Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,698
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
75 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,369.89
Current Value
$8,885.81
Period P&L
$-484.09
Max Drawdown
-33.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
22 / 15
Best Trade
+2.57%
Worst Trade
-4.82%
Avg Trade Return
-0.13%
Avg Hold Time
7.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$660,755.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-484.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$-484.09
Gross Return
-5.17%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 75 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,369.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 11:20am ET $61.53 152 $9,351.88
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 12:25pm ET $61.85 152 $9,401.20 $9,419.21 +$49.32
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 12:55pm ET $60.30 156 $9,406.80
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 2:20pm ET $60.10 156 $9,375.60 $9,388.01 $-31.20
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:40am ET $64.17 146 $9,368.82
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 1:05pm ET $62.57 146 $9,135.22 $9,154.41 $-233.60
(-2.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 1:50pm ET $54.15 169 $9,151.35
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 2:20pm ET $54.39 169 $9,191.91 $9,194.97 +$40.56
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 3:00pm ET $52.30 175 $9,152.50
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $50.53 175 $8,842.75 $8,885.22 $-309.75
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 9:40am ET $48.91 181 $8,852.71
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 9:45am ET $48.63 181 $8,801.38 $8,833.88 $-51.33
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET $47.17 187 $8,821.13
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 10:30am ET $47.59 187 $8,899.33 $8,912.09 +$78.20
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 2:20pm ET $46.31 192 $8,891.50
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 2:40pm ET $46.56 192 $8,939.52 $8,960.11 +$48.02
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET $45.13 198 $8,935.74
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 10:55am ET $45.16 198 $8,941.68 $8,966.05 +$5.94
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 3:50pm ET $45.68 196 $8,953.28
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 11:40am ET $45.30 196 $8,878.80 $8,891.57 $-74.48
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 12:55pm ET $45.26 196 $8,870.96
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 1:35pm ET $45.41 196 $8,900.36 $8,920.97 +$29.40
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 3:50pm ET $42.19 211 $8,901.04
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $41.62 211 $8,781.04 $8,800.97 $-120.00
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET $41.85 210 $8,788.50
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 10:00am ET $42.59 210 $8,943.90 $8,956.37 +$155.40
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 9:55am ET $41.32 216 $8,925.12
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:30am ET $41.80 216 $9,027.72 $9,058.97 +$102.60
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 3:20pm ET $41.17 220 $9,056.30
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 11:40am ET $39.39 220 $8,665.80 $8,668.47 $-390.50
(-4.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 3:05pm ET $36.95 234 $8,646.30
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:00am ET $36.93 234 $8,641.62 $8,663.79 $-4.68
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.9h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 9:30am ET $36.69 236 $8,658.84
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 9:45am ET $37.11 236 $8,757.96 $8,762.91 +$99.12
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 11:10am ET $36.70 238 $8,734.60
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 11:30am ET $36.85 238 $8,770.30 $8,798.61 +$35.70
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 2:40pm ET $35.30 249 $8,788.73
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 3:55pm ET $35.37 249 $8,807.13 $8,817.01 +$18.40
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:45am ET $34.99 251 $8,782.49
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:20am ET $35.55 251 $8,921.80 $8,956.32 +$139.31
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:25pm ET $34.81 257 $8,944.89
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 2:20pm ET $34.83 257 $8,951.31 $8,962.74 +$6.42
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 3:00pm ET $34.77 257 $8,935.89
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $34.82 257 $8,948.74 $8,975.59 +$12.85
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:05am ET $35.17 255 $8,967.08
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 12:25pm ET $35.02 255 $8,930.10 $8,938.62 $-36.97
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $34.18 261 $8,920.98
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $35.06 261 $9,150.66 $9,168.30 +$229.68
(+2.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 11:50am ET $34.49 265 $9,139.85
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 12:35pm ET $34.82 265 $9,225.98 $9,254.42 +$86.12
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $37.01 250 $9,253.13
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $35.23 250 $8,807.50 $8,808.80 $-445.63
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $34.93 252 $8,802.36
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $35.10 252 $8,845.20 $8,851.64 +$42.84
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $39.12 226 $8,841.96
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET $38.93 226 $8,798.18 $8,807.86 $-43.78
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET $35.01 251 $8,787.76
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 11:55am ET $34.99 251 $8,781.24 $8,801.34 $-6.53
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:50am ET $34.93 251 $8,767.43
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:25am ET $35.26 251 $8,850.26 $8,884.17 +$82.83
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 12:50pm ET $36.35 244 $8,869.40
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 3:25pm ET $35.92 244 $8,765.21 $8,779.98 $-104.19
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:35am ET $36.33 241 $8,755.53
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:55am ET $36.86 241 $8,883.26 $8,907.71 +$127.73
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:45pm ET $34.36 259 $8,899.24
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:20pm ET $34.47 259 $8,927.21 $8,935.68 +$27.97
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $36.69 243 $8,916.88
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET $37.22 243 $9,044.46 $9,063.25 +$127.58
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:30am ET $39.45 229 $9,034.05
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 12:55pm ET $39.43 229 $9,029.47 $9,058.67 $-4.58
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $37.12 244 $9,056.06
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $35.60 244 $8,686.40 $8,689.01 $-369.66
(-4.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9d held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $35.32 246 $8,688.72
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET $36.12 246 $8,885.52 $8,885.81 +$196.80
(+2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,885.81
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,114.19
Total Return: -11.14%
Back to Professor Mean