Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:40:48

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
53.6 neutral
20d Trend
-3.7%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
2.8%
Range Pos
81%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.2/35
Total Return
10.3/25
Win Rate
8.7/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 30.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 29.8

30-Day Momentum

23
+0.0%
30d Return
77%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 24.3 Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,761
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,833.35
Current Value
$11,616.54
Period P&L
$783.17
Max Drawdown
-13.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.34

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
29 / 8
Best Trade
+2.15%
Worst Trade
-1.40%
Avg Trade Return
+0.19%
Avg Hold Time
3.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$811,764.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$783.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$783.17
Gross Return
+7.23%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.23%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 REGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,833.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:05pm ET $780.76 13 $10,149.82
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:45pm ET $783.54 13 $10,186.02 $10,869.57 +$36.20
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 2:55pm ET $776.56 13 $10,095.28
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $778.29 13 $10,117.77 $10,892.06 +$22.49
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:30pm ET $756.53 14 $10,591.35
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:10am ET $756.24 14 $10,587.36 $10,888.07 $-3.99
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:15am ET $793.39 13 $10,314.07
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 1:05pm ET $787.53 13 $10,237.89 $10,811.89 $-76.18
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 2:15pm ET $788.96 13 $10,256.48
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 3:00pm ET $790.74 13 $10,279.68 $10,835.09 +$23.20
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET $775.87 13 $10,086.31
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 10:55am ET $776.01 13 $10,088.13 $10,836.91 +$1.82
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 2:40pm ET $785.31 13 $10,209.03
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $785.48 13 $10,211.30 $10,839.18 +$2.27
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 1:15pm ET $784.21 13 $10,194.73
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 2:15pm ET $784.85 13 $10,203.05 $10,847.50 +$8.32
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $760.91 14 $10,652.74
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:35am ET $777.28 14 $10,881.99 $11,076.75 +$229.25
(+2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:10am ET $776.88 14 $10,876.32
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 11:10am ET $781.40 14 $10,939.60 $11,140.03 +$63.28
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 1:55pm ET $767.42 14 $10,743.88
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:15pm ET $771.94 14 $10,807.16 $11,203.31 +$63.28
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $780.00 14 $10,920.00
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:35am ET $778.67 14 $10,901.38 $11,184.69 $-18.62
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $753.35 14 $10,546.90
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 11:00am ET $758.06 14 $10,612.84 $11,250.63 +$65.94
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $769.17 14 $10,768.38
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 10:20am ET $773.37 14 $10,827.18 $11,309.43 +$58.80
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 12:10pm ET $753.86 15 $11,307.90
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 1:40pm ET $755.67 15 $11,335.05 $11,336.58 +$27.15
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 3:40pm ET $743.55 15 $11,153.22
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $750.00 15 $11,250.00 $11,433.36 +$96.78
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:20am ET $759.14 15 $11,387.10
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $759.20 15 $11,388.00 $11,434.26 +$0.90
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 3:10pm ET $744.67 15 $11,170.05
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $746.92 15 $11,203.80 $11,468.01 +$33.75
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 12:05pm ET $736.55 15 $11,048.25
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:45pm ET $734.12 15 $11,011.80 $11,431.56 $-36.45
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $728.51 15 $10,927.65
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:40am ET $735.00 15 $11,025.00 $11,528.91 +$97.35
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 1:45pm ET $747.99 15 $11,219.85
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 2:15pm ET $750.17 15 $11,252.62 $11,561.68 +$32.77
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 3:00pm ET $758.52 15 $11,377.80
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET $758.48 15 $11,377.27 $11,561.15 $-0.53
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:50pm ET $748.34 15 $11,225.10
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 2:15pm ET $750.57 15 $11,258.55 $11,594.60 +$33.45
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $772.08 15 $11,581.25
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:05pm ET $773.22 15 $11,598.30 $11,611.65 +$17.05
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $761.04 15 $11,415.60
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:30pm ET $761.52 15 $11,422.80 $11,618.85 +$7.20
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:00pm ET $754.63 15 $11,319.45
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:45pm ET $757.40 15 $11,360.93 $11,660.33 +$41.48
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $764.15 15 $11,462.25
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET $771.14 15 $11,567.03 $11,765.10 +$104.77
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:05am ET $753.00 15 $11,295.00
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $742.44 15 $11,136.60 $11,606.70 $-158.40
(-1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.2h held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 1:25pm ET $753.49 15 $11,302.35
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 2:15pm ET $754.53 15 $11,317.95 $11,622.30 +$15.60
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:25am ET $749.26 15 $11,238.90
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:40am ET $749.34 15 $11,240.10 $11,623.50 +$1.20
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
31 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 2:35pm ET $747.91 15 $11,218.65
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $749.96 15 $11,249.40 $11,654.25 +$30.75
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
32 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $747.60 15 $11,214.00
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $740.28 15 $11,104.27 $11,544.52 $-109.73
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
33 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:15am ET $747.65 15 $11,214.75
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 12:25pm ET $748.21 15 $11,223.15 $11,552.92 +$8.40
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $757.11 15 $11,356.65
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:35pm ET $759.71 15 $11,395.58 $11,591.85 +$38.93
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:25pm ET $742.37 15 $11,135.55
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 2:00pm ET $738.72 15 $11,080.80 $11,537.10 $-54.75
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 1:55pm ET $703.04 16 $11,248.56
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 2:40pm ET $705.10 16 $11,281.60 $11,570.14 +$33.04
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
37 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:00am ET $704.09 16 $11,265.44
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:00am ET $706.99 16 $11,311.84 $11,616.54 +$46.40
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,616.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,616.54
Total Return: +16.17%
Back to Professor Mean