UVXY Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-22 to present • 36 trades in period
+5.51%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,142.04
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$10,559.74
Period Start
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026
23
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
9.1/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality
22.9/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 22.7
30-Day Momentum
21
+0.9%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 24.5
Conf: 0.87×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,559.74
Current Value
$11,142.04
Period P&L
$582.29
Max Drawdown
-33.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
24 /
12
Best Trade
+3.44%
Worst Trade
-4.26%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
5.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$804,867.51
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$582.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$582.29
Gross Return
+5.51%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.51%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,559.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.58 | 217 | $10,541.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 10:50am ET | $49.22 | 217 | $10,679.66 | $10,697.52 |
+$137.77 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.31 | 216 | $10,650.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 10:00am ET | $50.71 | 216 | $10,953.08 | $10,999.64 |
+$302.12 (+2.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 11:35am ET | $56.42 | 194 | $10,945.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 12:00pm ET | $57.83 | 194 | $11,219.99 | $11,274.13 |
+$274.49 (+2.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.16 | 200 | $11,232.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 10:50am ET | $57.41 | 200 | $11,482.00 | $11,524.13 |
+$250.00 (+2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 1:25pm ET | $51.58 | 223 | $11,502.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 3:30pm ET | $51.42 | 223 | $11,465.55 | $11,487.33 |
$-36.80 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET | $51.17 | 224 | $11,462.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 1:10pm ET | $51.88 | 224 | $11,622.20 | $11,647.45 |
+$160.12 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:55am ET | $43.15 | 269 | $11,606.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 2:05pm ET | $41.66 | 269 | $11,206.14 | $11,246.64 |
$-400.81 (-3.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET | $41.62 | 270 | $11,238.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 3:40pm ET | $41.88 | 270 | $11,308.95 | $11,317.24 |
+$70.60 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 3:40pm ET | $39.72 | 284 | $11,280.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.03 | 284 | $10,800.49 | $10,837.25 |
$-479.99 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.30 | 282 | $10,801.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET | $38.73 | 282 | $10,920.70 | $10,956.73 |
+$119.48 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 11:15am ET | $38.80 | 282 | $10,941.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 11:55am ET | $39.26 | 282 | $11,071.32 | $11,086.45 |
+$129.72 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.72 | 286 | $11,073.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 10:25am ET | $39.24 | 286 | $11,222.64 | $11,235.17 |
+$148.72 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 1:15pm ET | $39.16 | 286 | $11,199.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 2:20pm ET | $39.46 | 286 | $11,285.56 | $11,320.94 |
+$85.77 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $39.17 | 288 | $11,282.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 11:25am ET | $38.98 | 288 | $11,226.24 | $11,264.78 |
$-56.16 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 3:10pm ET | $38.15 | 295 | $11,254.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.93 | 295 | $11,484.38 | $11,494.56 |
+$229.78 (+2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.54 | 306 | $11,488.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $38.12 | 306 | $11,664.72 | $11,670.51 |
+$175.95 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $35.92 | 324 | $11,638.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:50am ET | $36.03 | 324 | $11,673.72 | $11,706.15 |
+$35.64 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $36.34 | 322 | $11,702.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 11:05am ET | $36.39 | 322 | $11,717.58 | $11,720.96 |
+$14.81 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 2:30pm ET | $36.02 | 325 | $11,706.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 2:40pm ET | $36.17 | 325 | $11,755.58 | $11,770.04 |
+$49.08 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.58 | 330 | $11,742.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 10:10am ET | $35.88 | 330 | $11,838.75 | $11,865.91 |
+$95.87 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 11:10am ET | $35.96 | 330 | $11,865.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 12:00pm ET | $36.07 | 330 | $11,903.10 | $11,903.56 |
+$37.65 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 1:05pm ET | $36.96 | 322 | $11,899.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 3:50pm ET | $35.95 | 322 | $11,575.90 | $11,579.95 |
$-323.61 (-2.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 12:15pm ET | $36.45 | 317 | $11,554.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 3:50pm ET | $35.58 | 317 | $11,278.86 | $11,304.16 |
$-275.79 (-2.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 3:50pm ET | $35.76 | 316 | $11,300.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.03 | 316 | $11,071.06 | $11,075.06 |
$-229.10 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 12:40pm ET | $34.75 | 318 | $11,050.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 1:15pm ET | $34.96 | 318 | $11,117.25 | $11,141.81 |
+$66.75 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 1:10pm ET | $33.23 | 335 | $11,132.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 2:50pm ET | $32.94 | 335 | $11,034.90 | $11,044.66 |
$-97.15 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $31.60 | 349 | $11,028.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 11:35am ET | $31.39 | 349 | $10,955.11 | $10,971.37 |
$-73.29 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 2:20pm ET | $30.79 | 356 | $10,961.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 2:50pm ET | $30.99 | 356 | $11,032.44 | $11,042.57 |
+$71.20 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 3:40pm ET | $29.48 | 374 | $11,023.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $29.00 | 374 | $10,846.00 | $10,864.92 |
$-177.65 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 12:00pm ET | $29.26 | 371 | $10,855.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 12:50pm ET | $29.46 | 371 | $10,929.66 | $10,939.12 |
+$74.20 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $29.18 | 374 | $10,913.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 1:50pm ET | $28.19 | 374 | $10,541.75 | $10,567.55 |
$-371.57 (-3.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
22.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $29.52 | 357 | $10,540.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 11:30am ET | $29.57 | 357 | $10,554.71 | $10,581.83 |
+$14.28 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 2:00pm ET | $32.17 | 328 | $10,551.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 2:30pm ET | $32.51 | 328 | $10,662.46 | $10,692.53 |
+$110.70 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $30.21 | 353 | $10,664.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 10:45am ET | $30.46 | 353 | $10,751.64 | $10,780.04 |
+$87.51 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 12:30pm ET | $26.11 | 412 | $10,757.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 1:45pm ET | $26.09 | 412 | $10,749.08 | $10,771.80 |
$-8.24 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 1:40pm ET | $25.84 | 416 | $10,751.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $26.74 | 416 | $11,121.76 | $11,142.04 |
+$370.24 (+3.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,142.04
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,142.04
Total Return:
+11.42%