RIVN Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 37 trades in period
+3.23%
Last 3 Months Return
$7,373.91
Current Value
62%
Win Rate
$7,143.02
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,759
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
75 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$7,143.02
Current Value
$7,373.91
Period P&L
$230.92
Max Drawdown
-32.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
23 /
14
Best Trade
+2.62%
Worst Trade
-4.48%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
8.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$528,712.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$230.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$230.92
Gross Return
+3.23%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.23%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 75 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $7,143.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $14.89 | 479 | $7,129.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 9:35am ET | $14.58 | 479 | $6,985.50 | $6,998.57 |
$-144.42 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $14.71 | 475 | $6,987.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 9:35am ET | $14.52 | 475 | $6,895.29 | $6,906.61 |
$-91.96 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:25am ET | $15.23 | 453 | $6,896.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 1:05pm ET | $15.14 | 453 | $6,858.42 | $6,868.11 |
$-38.50 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 9:45am ET | $14.76 | 465 | $6,863.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 10:00am ET | $15.04 | 465 | $6,993.60 | $6,998.35 |
+$130.25 (+1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $16.19 | 432 | $6,991.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $16.44 | 432 | $7,102.08 | $7,108.51 |
+$110.16 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 2:20pm ET | $17.38 | 409 | $7,106.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 9:55am ET | $17.30 | 409 | $7,073.66 | $7,075.79 |
$-32.72 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.6h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 1:00pm ET | $17.08 | 414 | $7,071.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 1:35pm ET | $17.18 | 414 | $7,114.01 | $7,118.68 |
+$42.89 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 3:30pm ET | $18.08 | 393 | $7,103.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $17.52 | 393 | $6,884.34 | $6,899.55 |
$-219.14 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 12:30pm ET | $17.48 | 394 | $6,887.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 1:05pm ET | $17.59 | 394 | $6,930.46 | $6,942.89 |
+$43.34 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 1:30pm ET | $17.92 | 387 | $6,935.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 2:30pm ET | $18.08 | 387 | $6,995.03 | $7,002.87 |
+$59.98 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 2:10pm ET | $18.62 | 376 | $7,002.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $18.64 | 376 | $7,008.64 | $7,008.85 |
+$5.98 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 10:15am ET | $18.26 | 383 | $6,993.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 11:25am ET | $18.42 | 383 | $7,052.95 | $7,068.22 |
+$59.36 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 1:05pm ET | $18.03 | 392 | $7,067.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 2:20pm ET | $18.01 | 392 | $7,057.96 | $7,058.42 |
$-9.80 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 2:35pm ET | $22.32 | 316 | $7,051.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 3:30pm ET | $22.36 | 316 | $7,065.76 | $7,072.64 |
+$14.22 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 3:30pm ET | $21.89 | 323 | $7,068.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 11:35am ET | $20.91 | 323 | $6,752.32 | $6,756.06 |
$-316.57 (-4.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 12:45pm ET | $21.22 | 318 | $6,746.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $21.34 | 318 | $6,786.12 | $6,795.81 |
+$39.75 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $20.43 | 332 | $6,782.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 10:15am ET | $20.78 | 332 | $6,897.30 | $6,910.35 |
+$114.54 (+1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 3:30pm ET | $19.36 | 356 | $6,892.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 3:50pm ET | $19.52 | 356 | $6,949.08 | $6,967.24 |
+$56.89 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 1:30pm ET | $19.05 | 365 | $6,954.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 2:15pm ET | $19.19 | 365 | $7,002.53 | $7,015.17 |
+$47.92 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $19.31 | 363 | $7,007.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:35am ET | $19.54 | 363 | $7,093.02 | $7,100.47 |
+$85.30 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 1:50pm ET | $19.93 | 356 | $7,093.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 2:25pm ET | $20.08 | 356 | $7,146.70 | $7,153.87 |
+$53.40 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 2:40pm ET | $20.01 | 357 | $7,141.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $19.98 | 357 | $7,132.86 | $7,144.95 |
$-8.92 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $18.71 | 381 | $7,128.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:50am ET | $19.20 | 381 | $7,315.20 | $7,331.64 |
+$186.69 (+2.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 10:20am ET | $18.81 | 389 | $7,315.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:50am ET | $19.02 | 389 | $7,396.84 | $7,413.33 |
+$81.69 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $17.25 | 429 | $7,400.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $17.17 | 429 | $7,363.79 | $7,376.86 |
$-36.47 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 10:15am ET | $16.79 | 439 | $7,370.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 11:35am ET | $16.84 | 439 | $7,392.76 | $7,399.12 |
+$22.26 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:05pm ET | $16.10 | 459 | $7,387.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 2:20pm ET | $16.08 | 459 | $7,378.43 | $7,389.89 |
$-9.23 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 12:10pm ET | $16.70 | 442 | $7,379.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 1:35pm ET | $16.73 | 442 | $7,392.45 | $7,403.15 |
+$13.26 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 3:00pm ET | $15.83 | 467 | $7,392.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $15.89 | 467 | $7,420.63 | $7,431.17 |
+$28.02 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.62 | 475 | $7,419.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $15.47 | 475 | $7,348.25 | $7,359.92 |
$-71.25 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:45am ET | $15.16 | 485 | $7,352.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 12:00pm ET | $15.21 | 485 | $7,374.43 | $7,381.75 |
+$21.83 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 2:30pm ET | $15.20 | 485 | $7,372.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $15.17 | 485 | $7,357.45 | $7,367.20 |
$-14.55 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.48 | 508 | $7,355.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $14.57 | 508 | $7,404.10 | $7,415.46 |
+$48.26 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:40am ET | $14.30 | 518 | $7,407.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 1:50pm ET | $14.19 | 518 | $7,347.83 | $7,355.89 |
$-59.57 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 2:30pm ET | $13.94 | 527 | $7,346.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $13.98 | 527 | $7,370.09 | $7,379.60 |
+$23.72 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.48 | 509 | $7,370.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:30am ET | $14.65 | 509 | $7,459.39 | $7,468.68 |
+$89.08 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $15.36 | 486 | $7,467.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:25pm ET | $15.17 | 486 | $7,372.62 | $7,373.91 |
$-94.77 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,373.91
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,626.09
Total Return:
-26.26%