SQQQ Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 35 trades in period
+2.01%
Last 3 Months Return
$6,161.07
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$6,040.02
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.1/10
Raw Quality
8.9/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 8.9
30-Day Momentum
12
-8.8%
30d Return
46%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.3
Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,871
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$6,040.02
Current Value
$6,161.07
Period P&L
$121.13
Max Drawdown
-42.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
21 /
14
Best Trade
+3.88%
Worst Trade
-3.25%
Avg Trade Return
+0.07%
Avg Hold Time
7.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$448,815.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$121.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$121.13
Gross Return
+2.01%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.01%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $6,040.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $70.27 | 85 | $5,972.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 1:55pm ET | $70.59 | 85 | $6,000.15 | $6,067.12 |
+$27.20 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 2:10pm ET | $67.93 | 89 | $6,045.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:15pm ET | $67.97 | 89 | $6,049.34 | $6,070.69 |
+$3.57 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.98 | 89 | $6,050.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:00am ET | $68.83 | 89 | $6,125.87 | $6,146.34 |
+$75.65 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 1:40pm ET | $72.53 | 84 | $6,092.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 2:55pm ET | $72.50 | 84 | $6,090.02 | $6,143.82 |
$-2.52 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $72.13 | 85 | $6,131.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 11:25am ET | $71.11 | 85 | $6,043.93 | $6,056.70 |
$-87.12 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 1:25pm ET | $72.53 | 83 | $6,019.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 1:55pm ET | $73.06 | 83 | $6,064.24 | $6,100.95 |
+$44.25 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 3:45pm ET | $70.64 | 86 | $6,074.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 3:50pm ET | $70.35 | 86 | $6,050.10 | $6,076.44 |
$-24.51 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 3:50pm ET | $67.57 | 89 | $6,014.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.55 | 89 | $6,101.04 | $6,163.30 |
+$86.86 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 3:15pm ET | $71.03 | 86 | $6,108.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.78 | 86 | $6,345.08 | $6,400.03 |
+$236.73 (+3.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 1:20pm ET | $73.02 | 87 | $6,352.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 2:30pm ET | $72.86 | 87 | $6,339.25 | $6,386.55 |
$-13.48 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 12:00pm ET | $69.72 | 91 | $6,344.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 12:15pm ET | $70.95 | 91 | $6,456.32 | $6,497.90 |
+$111.35 (+1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 12:40pm ET | $72.85 | 89 | $6,483.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 1:15pm ET | $73.68 | 89 | $6,557.51 | $6,571.76 |
+$73.86 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 1:15pm ET | $68.82 | 95 | $6,538.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 1:35pm ET | $69.38 | 95 | $6,590.63 | $6,624.01 |
+$52.25 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 3:50pm ET | $70.55 | 93 | $6,561.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.08 | 93 | $6,703.90 | $6,766.76 |
+$142.75 (+2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.33 | 92 | $6,746.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $72.35 | 92 | $6,656.20 | $6,676.60 |
$-90.16 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $73.21 | 91 | $6,662.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 11:00am ET | $73.25 | 91 | $6,665.60 | $6,680.09 |
+$3.49 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 1:50pm ET | $71.88 | 92 | $6,612.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 2:20pm ET | $72.18 | 92 | $6,640.55 | $6,707.68 |
+$27.59 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 2:10pm ET | $76.53 | 87 | $6,657.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 2:35pm ET | $77.11 | 87 | $6,708.57 | $6,758.58 |
+$50.89 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.60 | 88 | $6,740.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:30am ET | $75.19 | 88 | $6,616.72 | $6,634.50 |
$-124.08 (-1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 2:40pm ET | $77.99 | 85 | $6,628.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 3:30pm ET | $78.86 | 85 | $6,703.10 | $6,708.88 |
+$74.38 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 11:35am ET | $84.54 | 79 | $6,678.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 12:10pm ET | $85.42 | 79 | $6,748.18 | $6,778.79 |
+$69.91 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.25 | 78 | $6,727.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 10:50am ET | $85.95 | 78 | $6,704.10 | $6,755.39 |
$-23.40 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 3:50pm ET | $77.62 | 87 | $6,753.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.72 | 87 | $6,674.64 | $6,676.99 |
$-78.40 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET | $77.64 | 85 | $6,599.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 1:25pm ET | $77.74 | 85 | $6,607.88 | $6,685.47 |
+$8.48 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $68.88 | 97 | $6,681.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 2:05pm ET | $68.50 | 97 | $6,644.98 | $6,649.10 |
$-36.38 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 12:25pm ET | $67.00 | 99 | $6,633.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 2:20pm ET | $66.68 | 99 | $6,601.80 | $6,617.90 |
$-31.20 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.79 | 107 | $6,611.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 12:40pm ET | $60.80 | 107 | $6,505.60 | $6,511.97 |
$-105.93 (-1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.2h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.24 | 113 | $6,467.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 12:00pm ET | $56.58 | 113 | $6,393.54 | $6,437.96 |
$-74.01 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.44 | 114 | $6,433.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 10:50am ET | $56.58 | 114 | $6,450.14 | $6,454.51 |
+$16.55 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 1:10pm ET | $55.12 | 117 | $6,449.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 2:20pm ET | $55.22 | 117 | $6,461.32 | $6,466.57 |
+$12.06 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.03 | 119 | $6,429.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 1:20pm ET | $52.82 | 119 | $6,285.58 | $6,322.39 |
$-144.18 (-2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 1:35pm ET | $52.52 | 120 | $6,302.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 2:40pm ET | $52.60 | 120 | $6,311.80 | $6,331.79 |
+$9.40 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 10:25am ET | $53.59 | 118 | $6,323.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 11:15am ET | $53.66 | 118 | $6,331.88 | $6,340.10 |
+$8.31 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 1:35pm ET | $52.19 | 121 | $6,315.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 11:05am ET | $50.50 | 121 | $6,110.49 | $6,134.99 |
$-205.11 (-3.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
21.5h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 1:20pm ET | $50.43 | 121 | $6,102.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 2:25pm ET | $50.65 | 121 | $6,128.12 | $6,161.07 |
+$26.08 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$6,161.07
Net Profit/Loss:
$-3,838.93
Total Return:
-38.39%