RIOT Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 35 trades in period
+6.80%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,456.71
Current Value
66%
Win Rate
$8,854.67
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,687
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
75 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,854.67
Current Value
$9,456.71
Period P&L
$602.00
Max Drawdown
-50.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
23 /
12
Best Trade
+5.74%
Worst Trade
-5.26%
Avg Trade Return
+0.21%
Avg Hold Time
7.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$634,326.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$602.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$602.00
Gross Return
+6.80%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.80%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 75 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $8,854.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $13.06 | 678 | $8,854.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:55am ET | $13.81 | 678 | $9,363.18 | $9,363.20 |
+$508.50 (+5.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 1:30pm ET | $13.70 | 683 | $9,355.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 3:05pm ET | $13.60 | 683 | $9,288.73 | $9,296.54 |
$-66.66 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 10:35am ET | $13.72 | 677 | $9,288.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 12:05pm ET | $13.40 | 677 | $9,068.42 | $9,076.52 |
$-220.03 (-2.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 3:35pm ET | $12.96 | 700 | $9,068.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 11:25am ET | $12.45 | 700 | $8,711.50 | $8,719.52 |
$-357.00 (-3.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 3:30pm ET | $13.72 | 635 | $8,709.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 3:45pm ET | $13.82 | 635 | $8,772.53 | $8,783.02 |
+$63.50 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 11:45am ET | $14.41 | 609 | $8,775.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 12:40pm ET | $14.72 | 609 | $8,964.48 | $8,971.81 |
+$188.79 (+2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 12:40pm ET | $15.88 | 564 | $8,956.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 11:35am ET | $15.24 | 564 | $8,595.36 | $8,610.85 |
$-360.96 (-4.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 1:35pm ET | $15.40 | 558 | $8,595.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 2:10pm ET | $15.67 | 558 | $8,741.07 | $8,756.26 |
+$145.41 (+1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 9:50am ET | $15.27 | 573 | $8,749.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 10:05am ET | $15.49 | 573 | $8,875.77 | $8,882.32 |
+$126.06 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 11:05am ET | $14.86 | 597 | $8,874.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 12:05pm ET | $15.04 | 597 | $8,978.88 | $8,987.16 |
+$104.83 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 3:30pm ET | $14.90 | 603 | $8,981.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 3:50pm ET | $14.98 | 603 | $9,029.93 | $9,035.40 |
+$48.24 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $15.19 | 594 | $9,022.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $15.27 | 594 | $9,070.38 | $9,082.92 |
+$47.52 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $15.26 | 595 | $9,076.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 12:10pm ET | $15.32 | 595 | $9,112.43 | $9,118.62 |
+$35.70 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 1:20pm ET | $13.79 | 661 | $9,111.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 2:00pm ET | $13.98 | 661 | $9,237.48 | $9,244.21 |
+$125.59 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 1:15pm ET | $13.28 | 696 | $9,239.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 3:15pm ET | $13.11 | 696 | $9,121.43 | $9,126.23 |
$-117.97 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 12:05pm ET | $14.63 | 623 | $9,114.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 1:55pm ET | $14.61 | 623 | $9,098.92 | $9,110.66 |
$-15.58 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 9:35am ET | $13.61 | 669 | $9,105.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 9:40am ET | $13.74 | 669 | $9,192.06 | $9,196.96 |
+$86.30 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 2:55pm ET | $13.53 | 679 | $9,189.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 9:40am ET | $13.63 | 679 | $9,254.77 | $9,262.14 |
+$65.18 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 12:10pm ET | $13.21 | 701 | $9,256.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 3:10pm ET | $12.96 | 701 | $9,081.46 | $9,086.89 |
$-175.25 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.65 | 620 | $9,081.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $14.87 | 620 | $9,219.40 | $9,225.22 |
+$138.32 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 2:50pm ET | $15.15 | 609 | $9,223.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:45pm ET | $15.17 | 609 | $9,235.49 | $9,237.40 |
+$12.18 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:05am ET | $15.08 | 612 | $9,228.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 10:50am ET | $15.23 | 612 | $9,317.70 | $9,326.14 |
+$88.74 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 11:05am ET | $16.41 | 568 | $9,318.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 1:35pm ET | $16.32 | 568 | $9,269.76 | $9,277.86 |
$-48.28 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:45pm ET | $17.46 | 531 | $9,268.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.78 | 531 | $8,910.18 | $8,919.43 |
$-358.42 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 2:15pm ET | $18.63 | 478 | $8,902.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 2:35pm ET | $18.80 | 478 | $8,986.26 | $9,002.94 |
+$83.51 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 2:35pm ET | $18.14 | 496 | $8,997.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 3:45pm ET | $18.34 | 496 | $9,094.16 | $9,099.66 |
+$96.72 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $17.13 | 531 | $9,096.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 11:00am ET | $17.17 | 531 | $9,117.27 | $9,120.90 |
+$21.24 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 3:00pm ET | $17.66 | 516 | $9,112.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 11:20am ET | $16.73 | 516 | $8,633.04 | $8,641.38 |
$-479.52 (-5.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 1:50pm ET | $17.44 | 495 | $8,632.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:45pm ET | $17.68 | 495 | $8,753.68 | $8,762.26 |
+$120.88 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 3:10pm ET | $16.73 | 523 | $8,747.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 3:50pm ET | $16.99 | 523 | $8,883.16 | $8,898.24 |
+$135.98 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.08 | 590 | $8,897.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $15.45 | 590 | $9,115.62 | $9,116.66 |
+$218.42 (+2.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 12:55pm ET | $15.32 | 595 | $9,115.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 2:15pm ET | $15.15 | 595 | $9,011.28 | $9,012.41 |
$-104.24 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $13.59 | 663 | $9,010.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $14.09 | 663 | $9,341.67 | $9,343.91 |
+$331.50 (+3.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.01 | 666 | $9,330.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $14.36 | 666 | $9,567.09 | $9,580.34 |
+$236.43 (+2.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:15pm ET | $15.10 | 634 | $9,573.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:25pm ET | $14.90 | 634 | $9,449.77 | $9,456.71 |
$-123.63 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,456.71
Net Profit/Loss:
$-543.29
Total Return:
-5.43%