TMO Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 35 trades in period
-3.65%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,606.30
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$9,969.93
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
13
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality
13.0/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 12.8
30-Day Momentum
14
-2.3%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.5
Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,969.93
Current Value
$9,606.30
Period P&L
$-363.68
Max Drawdown
-13.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
19 /
16
Best Trade
+1.17%
Worst Trade
-2.01%
Avg Trade Return
-0.13%
Avg Hold Time
6.6h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$670,031.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-363.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$-363.68
Gross Return
-3.65%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.65%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,969.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $479.30 | 21 | $10,065.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $470.00 | 21 | $9,870.00 | $9,871.07 |
$-195.40 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $484.93 | 20 | $9,698.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 12:25pm ET | $488.40 | 20 | $9,768.00 | $9,940.47 |
+$69.40 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 3:30pm ET | $489.00 | 20 | $9,780.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 11:25am ET | $479.18 | 20 | $9,583.65 | $9,744.12 |
$-196.35 (-2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.9h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:25pm ET | $495.17 | 19 | $9,408.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:40pm ET | $495.77 | 19 | $9,419.63 | $9,755.52 |
+$11.40 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $487.41 | 20 | $9,748.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 10:30am ET | $488.61 | 20 | $9,772.30 | $9,779.62 |
+$24.10 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $497.42 | 19 | $9,450.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $496.08 | 19 | $9,425.61 | $9,754.25 |
$-25.37 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 1:30pm ET | $498.10 | 19 | $9,463.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 1:40pm ET | $499.07 | 19 | $9,482.33 | $9,772.68 |
+$18.43 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $525.22 | 18 | $9,453.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 11:15am ET | $523.68 | 18 | $9,426.24 | $9,744.96 |
$-27.72 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:30pm ET | $525.74 | 18 | $9,463.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 3:35pm ET | $525.71 | 18 | $9,462.78 | $9,744.33 |
$-0.63 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $525.10 | 18 | $9,451.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:40am ET | $527.05 | 18 | $9,486.90 | $9,779.34 |
+$35.01 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:20am ET | $516.55 | 18 | $9,297.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 12:35pm ET | $517.87 | 18 | $9,321.66 | $9,803.01 |
+$23.67 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $457.67 | 21 | $9,611.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 2:00pm ET | $459.25 | 21 | $9,644.25 | $9,836.19 |
+$33.18 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 3:25pm ET | $468.40 | 20 | $9,368.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $473.77 | 20 | $9,475.50 | $9,943.59 |
+$107.40 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:20am ET | $464.39 | 21 | $9,752.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:45am ET | $467.90 | 21 | $9,825.90 | $10,017.30 |
+$73.71 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 1:25pm ET | $465.86 | 21 | $9,783.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 3:15pm ET | $464.92 | 21 | $9,763.32 | $9,997.46 |
$-19.84 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $472.33 | 21 | $9,919.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 1:25pm ET | $470.13 | 21 | $9,872.73 | $9,951.16 |
$-46.30 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 3:50pm ET | $462.49 | 21 | $9,712.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $466.84 | 21 | $9,803.64 | $10,042.51 |
+$91.35 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 3:35pm ET | $469.03 | 21 | $9,849.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 10:45am ET | $463.78 | 21 | $9,739.38 | $9,932.26 |
$-110.25 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.2h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 10:50am ET | $460.02 | 21 | $9,660.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 12:55pm ET | $453.68 | 21 | $9,527.28 | $9,799.01 |
$-133.25 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 3:50pm ET | $458.51 | 21 | $9,628.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $453.92 | 21 | $9,532.32 | $9,702.62 |
$-96.39 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 12:55pm ET | $451.45 | 21 | $9,480.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 1:10pm ET | $453.56 | 21 | $9,524.76 | $9,746.93 |
+$44.31 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 1:55pm ET | $440.83 | 22 | $9,698.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 3:30pm ET | $439.05 | 22 | $9,659.10 | $9,707.88 |
$-39.05 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $440.00 | 22 | $9,680.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 11:05am ET | $444.82 | 22 | $9,786.04 | $9,813.83 |
+$105.95 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 12:20pm ET | $448.52 | 21 | $9,418.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 1:20pm ET | $449.55 | 21 | $9,440.45 | $9,835.36 |
+$21.53 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $445.31 | 22 | $9,796.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 10:00am ET | $447.24 | 22 | $9,839.28 | $9,877.82 |
+$42.46 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 3:25pm ET | $486.17 | 20 | $9,723.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $482.22 | 20 | $9,644.40 | $9,798.82 |
$-79.00 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $490.88 | 19 | $9,326.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 10:40am ET | $489.74 | 19 | $9,305.06 | $9,777.16 |
$-21.66 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 11:30am ET | $482.40 | 20 | $9,648.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 1:45pm ET | $479.56 | 20 | $9,591.20 | $9,720.36 |
$-56.80 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $474.86 | 20 | $9,497.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 11:05am ET | $475.40 | 20 | $9,508.04 | $9,731.10 |
+$10.74 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 11:45am ET | $472.38 | 20 | $9,447.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 12:50pm ET | $472.98 | 20 | $9,459.60 | $9,743.10 |
+$12.00 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $488.79 | 19 | $9,286.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $491.07 | 19 | $9,330.33 | $9,786.52 |
+$43.42 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 9:45am ET | $480.63 | 20 | $9,612.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET | $472.20 | 20 | $9,443.98 | $9,617.90 |
$-168.62 (-1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 2:15pm ET | $467.70 | 20 | $9,354.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 3:10pm ET | $469.24 | 20 | $9,384.80 | $9,648.70 |
+$30.80 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 2:00pm ET | $474.39 | 20 | $9,487.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $466.89 | 20 | $9,337.80 | $9,498.70 |
$-150.00 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $461.00 | 20 | $9,220.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $466.38 | 20 | $9,327.60 | $9,606.30 |
+$107.60 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,606.30
Net Profit/Loss:
$-393.70
Total Return:
-3.94%