SPY Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 36 trades in period
+0.89%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,590.53
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$10,496.63
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,128
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
75 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,496.63
Current Value
$10,590.53
Period P&L
$93.94
Max Drawdown
-7.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
24 /
12
Best Trade
+0.46%
Worst Trade
-1.29%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
9.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$739,692.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$93.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$93.94
Gross Return
+0.89%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.89%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SPY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 75 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,496.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 3:45pm ET | $671.22 | 15 | $10,068.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 9:50am ET | $673.50 | 15 | $10,102.50 | $10,530.79 |
+$34.20 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 9:50am ET | $659.79 | 15 | $9,896.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 11:15am ET | $659.32 | 15 | $9,889.80 | $10,523.74 |
$-7.05 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 12:35pm ET | $659.10 | 15 | $9,886.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 12:50pm ET | $661.42 | 15 | $9,921.30 | $10,558.54 |
+$34.80 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 3:35pm ET | $653.94 | 16 | $10,463.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $655.45 | 16 | $10,487.20 | $10,582.70 |
+$24.16 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 2:25pm ET | $668.90 | 15 | $10,033.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 3:00pm ET | $669.22 | 15 | $10,038.23 | $10,587.43 |
+$4.73 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 1:05pm ET | $680.30 | 15 | $10,204.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 1:20pm ET | $681.04 | 15 | $10,215.60 | $10,598.53 |
+$11.10 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 2:15pm ET | $681.52 | 15 | $10,222.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 2:20pm ET | $680.91 | 15 | $10,213.65 | $10,589.45 |
$-9.08 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $680.50 | 15 | $10,207.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $682.20 | 15 | $10,233.00 | $10,614.95 |
+$25.50 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 2:10pm ET | $683.62 | 15 | $10,254.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 2:15pm ET | $682.57 | 15 | $10,238.48 | $10,599.09 |
$-15.86 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 3:45pm ET | $685.03 | 15 | $10,275.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $686.12 | 15 | $10,291.80 | $10,615.44 |
+$16.35 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 12:35pm ET | $684.18 | 15 | $10,262.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 1:50pm ET | $684.21 | 15 | $10,263.15 | $10,615.96 |
+$0.53 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:45am ET | $683.67 | 15 | $10,255.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 10:20am ET | $686.46 | 15 | $10,296.83 | $10,657.74 |
+$41.78 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:20am ET | $684.82 | 15 | $10,272.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 12:10pm ET | $681.88 | 15 | $10,228.20 | $10,613.64 |
$-44.10 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 1:20pm ET | $679.85 | 15 | $10,197.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 1:50pm ET | $680.82 | 15 | $10,212.30 | $10,628.19 |
+$14.55 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:35am ET | $676.95 | 15 | $10,154.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 12:20pm ET | $675.00 | 15 | $10,124.93 | $10,598.87 |
$-29.32 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 12:20pm ET | $675.26 | 15 | $10,128.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 12:55pm ET | $678.37 | 15 | $10,175.55 | $10,645.52 |
+$46.65 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 3:40pm ET | $679.94 | 15 | $10,199.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $680.59 | 15 | $10,208.85 | $10,655.27 |
+$9.75 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $688.06 | 15 | $10,320.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 12:50pm ET | $686.96 | 15 | $10,304.33 | $10,638.70 |
$-16.57 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 3:05pm ET | $687.40 | 15 | $10,310.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 3:30pm ET | $687.68 | 15 | $10,315.20 | $10,642.97 |
+$4.27 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 3:55pm ET | $681.84 | 15 | $10,227.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $684.77 | 15 | $10,271.58 | $10,686.95 |
+$43.98 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 1:15pm ET | $688.01 | 15 | $10,320.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 1:40pm ET | $688.59 | 15 | $10,328.85 | $10,695.65 |
+$8.70 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $691.80 | 15 | $10,377.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $692.41 | 15 | $10,386.15 | $10,704.80 |
+$9.15 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $687.83 | 15 | $10,317.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 10:05am ET | $689.79 | 15 | $10,346.85 | $10,734.28 |
+$29.47 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $694.55 | 15 | $10,418.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $693.99 | 15 | $10,409.85 | $10,725.88 |
$-8.40 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $694.81 | 15 | $10,422.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:10am ET | $693.85 | 15 | $10,407.68 | $10,711.40 |
$-14.47 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 12:55pm ET | $693.98 | 15 | $10,409.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 1:25pm ET | $694.89 | 15 | $10,423.28 | $10,724.98 |
+$13.57 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $691.58 | 15 | $10,373.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $682.65 | 15 | $10,239.75 | $10,591.03 |
$-133.95 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET | $681.25 | 15 | $10,218.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 1:10pm ET | $680.20 | 15 | $10,203.00 | $10,575.28 |
$-15.75 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 1:55pm ET | $690.03 | 15 | $10,350.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:05pm ET | $690.69 | 15 | $10,360.38 | $10,585.28 |
+$10.00 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 12:15pm ET | $695.54 | 15 | $10,433.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 1:20pm ET | $695.95 | 15 | $10,439.25 | $10,591.43 |
+$6.15 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET | $694.18 | 15 | $10,412.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:30pm ET | $695.10 | 15 | $10,426.50 | $10,605.23 |
+$13.80 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 11:20am ET | $690.50 | 15 | $10,357.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 12:25pm ET | $691.07 | 15 | $10,366.05 | $10,613.78 |
+$8.55 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET | $695.52 | 15 | $10,432.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $696.09 | 15 | $10,441.35 | $10,622.33 |
+$8.55 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $687.07 | 15 | $10,306.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 1:25pm ET | $684.80 | 15 | $10,272.00 | $10,588.28 |
$-34.05 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:25pm ET | $694.23 | 15 | $10,413.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 1:40pm ET | $695.00 | 15 | $10,425.00 | $10,599.83 |
+$11.55 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:35pm ET | $692.95 | 15 | $10,394.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $692.33 | 15 | $10,384.95 | $10,590.53 |
$-9.30 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,590.53
Net Profit/Loss:
+$590.53
Total Return:
+5.91%