Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:27:25

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
15.5 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-20.2%
EMA20 Dist
-19.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.5/35
Total Return
7.7/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 22.4/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 22.0

30-Day Momentum

11
-10.1%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.0 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,875
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,616.01
Current Value
$10,870.75
Period P&L
$-745.39
Max Drawdown
-17.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
18 / 13
Best Trade
+2.23%
Worst Trade
-8.20%
Avg Trade Return
-0.20%
Avg Hold Time
5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$706,594.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-745.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$-745.39
Gross Return
-6.42%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.42%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SNOW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 31 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,616.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:50pm ET $168.26 69 $11,609.94
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:45pm ET $168.85 69 $11,650.65 $11,656.85 +$40.71
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:55pm ET $182.73 63 $11,511.68
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 2:10pm ET $183.55 63 $11,563.81 $11,708.98 +$52.13
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 3:25pm ET $175.90 66 $11,609.73
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:40pm ET $177.78 66 $11,733.48 $11,832.73 +$123.75
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $177.68 66 $11,727.21
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET $175.01 66 $11,550.99 $11,656.51 $-176.22
(-1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 1:15pm ET $174.76 66 $11,534.49
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 1:55pm ET $176.68 66 $11,660.88 $11,782.90 +$126.39
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET $155.03 76 $11,782.28
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:35am ET $158.48 76 $12,044.48 $12,045.10 +$262.20
(+2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $168.02 71 $11,929.42
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 12:00pm ET $166.66 71 $11,832.86 $11,948.54 $-96.56
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $164.75 72 $11,862.00
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 11:00am ET $161.31 72 $11,614.32 $11,700.86 $-247.68
(-2.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 3:25pm ET $179.51 65 $11,667.83
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $176.62 65 $11,480.30 $11,513.33 $-187.53
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:40am ET $178.00 64 $11,392.00
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 11:05am ET $177.21 64 $11,341.44 $11,462.77 $-50.56
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 11:05am ET $176.88 64 $11,320.64
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 12:20pm ET $177.59 64 $11,365.76 $11,507.89 +$45.12
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:30pm ET $174.61 65 $11,349.65
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 12:45pm ET $175.87 65 $11,431.55 $11,589.79 +$81.90
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $173.99 66 $11,483.34
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:35am ET $177.40 66 $11,708.73 $11,815.18 +$225.39
(+2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 10:10am ET $171.28 68 $11,647.04
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:50am ET $173.63 68 $11,806.84 $11,974.98 +$159.80
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 12:40pm ET $169.51 70 $11,865.70
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:00pm ET $170.18 70 $11,912.60 $12,021.88 +$46.90
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:25pm ET $174.74 68 $11,882.32
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $172.78 68 $11,749.04 $11,888.60 $-133.28
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 12:15pm ET $162.69 73 $11,876.37
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:35pm ET $162.68 73 $11,875.64 $11,887.87 $-0.73
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $145.86 81 $11,814.66
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET $146.70 81 $11,882.70 $11,955.91 +$68.04
(+0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $153.59 77 $11,826.62
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:30pm ET $153.70 77 $11,834.90 $11,964.19 +$8.28
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $150.51 79 $11,890.68
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:50am ET $148.29 79 $11,714.91 $11,788.41 $-175.78
(-1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $148.81 79 $11,755.99
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $148.60 79 $11,739.40 $11,771.82 $-16.59
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $145.38 80 $11,630.40
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $133.46 80 $10,676.80 $10,818.22 $-953.60
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:10pm ET $134.49 80 $10,759.20
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $134.18 80 $10,734.00 $10,793.02 $-25.20
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $144.93 74 $10,725.19
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $145.99 74 $10,803.25 $10,871.08 +$78.06
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.9h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:15pm ET $150.12 72 $10,808.64
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:40pm ET $150.80 72 $10,857.60 $10,920.04 +$48.96
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:00pm ET $154.05 70 $10,783.50
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:35pm ET $154.57 70 $10,819.90 $10,956.44 +$36.40
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $140.62 77 $10,827.74
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:00am ET $137.54 77 $10,590.58 $10,719.28 $-237.16
(-2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:40am ET $142.51 75 $10,688.25
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:50am ET $145.24 75 $10,892.63 $10,923.66 +$204.38
(+1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $139.16 78 $10,854.48
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:00am ET $136.43 78 $10,641.54 $10,710.72 $-212.94
(-2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
30 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 2:00pm ET $145.50 73 $10,621.50
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $146.11 73 $10,666.03 $10,755.25 +$44.53
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held
31 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $138.07 77 $10,631.39
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:20am ET $139.57 77 $10,746.89 $10,870.75 +$115.50
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,870.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$870.75
Total Return: +8.71%
Back to Professor Mean