.99 |
$-828.75 (-4.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
21h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$16,030.99
Net Profit/Loss:
+$6,030.99
Total Return:
+60.31%