SOFI Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-20 to present • 36 trades in period
+11.33%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,188.23
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$10,049.20
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.
Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026
26
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.6/35
Total Return
9.2/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality
26.2/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 26.0
30-Day Momentum
45
+4.6%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 50.5
Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+19 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,049.20
Current Value
$11,188.23
Period P&L
$1,139.07
Max Drawdown
-26.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
24 /
12
Best Trade
+2.19%
Worst Trade
-1.89%
Avg Trade Return
+0.30%
Avg Hold Time
2.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$746,731.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,139.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,139.07
Gross Return
+11.33%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.33%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,049.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 1:20pm ET | $17.17 | 585 | $10,044.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:45pm ET | $16.84 | 585 | $9,854.32 | $9,859.44 |
$-189.72 (-1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.06 | 577 | $9,843.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 11:00am ET | $16.86 | 577 | $9,728.22 | $9,744.04 |
$-115.40 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $16.88 | 577 | $9,736.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 12:35pm ET | $16.83 | 577 | $9,708.03 | $9,715.19 |
$-28.85 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 12:35pm ET | $15.94 | 609 | $9,710.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 1:20pm ET | $16.00 | 609 | $9,747.04 | $9,751.73 |
+$36.54 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:15pm ET | $15.10 | 645 | $9,742.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 2:20pm ET | $15.13 | 645 | $9,755.63 | $9,764.63 |
+$12.90 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $15.63 | 624 | $9,753.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 10:55am ET | $15.80 | 624 | $9,856.08 | $9,867.65 |
+$103.02 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET | $16.14 | 611 | $9,858.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:10pm ET | $16.17 | 611 | $9,882.92 | $9,892.03 |
+$24.38 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $16.04 | 616 | $9,882.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $16.22 | 616 | $9,988.44 | $9,997.67 |
+$105.64 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $16.16 | 618 | $9,983.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $16.42 | 618 | $10,147.56 | $10,161.44 |
+$163.77 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $16.16 | 628 | $10,148.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $16.26 | 628 | $10,214.42 | $10,227.19 |
+$65.75 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 11:05am ET | $17.75 | 576 | $10,226.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 12:05pm ET | $17.80 | 576 | $10,254.24 | $10,254.55 |
+$27.36 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $19.55 | 524 | $10,241.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 3:20pm ET | $19.52 | 524 | $10,228.53 | $10,241.50 |
$-13.05 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:50am ET | $19.39 | 528 | $10,235.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $19.25 | 528 | $10,166.64 | $10,172.86 |
$-68.64 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.77 | 541 | $10,154.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 10:55am ET | $18.72 | 541 | $10,127.57 | $10,145.86 |
$-27.00 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.30 | 554 | $10,138.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 11:50am ET | $18.51 | 554 | $10,254.54 | $10,262.20 |
+$116.34 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 11:55am ET | $15.74 | 651 | $10,249.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 12:45pm ET | $15.91 | 651 | $10,355.07 | $10,367.27 |
+$105.07 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 2:05pm ET | $16.06 | 645 | $10,355.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 2:45pm ET | $16.18 | 645 | $10,439.32 | $10,451.12 |
+$83.85 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.45 | 635 | $10,445.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $16.58 | 635 | $10,531.47 | $10,536.84 |
+$85.72 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $16.19 | 650 | $10,526.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $16.23 | 650 | $10,549.50 | $10,559.59 |
+$22.75 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 12:10pm ET | $16.15 | 654 | $10,558.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 2:00pm ET | $16.01 | 654 | $10,473.81 | $10,474.57 |
$-85.02 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 10:35am ET | $15.98 | 655 | $10,470.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 1:20pm ET | $15.69 | 655 | $10,273.68 | $10,278.07 |
$-196.50 (-1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $15.33 | 670 | $10,271.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $15.44 | 670 | $10,341.45 | $10,348.42 |
+$70.35 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $15.52 | 666 | $10,332.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 10:40am ET | $15.69 | 666 | $10,449.54 | $10,464.97 |
+$116.55 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 2:20pm ET | $15.43 | 678 | $10,461.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 3:05pm ET | $15.56 | 678 | $10,553.07 | $10,556.50 |
+$91.53 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $15.08 | 700 | $10,556.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:55am ET | $15.27 | 700 | $10,692.50 | $10,693.00 |
+$136.50 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 12:50pm ET | $15.36 | 695 | $10,678.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 1:05pm ET | $15.41 | 695 | $10,709.95 | $10,724.28 |
+$31.28 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 1:30pm ET | $15.95 | 672 | $10,718.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 2:20pm ET | $15.99 | 672 | $10,745.35 | $10,751.23 |
+$26.95 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $16.12 | 666 | $10,735.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.99 | 666 | $10,649.34 | $10,664.65 |
$-86.58 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $17.74 | 601 | $10,662.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $18.13 | 601 | $10,896.79 | $10,898.56 |
+$233.91 (+2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 12:30pm ET | $17.82 | 611 | $10,884.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 3:25pm ET | $17.66 | 611 | $10,787.21 | $10,800.80 |
$-97.76 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.95 | 637 | $10,797.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $16.73 | 637 | $10,653.83 | $10,657.47 |
$-143.33 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 3:25pm ET | $16.40 | 649 | $10,643.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $16.51 | 649 | $10,711.81 | $10,725.61 |
+$68.14 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.27 | 659 | $10,721.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $16.62 | 659 | $10,952.58 | $10,956.26 |
+$230.65 (+2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 9:45am ET | $15.74 | 695 | $10,942.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 9:55am ET | $15.93 | 695 | $11,067.88 | $11,081.36 |
+$125.10 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 12:35pm ET | $17.28 | 641 | $11,076.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 2:15pm ET | $17.16 | 641 | $10,999.50 | $11,004.44 |
$-76.92 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 3:20pm ET | $17.81 | 618 | $11,003.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $18.10 | 618 | $11,187.28 | $11,188.23 |
+$183.79 (+1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,188.23
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,188.23
Total Return:
+11.88%