SLV Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 36 trades in period
-14.22%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,107.66
Current Value
58%
Win Rate
$11,783.20
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
18
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.2/35
Total Return
2.6/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality
18.0/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 18.0
30-Day Momentum
16
-1.8%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.9
Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,907
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,783.20
Current Value
$10,107.66
Period P&L
$-1,675.66
Max Drawdown
-25.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
21 /
15
Best Trade
+1.35%
Worst Trade
-10.61%
Avg Trade Return
-0.40%
Avg Hold Time
10.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$788,826.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,675.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,675.66
Gross Return
-14.22%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.22%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,783.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:30pm ET | $69.56 | 169 | $11,754.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:50pm ET | $70.27 | 169 | $11,875.63 | $11,904.15 |
+$120.83 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.20 | 158 | $11,881.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $74.68 | 158 | $11,798.65 | $11,821.20 |
$-82.95 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.22 | 175 | $11,763.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:00am ET | $66.37 | 175 | $11,614.75 | $11,672.45 |
$-148.75 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 1:25pm ET | $70.13 | 166 | $11,641.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:35pm ET | $69.93 | 166 | $11,607.55 | $11,638.40 |
$-34.05 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 11:05am ET | $78.18 | 148 | $11,569.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:20am ET | $79.03 | 148 | $11,696.44 | $11,764.92 |
+$126.52 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 1:35pm ET | $79.07 | 148 | $11,701.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 3:20pm ET | $78.88 | 148 | $11,673.50 | $11,736.80 |
$-28.12 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 3:30pm ET | $81.25 | 144 | $11,700.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.47 | 144 | $11,299.68 | $11,336.48 |
$-400.32 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 1:25pm ET | $83.76 | 135 | $11,308.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 2:05pm ET | $84.67 | 135 | $11,430.45 | $11,458.65 |
+$122.17 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.99 | 154 | $11,394.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 10:55am ET | $74.35 | 154 | $11,449.90 | $11,514.09 |
+$55.44 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 12:40pm ET | $75.37 | 152 | $11,456.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 12:55pm ET | $75.86 | 152 | $11,531.48 | $11,589.33 |
+$75.24 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 2:35pm ET | $73.14 | 158 | $11,556.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:15pm ET | $74.04 | 158 | $11,697.58 | $11,730.79 |
+$141.46 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 3:30pm ET | $76.04 | 154 | $11,710.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.42 | 154 | $11,768.68 | $11,788.54 |
+$57.75 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:00pm ET | $80.42 | 146 | $11,741.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:15pm ET | $80.14 | 146 | $11,700.44 | $11,747.66 |
$-40.88 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 1:30pm ET | $76.82 | 152 | $11,676.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 2:10pm ET | $77.05 | 152 | $11,711.60 | $11,782.62 |
+$34.96 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 3:30pm ET | $72.93 | 161 | $11,741.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.16 | 161 | $11,778.76 | $11,819.65 |
+$37.03 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 11:35am ET | $71.84 | 164 | $11,781.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 12:30pm ET | $71.99 | 164 | $11,806.34 | $11,844.23 |
+$24.58 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 2:35pm ET | $69.23 | 171 | $11,839.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.88 | 171 | $10,582.33 | $10,587.53 |
$-1,256.70 (-10.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $63.44 | 166 | $10,531.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 11:15am ET | $63.51 | 166 | $10,542.66 | $10,599.17 |
+$11.64 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET | $62.40 | 169 | $10,546.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 12:45pm ET | $62.29 | 169 | $10,527.01 | $10,579.74 |
$-19.43 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 1:05pm ET | $62.60 | 169 | $10,579.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 2:10pm ET | $62.81 | 169 | $10,614.89 | $10,615.23 |
+$35.49 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:10pm ET | $64.59 | 164 | $10,592.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $62.04 | 164 | $10,174.72 | $10,197.19 |
$-418.04 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:40pm ET | $63.56 | 160 | $10,169.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 2:15pm ET | $63.40 | 160 | $10,144.80 | $10,172.74 |
$-24.45 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:00pm ET | $63.24 | 160 | $10,118.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $63.49 | 160 | $10,159.20 | $10,213.54 |
+$40.80 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $67.54 | 151 | $10,198.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 10:45am ET | $68.06 | 151 | $10,276.31 | $10,291.09 |
+$77.55 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $65.41 | 157 | $10,269.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 10:15am ET | $65.75 | 157 | $10,322.75 | $10,344.47 |
+$53.38 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $64.74 | 159 | $10,292.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $65.61 | 159 | $10,431.99 | $10,483.60 |
+$139.13 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.21 | 155 | $10,417.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 11:40am ET | $67.12 | 155 | $10,403.60 | $10,469.65 |
$-13.95 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 11:30am ET | $71.71 | 146 | $10,468.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 12:10pm ET | $72.07 | 146 | $10,522.95 | $10,523.67 |
+$54.02 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:10pm ET | $74.19 | 141 | $10,460.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 2:25pm ET | $74.23 | 141 | $10,466.43 | $10,529.31 |
+$5.64 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:40pm ET | $72.10 | 146 | $10,526.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $71.05 | 146 | $10,373.59 | $10,376.30 |
$-153.01 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.63 | 151 | $10,363.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 10:55am ET | $69.04 | 151 | $10,425.79 | $10,438.97 |
+$62.67 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 3:25pm ET | $69.01 | 151 | $10,420.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.28 | 151 | $10,310.29 | $10,328.75 |
$-110.22 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.68 | 157 | $10,311.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 11:00am ET | $66.07 | 157 | $10,373.77 | $10,390.76 |
+$62.01 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 2:00pm ET | $64.54 | 160 | $10,326.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:55pm ET | $64.53 | 160 | $10,324.00 | $10,388.10 |
$-2.66 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 3:45pm ET | $68.32 | 152 | $10,383.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.32 | 152 | $10,079.88 | $10,084.10 |
$-304.00 (-2.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 12:25pm ET | $66.14 | 152 | $10,053.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 1:20pm ET | $66.29 | 152 | $10,076.84 | $10,107.66 |
+$23.56 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,107.66
Net Profit/Loss:
+$107.66
Total Return:
+1.08%