Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-21 17:43:10

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
59.7 neutral
20d Trend
+6.8%
5d Trend
+1.4%
EMA20 Dist
+2.2%
ATR%
3.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 12.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 12.4

30-Day Momentum

9
-0.5%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,624.37
Current Value
$9,810.52
Period P&L
$186.10
Max Drawdown
-18.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
22 / 15
Best Trade
+1.20%
Worst Trade
-1.62%
Avg Trade Return
+0.08%
Avg Hold Time
9.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$714,740.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$186.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$186.10
Gross Return
+1.93%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.93%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,624.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 12:30pm ET $47.46 200 $9,492.00
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $47.63 200 $9,527.00 $9,571.42 +$35.00
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 12:30pm ET $50.55 189 $9,553.95
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 1:35pm ET $50.54 189 $9,552.06 $9,569.53 $-1.89
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $51.99 184 $9,565.24
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $52.13 184 $9,591.92 $9,596.21 +$26.68
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 1:25pm ET $53.14 180 $9,565.20
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:10pm ET $53.42 180 $9,614.70 $9,645.71 +$49.50
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:25pm ET $51.81 186 $9,637.59
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $52.06 186 $9,683.16 $9,691.28 +$45.57
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $50.80 190 $9,652.57
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 11:20am ET $50.16 190 $9,530.40 $9,569.11 $-122.17
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 11:55am ET $49.19 194 $9,542.86
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 1:15pm ET $49.11 194 $9,527.34 $9,553.59 $-15.52
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $51.60 185 $9,545.08
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $51.91 185 $9,603.35 $9,611.86 +$58.27
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:50am ET $52.21 184 $9,605.72
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 1:25pm ET $51.97 184 $9,562.48 $9,568.62 $-43.24
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 2:00pm ET $51.99 184 $9,566.16
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:45pm ET $51.79 184 $9,529.36 $9,531.82 $-36.80
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:50am ET $51.87 183 $9,492.21
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 1:05pm ET $51.99 183 $9,514.17 $9,553.78 +$21.96
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $51.62 185 $9,548.78
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $50.78 185 $9,394.30 $9,399.30 $-154.48
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $51.97 180 $9,354.60
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET $51.48 180 $9,265.91 $9,310.61 $-88.69
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:45pm ET $54.26 171 $9,278.46
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:50pm ET $54.38 171 $9,298.13 $9,330.28 +$19.67
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET $54.34 171 $9,292.14
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:05am ET $54.99 171 $9,403.29 $9,441.43 +$111.15
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $55.36 170 $9,411.20
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $55.88 170 $9,499.29 $9,529.52 +$88.09
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 2:20pm ET $55.31 172 $9,512.46
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:00pm ET $55.40 172 $9,528.80 $9,545.86 +$16.34
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
18 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:55am ET $56.24 169 $9,504.56
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:15am ET $56.77 169 $9,594.13 $9,635.43 +$89.57
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
19 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 12:20pm ET $56.21 171 $9,611.91
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 2:05pm ET $56.03 171 $9,581.98 $9,605.51 $-29.92
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
20 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $55.28 173 $9,563.44
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:55am ET $55.31 173 $9,567.77 $9,609.84 +$4.33
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
21 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $52.79 182 $9,607.78
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:45am ET $53.15 182 $9,673.30 $9,675.36 +$65.52
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
22 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:35am ET $55.17 175 $9,654.75
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 10:30am ET $55.43 175 $9,700.25 $9,720.86 +$45.50
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
23 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $55.44 175 $9,701.13
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:50am ET $55.87 175 $9,776.38 $9,796.11 +$75.25
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
24 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 12:15pm ET $57.09 171 $9,762.39
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 12:25pm ET $57.35 171 $9,806.85 $9,840.57 +$44.46
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
25 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 3:35pm ET $56.83 173 $9,830.73
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $56.94 173 $9,851.48 $9,861.33 +$20.76
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
26 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 10:40am ET $56.98 173 $9,857.54
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $56.99 173 $9,860.13 $9,863.92 +$2.59
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
27 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:50pm ET $57.47 171 $9,828.22
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:40am ET $57.90 171 $9,900.90 $9,936.60 +$72.68
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7d held
28 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $56.45 176 $9,935.20
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 11:15am ET $56.06 176 $9,866.56 $9,867.96 $-68.64
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
29 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 12:45pm ET $55.45 177 $9,814.65
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 2:30pm ET $55.34 177 $9,795.18 $9,848.49 $-19.47
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
30 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $54.75 179 $9,800.25
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:20am ET $54.65 179 $9,782.35 $9,830.59 $-17.90
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $55.93 175 $9,787.75
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:00am ET $56.37 175 $9,864.75 $9,907.59 +$77.00
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $57.23 173 $9,900.79
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $57.03 173 $9,867.05 $9,873.86 $-33.73
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $56.82 173 $9,829.86
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:05am ET $56.78 173 $9,822.94 $9,866.94 $-6.92
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $56.06 176 $9,866.56
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $56.17 176 $9,885.92 $9,886.30 +$19.36
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.1h held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:45am ET $55.81 177 $9,877.49
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:55am ET $56.38 177 $9,979.26 $9,988.08 +$101.78
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 12:15pm ET $53.59 186 $9,967.87
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 2:20pm ET $53.38 186 $9,928.68 $9,948.89 $-39.19
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:45am ET $49.08 202 $9,914.16
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 12:30pm ET $48.40 202 $9,775.79 $9,810.52 $-138.37
(-1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,810.52
Net Profit/Loss: $-189.48
Total Return: -1.89%
Back to Professor Mean