Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,535
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
71 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (4 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,880.95
Current Value
$9,647.77
Period P&L
$-233.10
Max Drawdown
-17.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
19 / 17
Best Trade
+1.20%
Worst Trade
-2.65%
Avg Trade Return
-0.06%
Avg Hold Time
3.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$713,371.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-233.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$-233.10
Gross Return
-2.36%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PYPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 71 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,880.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $63.06 156 $9,836.58
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:35am ET $63.02 156 $9,830.34 $9,874.65 $-6.24
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 2:35pm ET $61.75 159 $9,817.46
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET $60.90 159 $9,682.31 $9,739.50 $-135.15
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $58.71 165 $9,686.33
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:35am ET $58.68 165 $9,681.38 $9,734.55 $-4.95
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $60.47 160 $9,674.40
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 10:55am ET $60.56 160 $9,689.60 $9,749.75 +$15.20
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 2:35pm ET $61.30 159 $9,746.70
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $62.04 159 $9,863.57 $9,866.61 +$116.87
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET $60.97 161 $9,815.37
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 11:10am ET $61.40 161 $9,885.40 $9,936.65 +$70.03
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 11:10am ET $62.03 160 $9,924.80
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 11:20am ET $62.44 160 $9,990.42 $10,002.26 +$65.62
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET $60.84 164 $9,976.94
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 9:50am ET $61.06 164 $10,013.84 $10,039.16 +$36.90
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 12:05pm ET $61.05 164 $10,012.20
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 1:50pm ET $61.09 164 $10,018.76 $10,045.72 +$6.56
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 1:20pm ET $60.93 164 $9,991.70
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 2:35pm ET $61.05 164 $10,011.38 $10,065.40 +$19.68
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 9:35am ET $61.10 164 $10,020.40
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 9:45am ET $61.63 164 $10,107.32 $10,152.32 +$86.92
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 11:55am ET $59.55 170 $10,123.50
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 1:00pm ET $59.50 170 $10,114.15 $10,142.97 $-9.35
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 1:05pm ET $59.49 170 $10,113.30
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 2:35pm ET $59.57 170 $10,126.05 $10,155.72 +$12.75
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 3:45pm ET $59.89 169 $10,121.41
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:05am ET $59.40 169 $10,038.62 $10,072.93 $-82.79
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 9:40am ET $59.56 169 $10,064.80
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 10:25am ET $59.90 169 $10,122.26 $10,130.39 +$57.46
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 12:25pm ET $59.17 171 $10,118.07
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 1:05pm ET $59.24 171 $10,129.22 $10,141.54 +$11.15
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 3:10pm ET $59.12 171 $10,109.54
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 3:20pm ET $59.19 171 $10,120.74 $10,152.74 +$11.20
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $58.21 174 $10,128.54
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:35am ET $57.95 174 $10,083.32 $10,107.52 $-45.22
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 1:40pm ET $59.34 170 $10,086.95
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $59.42 170 $10,100.55 $10,121.12 +$13.60
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 2:20pm ET $58.69 172 $10,094.70
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $57.89 172 $9,956.22 $9,982.64 $-138.48
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 9:40am ET $57.99 172 $9,974.28
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 11:10am ET $57.65 172 $9,915.80 $9,924.16 $-58.48
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 1:25pm ET $57.24 173 $9,902.52
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 3:00pm ET $57.19 173 $9,893.01 $9,914.64 $-9.51
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:35am ET $57.11 173 $9,880.03
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET $56.82 173 $9,829.86 $9,864.47 $-50.17
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET $56.39 174 $9,810.99
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:05am ET $56.62 174 $9,851.01 $9,904.49 +$40.02
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:45pm ET $55.26 179 $9,890.73
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:50pm ET $55.39 179 $9,914.54 $9,928.30 +$23.81
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:00pm ET $57.14 173 $9,885.22
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 1:05pm ET $56.98 173 $9,856.68 $9,899.76 $-28.54
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 1:50pm ET $56.62 174 $9,851.01
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 2:30pm ET $56.77 174 $9,877.49 $9,926.24 +$26.48
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET $54.82 181 $9,922.42
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:40am ET $54.77 181 $9,913.60 $9,917.42 $-8.82
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET $53.17 186 $9,889.62
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 11:40am ET $52.98 186 $9,853.82 $9,881.61 $-35.81
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 1:30pm ET $52.07 189 $9,841.23
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:45pm ET $52.28 189 $9,880.92 $9,921.30 +$39.69
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:00pm ET $52.65 188 $9,899.14
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $52.92 188 $9,949.90 $9,972.06 +$50.76
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $41.52 240 $9,964.80
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $40.42 240 $9,700.80 $9,708.06 $-264.00
(-2.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET $40.48 239 $9,674.72
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:45am ET $40.20 239 $9,606.80 $9,640.14 $-67.92
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:25pm ET $40.12 240 $9,627.60
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $40.41 240 $9,698.40 $9,710.94 +$70.80
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $41.75 232 $9,685.81
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 2:30pm ET $41.57 232 $9,644.24 $9,669.37 $-41.57
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 3:20pm ET $40.16 240 $9,638.40
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:25pm ET $40.07 240 $9,616.80 $9,647.77 $-21.60
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,647.77
Net Profit/Loss: $-352.23
Total Return: -3.52%
Back to Professor Mean