Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,501
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (4 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,823.97
Current Value
$14,341.15
Period P&L
$1,517.10
Max Drawdown
-43.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
17 / 10
Best Trade
+8.43%
Worst Trade
-8.04%
Avg Trade Return
+0.46%
Avg Hold Time
5.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$777,971.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,517.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,517.10
Gross Return
+11.83%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.83%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,823.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:35am ET $36.15 354 $12,795.33
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 10:55am ET $36.84 354 $13,041.40 $13,070.13 +$246.07
(+1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 2:15pm ET $33.83 386 $13,058.38
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET $35.11 386 $13,552.46 $13,564.21 +$494.08
(+3.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 12:10pm ET $30.28 447 $13,535.16
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 1:15pm ET $30.49 447 $13,626.80 $13,655.84 +$91.63
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 2:15pm ET $31.87 428 $13,640.36
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 2:30pm ET $31.99 428 $13,691.72 $13,707.20 +$51.36
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 11:05am ET $43.46 315 $13,689.90
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 11:55am ET $44.21 315 $13,926.15 $13,943.45 +$236.25
(+1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 1:25pm ET $46.02 302 $13,898.04
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 1:55pm ET $46.12 302 $13,928.24 $13,973.65 +$30.20
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 12:15pm ET $46.33 301 $13,945.33
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 1:05pm ET $46.43 301 $13,975.43 $14,003.75 +$30.10
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET $47.73 293 $13,984.89
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 9:35am ET $47.70 293 $13,974.64 $13,993.50 $-10.25
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 12:40pm ET $48.89 286 $13,982.54
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 2:10pm ET $48.85 286 $13,971.10 $13,982.06 $-11.44
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:40am ET $42.34 330 $13,973.65
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 11:15am ET $41.90 330 $13,827.00 $13,835.40 $-146.65
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 1:35pm ET $41.10 336 $13,809.60
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 1:45pm ET $40.95 336 $13,759.20 $13,785.00 $-50.40
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 9:30am ET $35.77 385 $13,771.53
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 11:00am ET $36.85 385 $14,187.25 $14,200.73 +$415.72
(+3.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 11:05am ET $44.18 321 $14,181.78
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 1:15pm ET $44.03 321 $14,133.63 $14,152.58 $-48.15
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 2:50pm ET $43.66 324 $14,145.84
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $44.04 324 $14,268.96 $14,275.70 +$123.12
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 11:05am ET $41.94 340 $14,259.60
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 12:30pm ET $41.98 340 $14,273.20 $14,289.30 +$13.60
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:50pm ET $49.33 289 $14,256.37
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $53.49 289 $15,458.61 $15,491.54 +$1,202.24
(+8.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $51.92 298 $15,472.16
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:35pm ET $51.95 298 $15,481.10 $15,500.48 +$8.94
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 11:05am ET $54.57 284 $15,497.88
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $56.41 284 $16,020.44 $16,023.04 +$522.56
(+3.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
22.4h held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $57.43 279 $16,021.58
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 11:00am ET $58.23 279 $16,246.17 $16,247.63 +$224.60
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET $64.16 253 $16,232.48
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:05pm ET $61.75 253 $15,622.75 $15,637.90 $-609.73
(-3.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.6h held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 10:15am ET $60.81 257 $15,628.17
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 12:55pm ET $60.65 257 $15,587.05 $15,596.78 $-41.12
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:00pm ET $70.95 219 $15,538.05
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $68.16 219 $14,927.85 $14,986.58 $-610.20
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $65.13 230 $14,978.75
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $66.11 230 $15,205.07 $15,212.90 +$226.32
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:15am ET $56.67 268 $15,187.72
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:15pm ET $52.12 268 $13,966.82 $13,992.00 $-1,220.90
(-8.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:35pm ET $53.07 263 $13,957.44
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:10pm ET $53.88 263 $14,169.13 $14,203.69 +$211.69
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $60.40 235 $14,194.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET $62.14 235 $14,602.90 $14,612.59 +$408.90
(+2.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
27 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:40am ET $62.89 232 $14,590.48
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 9:45am ET $61.72 232 $14,319.04 $14,341.15 $-271.44
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,341.15
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,341.15
Total Return: +43.41%
Back to Professor Mean