UNH Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 34 trades in period
+11.33%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,526.83
Current Value
79%
Win Rate
$9,455.35
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
22.4 oversold
20d Trend
-22.6%
5d Trend
-9.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
4.9%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
24
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.8/35
Total Return
6.3/25
Win Rate
10.5/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality
24.0/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 23.6
30-Day Momentum
65
+6.4%
30d Return
77%
Win Rate
13
Trades
3.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 68.4
Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+41 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,455.35
Current Value
$10,526.83
Period P&L
$1,071.44
Max Drawdown
-22.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.36
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
27 /
7
Best Trade
+4.35%
Worst Trade
-1.19%
Avg Trade Return
+0.33%
Avg Hold Time
10h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$655,698.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,071.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,071.44
Gross Return
+11.33%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.33%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 UNH Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,455.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $268.08 | 35 | $9,382.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:00am ET | $270.16 | 35 | $9,455.60 | $9,528.26 |
+$72.87 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 12:25pm ET | $270.35 | 35 | $9,462.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $267.12 | 35 | $9,349.20 | $9,415.31 |
$-112.95 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $272.71 | 34 | $9,272.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $273.96 | 34 | $9,314.64 | $9,457.81 |
+$42.50 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:45pm ET | $281.49 | 33 | $9,289.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 3:05pm ET | $281.56 | 33 | $9,291.48 | $9,460.12 |
+$2.31 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $304.30 | 31 | $9,433.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $305.73 | 31 | $9,477.63 | $9,504.45 |
+$44.33 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 12:00pm ET | $307.80 | 30 | $9,234.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $305.30 | 30 | $9,159.00 | $9,429.45 |
$-75.00 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET | $314.09 | 30 | $9,422.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:15pm ET | $314.56 | 30 | $9,436.80 | $9,443.55 |
+$14.10 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $323.88 | 29 | $9,392.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 2:50pm ET | $324.01 | 29 | $9,396.29 | $9,447.32 |
+$3.77 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 3:00pm ET | $349.00 | 27 | $9,423.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $351.41 | 27 | $9,488.00 | $9,512.32 |
+$65.00 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $350.85 | 27 | $9,472.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 2:15pm ET | $353.44 | 27 | $9,542.88 | $9,582.39 |
+$70.07 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:05am ET | $350.61 | 27 | $9,466.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 12:15pm ET | $350.36 | 27 | $9,459.59 | $9,575.51 |
$-6.88 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $365.26 | 26 | $9,496.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $367.70 | 26 | $9,560.20 | $9,638.95 |
+$63.44 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:45am ET | $364.59 | 26 | $9,479.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:35am ET | $367.35 | 26 | $9,551.10 | $9,710.71 |
+$71.76 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 1:40pm ET | $369.47 | 26 | $9,606.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 2:05pm ET | $370.49 | 26 | $9,632.74 | $9,737.23 |
+$26.52 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $367.54 | 26 | $9,555.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 12:50pm ET | $363.34 | 26 | $9,446.84 | $9,628.16 |
$-109.07 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 2:45pm ET | $366.88 | 26 | $9,538.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 3:05pm ET | $367.57 | 26 | $9,556.82 | $9,646.10 |
+$17.94 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 12:00pm ET | $398.05 | 24 | $9,553.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 1:10pm ET | $399.88 | 24 | $9,597.12 | $9,689.96 |
+$43.86 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $393.30 | 24 | $9,439.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 10:30am ET | $397.60 | 24 | $9,542.40 | $9,793.10 |
+$103.14 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 3:35pm ET | $390.64 | 25 | $9,766.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $391.68 | 25 | $9,792.00 | $9,819.10 |
+$26.00 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $382.70 | 25 | $9,567.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $383.76 | 25 | $9,593.88 | $9,845.35 |
+$26.25 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $382.12 | 25 | $9,553.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 11:05am ET | $378.88 | 25 | $9,472.00 | $9,764.35 |
$-81.00 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 12:55pm ET | $381.71 | 25 | $9,542.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 1:40pm ET | $382.33 | 25 | $9,558.25 | $9,779.72 |
+$15.37 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 1:55pm ET | $382.27 | 25 | $9,556.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 3:20pm ET | $382.04 | 25 | $9,550.88 | $9,773.97 |
$-5.75 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $379.22 | 25 | $9,480.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $376.28 | 25 | $9,407.00 | $9,700.47 |
$-73.50 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $377.48 | 25 | $9,436.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $379.15 | 25 | $9,478.75 | $9,742.34 |
+$41.87 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $379.80 | 25 | $9,495.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $396.33 | 25 | $9,908.13 | $10,155.47 |
+$413.13 (+4.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 3:00pm ET | $399.27 | 25 | $9,981.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $401.30 | 25 | $10,032.50 | $10,206.22 |
+$50.75 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 11:40am ET | $408.89 | 24 | $9,813.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 12:55pm ET | $410.35 | 24 | $9,848.40 | $10,241.26 |
+$35.04 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 3:20pm ET | $405.17 | 25 | $10,129.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $406.79 | 25 | $10,169.75 | $10,281.64 |
+$40.38 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 2:50pm ET | $406.58 | 25 | $10,164.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 3:20pm ET | $408.03 | 25 | $10,200.75 | $10,317.89 |
+$36.25 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $408.14 | 25 | $10,203.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $409.07 | 25 | $10,226.75 | $10,341.14 |
+$23.25 (+0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $404.57 | 25 | $10,114.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 10:05am ET | $408.58 | 25 | $10,214.50 | $10,441.39 |
+$100.25 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $401.57 | 26 | $10,440.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $403.03 | 26 | $10,478.78 | $10,479.35 |
+$37.96 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $405.87 | 25 | $10,146.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $407.77 | 25 | $10,194.23 | $10,526.83 |
+$47.48 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,526.83
Net Profit/Loss:
+$526.83
Total Return:
+5.27%