UVXY Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 33 trades in period
+29.39%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,720.96
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$9,058.66
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
25
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.8/35
Total Return
10.5/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
25.3/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 25.0
30-Day Momentum
34
+2.0%
30d Return
77%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 35.7
Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,889
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,058.66
Current Value
$11,720.96
Period P&L
$2,662.29
Max Drawdown
-33.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
22 /
11
Best Trade
+10.14%
Worst Trade
-4.26%
Avg Trade Return
+0.83%
Avg Hold Time
8.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$684,932.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,662.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,662.29
Gross Return
+29.39%
Net Return (after fees)
+29.39%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,058.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:30pm ET | $37.12 | 244 | $9,056.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 12:05pm ET | $35.60 | 244 | $8,686.40 | $8,689.01 |
$-369.66 (-4.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.32 | 246 | $8,688.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET | $36.12 | 246 | $8,885.52 | $8,885.81 |
+$196.80 (+2.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:15am ET | $40.06 | 221 | $8,853.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET | $40.44 | 221 | $8,937.24 | $8,969.81 |
+$84.00 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $39.99 | 224 | $8,957.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 11:30am ET | $39.00 | 224 | $8,735.75 | $8,747.80 |
$-222.01 (-2.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $40.03 | 218 | $8,726.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 11:50am ET | $39.05 | 218 | $8,513.77 | $8,535.03 |
$-212.77 (-2.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 2:40pm ET | $37.42 | 228 | $8,531.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:55am ET | $37.15 | 228 | $8,470.20 | $8,473.47 |
$-61.56 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 3:15pm ET | $39.56 | 214 | $8,465.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.10 | 214 | $9,224.47 | $9,232.10 |
+$758.63 (+9.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 1:20pm ET | $43.65 | 211 | $9,210.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 3:15pm ET | $42.55 | 211 | $8,977.31 | $8,999.26 |
$-232.84 (-2.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 3:10pm ET | $45.58 | 197 | $8,979.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.20 | 197 | $9,889.40 | $9,909.40 |
+$910.14 (+10.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET | $48.35 | 204 | $9,864.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 10:10am ET | $47.70 | 204 | $9,731.72 | $9,776.70 |
$-132.70 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 12:55pm ET | $47.82 | 204 | $9,755.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 1:40pm ET | $48.55 | 204 | $9,904.20 | $9,925.62 |
+$148.92 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.90 | 202 | $9,878.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $49.78 | 202 | $10,056.57 | $10,103.38 |
+$177.76 (+1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $45.21 | 223 | $10,081.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 11:05am ET | $44.82 | 223 | $9,994.86 | $10,016.41 |
$-86.97 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 2:00pm ET | $48.99 | 204 | $9,993.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 2:30pm ET | $50.24 | 204 | $10,247.94 | $10,270.39 |
+$253.98 (+2.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 3:05pm ET | $48.11 | 213 | $10,247.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 3:50pm ET | $49.47 | 213 | $10,537.11 | $10,559.75 |
+$289.36 (+2.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.58 | 217 | $10,541.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 10:50am ET | $49.22 | 217 | $10,679.66 | $10,697.52 |
+$137.77 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.31 | 216 | $10,650.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 10:00am ET | $50.71 | 216 | $10,953.08 | $10,999.64 |
+$302.12 (+2.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 11:35am ET | $56.42 | 194 | $10,945.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 12:00pm ET | $57.83 | 194 | $11,219.99 | $11,274.13 |
+$274.49 (+2.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.16 | 200 | $11,232.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 10:50am ET | $57.41 | 200 | $11,482.00 | $11,524.13 |
+$250.00 (+2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 1:25pm ET | $51.58 | 223 | $11,502.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 3:30pm ET | $51.42 | 223 | $11,465.55 | $11,487.33 |
$-36.80 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET | $51.17 | 224 | $11,462.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 1:10pm ET | $51.88 | 224 | $11,622.20 | $11,647.45 |
+$160.12 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:55am ET | $43.15 | 269 | $11,606.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 2:05pm ET | $41.66 | 269 | $11,206.14 | $11,246.64 |
$-400.81 (-3.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.2h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET | $41.62 | 270 | $11,238.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 3:40pm ET | $41.88 | 270 | $11,308.95 | $11,317.24 |
+$70.60 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 3:40pm ET | $39.72 | 284 | $11,280.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.03 | 284 | $10,800.49 | $10,837.25 |
$-479.99 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.30 | 282 | $10,801.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET | $38.73 | 282 | $10,920.70 | $10,956.73 |
+$119.48 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 11:15am ET | $38.80 | 282 | $10,941.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 11:55am ET | $39.26 | 282 | $11,071.32 | $11,086.45 |
+$129.72 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.72 | 286 | $11,073.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 10:25am ET | $39.24 | 286 | $11,222.64 | $11,235.17 |
+$148.72 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 1:15pm ET | $39.16 | 286 | $11,199.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 2:20pm ET | $39.46 | 286 | $11,285.56 | $11,320.94 |
+$85.77 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $39.17 | 288 | $11,282.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 11:25am ET | $38.98 | 288 | $11,226.24 | $11,264.78 |
$-56.16 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 3:10pm ET | $38.15 | 295 | $11,254.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.93 | 295 | $11,484.38 | $11,494.56 |
+$229.78 (+2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.54 | 306 | $11,488.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $38.12 | 306 | $11,664.72 | $11,670.51 |
+$175.95 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $35.92 | 324 | $11,638.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:50am ET | $36.03 | 324 | $11,673.72 | $11,706.15 |
+$35.64 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $36.34 | 322 | $11,702.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 11:05am ET | $36.39 | 322 | $11,717.58 | $11,720.96 |
+$14.81 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,720.96
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,720.96
Total Return:
+17.21%