SQQQ Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 34 trades in period
-17.37%
Last 3 Months Return
$5,481.83
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$6,634.59
Period Start
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
8
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality
8.4/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 8.3
30-Day Momentum
9
-1.6%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$6,634.59
Current Value
$5,481.83
Period P&L
$-1,152.68
Max Drawdown
-42.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.43
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
14 /
20
Best Trade
+1.62%
Worst Trade
-4.08%
Avg Trade Return
-0.55%
Avg Hold Time
8.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$408,856.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,152.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,152.68
Gross Return
-17.37%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.37%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $6,634.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 2:40pm ET | $77.99 | 85 | $6,628.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 3:30pm ET | $78.86 | 85 | $6,703.10 | $6,708.88 |
+$74.38 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 11:35am ET | $84.54 | 79 | $6,678.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 12:10pm ET | $85.42 | 79 | $6,748.18 | $6,778.79 |
+$69.91 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.25 | 78 | $6,727.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 10:50am ET | $85.95 | 78 | $6,704.10 | $6,755.39 |
$-23.40 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 3:50pm ET | $77.62 | 87 | $6,753.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.72 | 87 | $6,674.64 | $6,676.99 |
$-78.40 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET | $77.64 | 85 | $6,599.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 1:25pm ET | $77.74 | 85 | $6,607.88 | $6,685.47 |
+$8.48 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $68.88 | 97 | $6,681.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 2:05pm ET | $68.50 | 97 | $6,644.98 | $6,649.10 |
$-36.38 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 12:25pm ET | $67.00 | 99 | $6,633.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 2:20pm ET | $66.68 | 99 | $6,601.80 | $6,617.90 |
$-31.20 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.79 | 107 | $6,611.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 12:40pm ET | $60.80 | 107 | $6,505.60 | $6,511.97 |
$-105.93 (-1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.2h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.24 | 113 | $6,467.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 12:00pm ET | $56.58 | 113 | $6,393.54 | $6,437.96 |
$-74.01 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.44 | 114 | $6,433.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 10:50am ET | $56.58 | 114 | $6,450.14 | $6,454.51 |
+$16.55 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 1:10pm ET | $55.12 | 117 | $6,449.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 2:20pm ET | $55.22 | 117 | $6,461.32 | $6,466.57 |
+$12.06 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.03 | 119 | $6,429.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 1:20pm ET | $52.82 | 119 | $6,285.58 | $6,322.39 |
$-144.18 (-2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 1:35pm ET | $52.52 | 120 | $6,302.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 2:40pm ET | $52.60 | 120 | $6,311.80 | $6,331.79 |
+$9.40 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 10:25am ET | $53.59 | 118 | $6,323.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 11:15am ET | $53.66 | 118 | $6,331.88 | $6,340.10 |
+$8.31 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 1:35pm ET | $52.19 | 121 | $6,315.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 11:05am ET | $50.50 | 121 | $6,110.49 | $6,134.99 |
$-205.11 (-3.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
21.5h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 1:20pm ET | $50.43 | 121 | $6,102.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 2:25pm ET | $50.65 | 121 | $6,128.12 | $6,161.07 |
+$26.08 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.44 | 129 | $6,119.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 12:50pm ET | $46.44 | 129 | $5,990.12 | $6,031.43 |
$-129.64 (-2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.80 | 134 | $6,003.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 2:00pm ET | $42.97 | 134 | $5,757.99 | $5,786.22 |
$-245.21 (-4.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4.5h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 3:15pm ET | $43.82 | 132 | $5,784.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 12:00pm ET | $42.76 | 132 | $5,644.32 | $5,645.75 |
$-140.47 (-2.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 1:25pm ET | $42.24 | 133 | $5,617.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 2:30pm ET | $42.40 | 133 | $5,638.54 | $5,666.56 |
+$20.81 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 3:40pm ET | $43.89 | 129 | $5,661.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.60 | 129 | $5,753.40 | $5,758.14 |
+$91.58 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.65 | 131 | $5,718.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 12:15pm ET | $42.69 | 131 | $5,591.74 | $5,631.72 |
$-126.42 (-2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 1:10pm ET | $42.42 | 132 | $5,599.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 2:45pm ET | $41.94 | 132 | $5,536.08 | $5,568.36 |
$-63.36 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.01 | 139 | $5,561.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 11:15am ET | $39.50 | 139 | $5,490.51 | $5,497.40 |
$-70.96 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 2:30pm ET | $39.39 | 139 | $5,475.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 3:25pm ET | $39.51 | 139 | $5,491.90 | $5,513.72 |
+$16.32 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.15 | 144 | $5,492.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $38.09 | 144 | $5,484.96 | $5,505.80 |
$-7.92 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 12:55pm ET | $37.40 | 147 | $5,498.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 2:50pm ET | $37.24 | 147 | $5,473.55 | $5,480.81 |
$-24.99 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 3:00pm ET | $37.06 | 147 | $5,448.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $37.22 | 147 | $5,470.61 | $5,502.86 |
+$22.05 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 11:05am ET | $37.95 | 145 | $5,502.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 11:45am ET | $38.17 | 145 | $5,534.64 | $5,534.96 |
+$32.10 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $41.01 | 134 | $5,495.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 11:35am ET | $40.69 | 134 | $5,452.46 | $5,492.08 |
$-42.88 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.16 | 124 | $5,475.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 10:50am ET | $44.06 | 124 | $5,464.06 | $5,480.30 |
$-11.78 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.25 | 147 | $5,475.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $37.03 | 147 | $5,443.41 | $5,447.96 |
$-32.34 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.58 | 144 | $5,412.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $38.14 | 144 | $5,492.17 | $5,527.89 |
+$79.93 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 3:45pm ET | $36.58 | 151 | $5,524.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $36.28 | 151 | $5,478.28 | $5,481.83 |
$-46.06 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$5,481.83
Net Profit/Loss:
$-4,518.17
Total Return:
-45.18%