TQQQ Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 40 trades in period
+0.84%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,264.09
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$10,178.12
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,191
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
75 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,178.12
Current Value
$10,264.09
Period P&L
$85.98
Max Drawdown
-17.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
25 /
15
Best Trade
+3.61%
Worst Trade
-8.26%
Avg Trade Return
+0.04%
Avg Hold Time
7.6h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$818,563.15
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$85.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$85.98
Gross Return
+0.84%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.84%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 75 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,178.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:35am ET | $50.47 | 201 | $10,144.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 10:25am ET | $51.78 | 201 | $10,407.78 | $10,441.42 |
+$263.29 (+2.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 11:05am ET | $51.76 | 201 | $10,403.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 11:30am ET | $52.34 | 201 | $10,519.34 | $10,556.97 |
+$115.55 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 3:30pm ET | $49.62 | 212 | $10,519.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 9:40am ET | $50.12 | 212 | $10,625.46 | $10,662.46 |
+$105.49 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:05am ET | $52.08 | 204 | $10,623.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 12:40pm ET | $47.78 | 204 | $9,746.10 | $9,785.26 |
$-877.20 (-8.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 3:25pm ET | $47.91 | 204 | $9,772.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $49.64 | 204 | $10,125.54 | $10,138.04 |
+$352.78 (+3.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $50.63 | 200 | $10,125.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 9:40am ET | $49.87 | 200 | $9,973.00 | $9,986.04 |
$-152.00 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 1:05pm ET | $53.46 | 186 | $9,943.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 1:20pm ET | $53.65 | 186 | $9,977.97 | $10,020.45 |
+$34.41 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 2:15pm ET | $54.23 | 184 | $9,978.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 2:20pm ET | $54.07 | 184 | $9,949.21 | $9,991.45 |
$-29.00 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $54.51 | 183 | $9,975.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 10:30am ET | $55.19 | 183 | $10,099.77 | $10,115.89 |
+$124.44 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 2:15pm ET | $54.98 | 184 | $10,115.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 2:20pm ET | $54.76 | 184 | $10,075.86 | $10,076.35 |
$-39.54 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 3:45pm ET | $55.94 | 180 | $10,069.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $56.15 | 180 | $10,107.00 | $10,114.15 |
+$37.80 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 2:40pm ET | $55.94 | 180 | $10,069.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 3:40pm ET | $56.04 | 180 | $10,087.18 | $10,132.10 |
+$17.95 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $55.18 | 183 | $10,097.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 11:00am ET | $55.05 | 183 | $10,074.37 | $10,108.53 |
$-23.57 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET | $52.60 | 192 | $10,099.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 12:10pm ET | $53.10 | 192 | $10,195.20 | $10,204.53 |
+$96.00 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 1:20pm ET | $52.14 | 195 | $10,167.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 1:50pm ET | $52.38 | 195 | $10,214.10 | $10,251.33 |
+$46.80 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:35am ET | $51.28 | 199 | $10,204.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 12:20pm ET | $50.55 | 199 | $10,059.69 | $10,106.29 |
$-145.03 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 12:20pm ET | $51.22 | 197 | $10,089.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 12:40pm ET | $52.05 | 197 | $10,253.85 | $10,270.79 |
+$164.49 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 3:40pm ET | $53.42 | 192 | $10,255.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 3:50pm ET | $53.54 | 192 | $10,279.66 | $10,294.77 |
+$23.98 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 10:00am ET | $53.92 | 190 | $10,244.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 10:30am ET | $54.25 | 190 | $10,308.34 | $10,358.31 |
+$63.54 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 3:50pm ET | $55.26 | 187 | $10,333.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $54.38 | 187 | $10,168.31 | $10,192.77 |
$-165.53 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 9:35am ET | $54.21 | 188 | $10,191.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 9:50am ET | $54.51 | 188 | $10,248.52 | $10,249.94 |
+$57.17 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 2:30pm ET | $53.25 | 192 | $10,223.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.13 | 192 | $10,392.96 | $10,419.86 |
+$169.92 (+1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 12:20pm ET | $53.87 | 193 | $10,396.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 2:00pm ET | $53.78 | 193 | $10,379.31 | $10,402.26 |
$-17.60 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 1:20pm ET | $55.83 | 186 | $10,385.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 1:40pm ET | $56.02 | 186 | $10,420.19 | $10,437.36 |
+$35.10 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 2:10pm ET | $53.77 | 194 | $10,431.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:00pm ET | $53.92 | 194 | $10,459.86 | $10,465.86 |
+$28.50 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $55.77 | 187 | $10,428.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.31 | 187 | $10,342.05 | $10,378.92 |
$-86.94 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $55.77 | 186 | $10,372.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:10am ET | $55.61 | 186 | $10,342.53 | $10,348.51 |
$-30.41 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 12:30pm ET | $55.33 | 187 | $10,345.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 1:25pm ET | $55.50 | 187 | $10,378.50 | $10,381.24 |
+$32.72 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.05 | 199 | $10,357.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $51.76 | 199 | $10,300.22 | $10,323.89 |
$-57.35 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET | $51.65 | 199 | $10,278.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 1:10pm ET | $51.29 | 199 | $10,206.71 | $10,252.25 |
$-71.64 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 1:55pm ET | $53.99 | 189 | $10,203.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:10pm ET | $54.16 | 189 | $10,235.30 | $10,284.38 |
+$32.13 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 3:05pm ET | $54.23 | 189 | $10,248.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:45pm ET | $54.41 | 189 | $10,283.49 | $10,319.34 |
+$34.96 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 3:50pm ET | $55.18 | 187 | $10,318.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.84 | 187 | $10,441.15 | $10,441.83 |
+$122.49 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 11:40am ET | $56.87 | 183 | $10,407.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 12:15pm ET | $57.13 | 183 | $10,453.88 | $10,488.49 |
+$46.67 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 11:20am ET | $54.58 | 192 | $10,479.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 1:50pm ET | $54.28 | 192 | $10,422.03 | $10,431.16 |
$-57.33 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:35pm ET | $55.40 | 188 | $10,416.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET | $55.06 | 188 | $10,351.28 | $10,366.30 |
$-64.86 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $50.97 | 203 | $10,346.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 1:25pm ET | $49.42 | 203 | $10,032.26 | $10,051.65 |
$-314.65 (-3.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.5h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:55pm ET | $50.13 | 200 | $10,026.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:05pm ET | $50.30 | 200 | $10,060.00 | $10,085.65 |
+$34.00 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $51.81 | 194 | $10,050.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $51.92 | 194 | $10,072.62 | $10,108.09 |
+$22.45 (+0.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
24m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET | $50.49 | 200 | $10,098.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:50am ET | $51.27 | 200 | $10,254.00 | $10,264.09 |
+$156.00 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,264.09
Net Profit/Loss:
+$264.09
Total Return:
+2.64%