Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
71 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (4 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,435.25
Current Value
$10,607.00
Period P&L
$171.84
Max Drawdown
-19.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
19 / 14
Best Trade
+4.92%
Worst Trade
-2.74%
Avg Trade Return
+0.06%
Avg Hold Time
3.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$713,256.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$171.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$171.84
Gross Return
+1.65%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.65%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 71 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 33 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,435.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 12:05pm ET $54.28 192 $10,421.76
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $56.95 192 $10,934.44 $10,947.83 +$512.68
(+4.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
21.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $53.75 203 $10,911.25
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:35am ET $53.67 203 $10,894.99 $10,931.57 $-16.26
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 1:05pm ET $52.07 209 $10,882.63
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 1:50pm ET $52.18 209 $10,905.62 $10,954.56 +$22.99
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 1:00pm ET $51.02 214 $10,918.28
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 1:05pm ET $51.19 214 $10,954.66 $10,990.94 +$36.38
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 10:55am ET $50.20 218 $10,943.60
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 12:30pm ET $50.33 218 $10,971.94 $11,019.28 +$28.34
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 11:05am ET $50.51 218 $11,011.22
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 1:30pm ET $50.37 218 $10,980.66 $10,988.72 $-30.56
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $49.41 222 $10,969.02
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 11:15am ET $49.04 222 $10,886.88 $10,906.58 $-82.14
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET $50.48 216 $10,903.68
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 10:00am ET $51.04 216 $11,024.64 $11,027.54 +$120.96
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $51.88 212 $10,998.56
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 11:55am ET $51.46 212 $10,908.46 $10,937.44 $-90.10
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 12:20pm ET $50.79 215 $10,918.78
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 1:35pm ET $50.84 215 $10,931.35 $10,950.02 +$12.58
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 9:35am ET $49.82 219 $10,910.58
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 9:40am ET $49.72 219 $10,888.68 $10,928.12 $-21.90
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 9:40am ET $48.25 226 $10,903.37
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 12:55pm ET $47.84 226 $10,811.84 $10,836.59 $-91.53
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 1:20pm ET $48.49 223 $10,813.27
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 2:05pm ET $48.59 223 $10,835.57 $10,858.89 +$22.30
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 1:40pm ET $48.91 222 $10,858.33
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 2:25pm ET $49.07 222 $10,892.43 $10,892.99 +$34.10
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 2:25pm ET $49.57 219 $10,855.83
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 3:40pm ET $49.63 219 $10,869.82 $10,906.98 +$13.99
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:40am ET $48.39 225 $10,887.75
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:45am ET $48.23 225 $10,850.74 $10,869.97 $-37.01
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:45am ET $47.52 228 $10,835.59
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $47.69 228 $10,873.32 $10,907.70 +$37.73
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 12:50pm ET $48.01 227 $10,897.14
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $48.19 227 $10,939.13 $10,949.70 +$41.99
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $47.17 232 $10,943.44
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 3:10pm ET $47.16 232 $10,941.12 $10,947.38 $-2.32
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 11:40am ET $47.23 231 $10,910.55
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 12:35pm ET $47.31 231 $10,928.61 $10,965.44 +$18.06
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $48.65 225 $10,945.13
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $47.31 225 $10,644.75 $10,665.07 $-300.38
(-2.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.7h held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 2:00pm ET $47.57 224 $10,654.56
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $47.74 224 $10,693.78 $10,704.29 +$39.22
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $50.45 212 $10,695.40
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET $50.33 212 $10,668.98 $10,677.87 $-26.42
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET $48.08 222 $10,673.60
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 1:25pm ET $48.06 222 $10,668.21 $10,672.48 $-5.39
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 2:20pm ET $48.21 221 $10,654.41
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 2:45pm ET $48.39 221 $10,693.20 $10,711.27 +$38.79
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:45am ET $47.31 226 $10,692.06
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:50am ET $47.15 226 $10,656.13 $10,675.33 $-35.93
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:50am ET $46.68 228 $10,643.04
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:10am ET $47.00 228 $10,716.00 $10,748.29 +$72.96
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 3:35pm ET $47.72 225 $10,737.00
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:50am ET $47.84 225 $10,764.00 $10,775.29 +$27.00
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:50am ET $47.63 226 $10,765.51
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 11:45am ET $47.32 226 $10,694.32 $10,704.10 $-71.19
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $48.58 220 $10,687.60
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET $48.75 220 $10,725.00 $10,741.50 +$37.40
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $49.69 216 $10,733.04
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $48.51 216 $10,478.16 $10,486.62 $-254.88
(-2.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.7h held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $47.18 222 $10,473.96
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:15pm ET $47.22 222 $10,482.84 $10,495.50 +$8.88
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $47.05 223 $10,492.15
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:00am ET $47.55 223 $10,603.65 $10,607.00 +$111.50
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,607.00
Net Profit/Loss: +$607.00
Total Return: +6.07%
Back to Professor Mean