RBLX Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 34 trades in period
+12.63%
Last 3 Months Return
$13,461.27
Current Value
65%
Win Rate
$11,951.26
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
35
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
6.7/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
36.0/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 35.5
30-Day Momentum
20
-0.6%
30d Return
69%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.0
Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,881
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,951.26
Current Value
$13,461.27
Period P&L
$1,510.00
Max Drawdown
-18.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
22 /
12
Best Trade
+5.15%
Worst Trade
-4.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.36%
Avg Hold Time
8.6h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$910,162.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,510.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,510.00
Gross Return
+12.63%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.63%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,951.26 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:55pm ET | $66.82 | 178 | $11,894.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.26 | 178 | $12,507.17 | $12,563.95 |
+$612.68 (+5.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 2:55pm ET | $72.30 | 173 | $12,507.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 3:00pm ET | $71.89 | 173 | $12,437.56 | $12,494.13 |
$-69.82 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET | $62.90 | 198 | $12,455.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 1:35pm ET | $63.37 | 198 | $12,547.26 | $12,586.20 |
+$92.07 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 2:40pm ET | $63.97 | 196 | $12,539.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 9:50am ET | $64.65 | 196 | $12,671.40 | $12,718.50 |
+$132.30 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET | $60.78 | 209 | $12,701.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 1:40pm ET | $61.06 | 209 | $12,761.54 | $12,778.06 |
+$59.56 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.85 | 206 | $12,740.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $63.37 | 206 | $13,054.22 | $13,092.21 |
+$314.15 (+2.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.72 | 187 | $13,037.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 10:20am ET | $70.73 | 187 | $13,226.51 | $13,281.08 |
+$188.87 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 11:20am ET | $65.84 | 201 | $13,233.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 12:00pm ET | $66.45 | 201 | $13,356.45 | $13,403.69 |
+$122.61 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.00 | 203 | $13,398.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $67.27 | 203 | $13,655.81 | $13,661.50 |
+$257.81 (+1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 12:45pm ET | $65.50 | 208 | $13,624.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 2:55pm ET | $65.42 | 208 | $13,606.32 | $13,643.82 |
$-17.68 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 3:35pm ET | $63.29 | 215 | $13,607.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $63.69 | 215 | $13,693.35 | $13,729.82 |
+$86.00 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 10:10am ET | $60.58 | 226 | $13,691.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 12:20pm ET | $60.28 | 226 | $13,623.28 | $13,662.02 |
$-67.80 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 11:55am ET | $57.83 | 236 | $13,647.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 1:20pm ET | $57.61 | 236 | $13,595.96 | $13,610.10 |
$-51.92 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET | $55.98 | 243 | $13,603.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 2:25pm ET | $56.31 | 243 | $13,683.33 | $13,690.29 |
+$80.19 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 1:45pm ET | $58.59 | 233 | $13,651.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $58.81 | 233 | $13,702.73 | $13,741.55 |
+$51.26 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 10:10am ET | $57.89 | 237 | $13,719.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 11:05am ET | $58.30 | 237 | $13,817.10 | $13,838.72 |
+$97.17 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:45am ET | $56.68 | 244 | $13,829.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 1:35pm ET | $56.40 | 244 | $13,760.38 | $13,769.47 |
$-69.25 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 2:00pm ET | $55.78 | 246 | $13,723.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:15pm ET | $55.75 | 246 | $13,714.50 | $13,760.86 |
$-8.61 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.40 | 257 | $13,725.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:50am ET | $52.68 | 257 | $13,538.76 | $13,574.54 |
$-186.32 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:05pm ET | $51.64 | 262 | $13,529.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $51.75 | 262 | $13,558.50 | $13,603.36 |
+$28.82 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.47 | 240 | $13,553.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $56.23 | 240 | $13,495.20 | $13,545.52 |
$-57.84 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $59.25 | 228 | $13,509.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 11:20am ET | $57.92 | 228 | $13,204.62 | $13,241.14 |
$-304.38 (-2.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 1:10pm ET | $57.22 | 231 | $13,217.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $55.72 | 231 | $12,871.32 | $12,894.64 |
$-346.50 (-2.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $53.20 | 242 | $12,874.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 11:05am ET | $53.65 | 242 | $12,982.09 | $13,002.33 |
+$107.69 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 3:20pm ET | $57.66 | 225 | $12,974.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $58.66 | 225 | $13,198.50 | $13,226.74 |
+$224.41 (+1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 3:40pm ET | $59.78 | 221 | $13,211.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.17 | 221 | $13,518.57 | $13,533.93 |
+$307.19 (+2.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $59.80 | 226 | $13,514.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:45pm ET | $60.37 | 226 | $13,643.62 | $13,662.75 |
+$128.82 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:00pm ET | $61.47 | 222 | $13,647.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:40pm ET | $61.72 | 222 | $13,702.95 | $13,718.25 |
+$55.50 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET | $61.82 | 221 | $13,662.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $62.43 | 221 | $13,797.03 | $13,853.06 |
+$134.81 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.80 | 243 | $13,802.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 11:05am ET | $56.31 | 243 | $13,683.33 | $13,733.99 |
$-119.07 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:50am ET | $56.46 | 243 | $13,720.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 12:20pm ET | $56.82 | 243 | $13,807.26 | $13,820.43 |
+$86.44 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 11:40am ET | $55.42 | 249 | $13,799.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 12:05pm ET | $55.99 | 249 | $13,942.75 | $13,963.61 |
+$143.18 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:10pm ET | $46.03 | 303 | $13,948.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 1:20pm ET | $46.27 | 303 | $14,018.87 | $14,034.48 |
+$70.87 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 3:25pm ET | $47.72 | 294 | $14,031.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 11:55am ET | $45.78 | 294 | $13,457.85 | $13,461.27 |
$-573.21 (-4.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.5h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,461.27
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,461.27
Total Return:
+34.61%