Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:21:47

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.3 neutral
20d Trend
+0.4%
5d Trend
+2.5%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
2.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.6/35
Total Return
2.1/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 15.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 15.5

30-Day Momentum

12
-1.5%
30d Return
46%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.3 Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,843
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,483.89
Current Value
$10,081.12
Period P&L
$-402.73
Max Drawdown
-5.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
17 / 17
Best Trade
+1.06%
Worst Trade
-2.18%
Avg Trade Return
-0.12%
Avg Hold Time
3.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$685,134.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-402.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$-402.73
Gross Return
-3.84%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.84%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 V Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 34 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,483.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:55am ET $327.67 31 $10,157.77
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:50pm ET $325.17 31 $10,080.42 $10,406.50 $-77.35
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:15pm ET $327.76 31 $10,160.41
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $328.11 31 $10,171.26 $10,417.35 +$10.85
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET $318.34 32 $10,186.88
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:40am ET $319.89 32 $10,236.48 $10,466.95 +$49.60
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:40am ET $318.11 32 $10,179.68
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 11:55am ET $317.85 32 $10,171.20 $10,458.47 $-8.48
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $319.00 32 $10,208.00
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 11:40am ET $312.06 32 $9,985.92 $10,236.39 $-222.08
(-2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $315.96 32 $10,110.72
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:45am ET $314.19 32 $10,054.08 $10,179.75 $-56.64
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $316.07 32 $10,114.08
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 11:10am ET $316.01 32 $10,112.32 $10,177.99 $-1.76
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 3:50pm ET $320.98 31 $9,950.38
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $319.71 31 $9,911.16 $10,138.77 $-39.22
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $315.27 32 $10,088.48
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 10:35am ET $315.73 32 $10,103.37 $10,153.66 +$14.89
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $314.87 32 $10,075.75
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:45pm ET $314.88 32 $10,076.00 $10,153.91 +$0.25
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 3:50pm ET $308.58 32 $9,874.40
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $309.41 32 $9,901.18 $10,180.69 +$26.78
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET $306.89 33 $10,127.37
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 2:30pm ET $307.99 33 $10,163.83 $10,217.15 +$36.46
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $309.08 33 $10,199.80
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 3:10pm ET $308.92 33 $10,194.36 $10,211.71 $-5.44
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $298.89 34 $10,162.26
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $298.31 34 $10,142.54 $10,191.99 $-19.72
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $301.71 33 $9,956.59
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $301.58 33 $9,952.14 $10,187.53 $-4.46
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $302.78 33 $9,991.74
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:40am ET $303.21 33 $10,006.09 $10,201.88 +$14.35
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 2:50pm ET $304.65 33 $10,053.45
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $305.20 33 $10,071.60 $10,220.03 +$18.15
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $303.19 33 $10,005.27
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 11:05am ET $298.61 33 $9,854.29 $10,069.05 $-150.98
(-1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:15pm ET $298.88 33 $9,863.04
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $299.37 33 $9,879.21 $10,085.22 +$16.17
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $301.46 33 $9,948.18
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $304.65 33 $10,053.45 $10,190.49 +$105.27
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $297.17 34 $10,103.78
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:25am ET $298.51 34 $10,149.17 $10,235.88 +$45.39
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $302.94 33 $9,997.02
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $303.48 33 $10,014.68 $10,253.54 +$17.66
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $301.34 34 $10,245.56
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $302.63 34 $10,289.42 $10,297.40 +$43.86
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $308.05 33 $10,165.49
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $304.89 33 $10,061.37 $10,193.29 $-104.11
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $306.75 33 $10,122.87
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:10am ET $306.40 33 $10,111.20 $10,181.62 $-11.67
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:00am ET $315.48 32 $10,095.52
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:15am ET $315.65 32 $10,100.80 $10,186.90 +$5.28
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $317.17 32 $10,149.40
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:50pm ET $316.81 32 $10,137.92 $10,175.42 $-11.48
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:40am ET $308.95 32 $9,886.40
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:00am ET $310.47 32 $9,935.04 $10,224.06 +$48.64
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET $305.79 33 $10,091.07
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:55pm ET $306.32 33 $10,108.40 $10,241.38 +$17.32
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $307.08 33 $10,133.64
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $309.80 33 $10,223.40 $10,331.14 +$89.76
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
31 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:05pm ET $312.27 33 $10,304.91
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 1:30pm ET $311.58 33 $10,282.17 $10,308.40 $-22.74
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
32 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 3:30pm ET $335.63 30 $10,068.90
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $331.33 30 $9,940.05 $10,179.55 $-128.85
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
33 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $331.36 30 $9,940.65
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:45pm ET $329.34 30 $9,880.20 $10,119.10 $-60.45
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
34 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $324.17 31 $10,049.27
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:55am ET $322.95 31 $10,011.30 $10,081.12 $-37.98
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,081.12
Net Profit/Loss: +$81.12
Total Return: +0.81%
Back to Professor Mean