VOO Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 32 trades in period
+2.51%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,174.32
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$10,900.62
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
35.8 neutral
20d Trend
-2.8%
5d Trend
-2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
50%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
35
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
6.9/35
Total Return
9.0/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
7.9/10
Raw Quality
35.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 34.6
30-Day Momentum
41
+1.1%
30d Return
73%
Win Rate
11
Trades
3.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 45.2
Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,903
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,900.62
Current Value
$11,174.32
Period P&L
$273.74
Max Drawdown
-5.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.35
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
20 /
12
Best Trade
+0.56%
Worst Trade
-0.34%
Avg Trade Return
+0.08%
Avg Hold Time
2.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$687,623.88
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$273.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$273.74
Gross Return
+2.51%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.51%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VOO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,900.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:25pm ET | $638.50 | 17 | $10,854.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 1:40pm ET | $639.21 | 17 | $10,866.57 | $10,912.65 |
+$12.07 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:35pm ET | $637.26 | 17 | $10,833.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $640.17 | 17 | $10,882.89 | $10,962.12 |
+$49.47 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $622.83 | 17 | $10,588.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:00am ET | $624.09 | 17 | $10,609.53 | $10,983.54 |
+$21.42 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 1:45pm ET | $631.88 | 17 | $10,741.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:40pm ET | $630.40 | 17 | $10,716.80 | $10,958.38 |
$-25.16 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET | $630.70 | 17 | $10,721.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 1:00pm ET | $632.44 | 17 | $10,751.48 | $10,987.96 |
+$29.58 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $636.69 | 17 | $10,823.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $635.96 | 17 | $10,811.24 | $10,975.47 |
$-12.49 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $628.68 | 17 | $10,687.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 10:45am ET | $630.72 | 17 | $10,722.24 | $11,010.06 |
+$34.59 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 2:00pm ET | $630.29 | 17 | $10,714.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 2:10pm ET | $631.39 | 17 | $10,733.66 | $11,028.79 |
+$18.73 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 3:10pm ET | $631.08 | 17 | $10,728.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:45pm ET | $631.48 | 17 | $10,735.24 | $11,035.59 |
+$6.80 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $619.70 | 17 | $10,534.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 10:35am ET | $620.90 | 17 | $10,555.30 | $11,055.99 |
+$20.40 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $624.52 | 17 | $10,616.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $623.84 | 17 | $10,605.36 | $11,044.54 |
$-11.45 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.4h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $617.59 | 17 | $10,499.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 11:40am ET | $615.50 | 17 | $10,463.50 | $11,009.01 |
$-35.53 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET | $609.12 | 18 | $10,964.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 2:35pm ET | $610.61 | 18 | $10,990.98 | $11,035.83 |
+$26.82 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $615.04 | 17 | $10,455.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 11:10am ET | $614.10 | 17 | $10,439.78 | $11,019.86 |
$-15.97 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET | $598.64 | 18 | $10,775.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $597.86 | 18 | $10,761.57 | $11,005.91 |
$-13.95 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $600.29 | 18 | $10,805.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:45am ET | $602.62 | 18 | $10,847.16 | $11,047.85 |
+$41.94 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:00pm ET | $605.07 | 18 | $10,891.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $605.71 | 18 | $10,902.78 | $11,059.46 |
+$11.61 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $590.37 | 18 | $10,626.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 11:05am ET | $588.90 | 18 | $10,600.20 | $11,033.00 |
$-26.46 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:35pm ET | $581.68 | 18 | $10,470.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:50pm ET | $580.44 | 18 | $10,447.92 | $11,010.68 |
$-22.32 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $603.65 | 18 | $10,865.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:20pm ET | $602.71 | 18 | $10,848.77 | $10,993.75 |
$-16.93 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $603.00 | 18 | $10,854.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:15pm ET | $604.35 | 18 | $10,878.30 | $11,018.05 |
+$24.30 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $602.36 | 18 | $10,842.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $604.92 | 18 | $10,888.56 | $11,064.04 |
+$45.99 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $625.34 | 17 | $10,630.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 1:45pm ET | $624.41 | 17 | $10,614.95 | $11,048.29 |
$-15.75 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET | $636.41 | 17 | $10,818.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:10pm ET | $637.47 | 17 | $10,837.07 | $11,066.40 |
+$18.11 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $642.26 | 17 | $10,918.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $643.38 | 17 | $10,937.46 | $11,085.53 |
+$19.13 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $651.67 | 17 | $11,078.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $652.28 | 17 | $11,088.81 | $11,095.95 |
+$10.42 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET | $650.26 | 17 | $11,054.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 12:35pm ET | $650.04 | 17 | $11,050.76 | $11,092.29 |
$-3.66 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $651.77 | 17 | $11,080.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 2:10pm ET | $650.97 | 17 | $11,066.49 | $11,078.65 |
$-13.64 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $655.18 | 16 | $10,482.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $656.35 | 16 | $10,501.60 | $11,097.37 |
+$18.72 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $653.37 | 16 | $10,453.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 10:20am ET | $653.76 | 16 | $10,460.15 | $11,103.60 |
+$6.23 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET | $663.22 | 16 | $10,611.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:15pm ET | $663.89 | 16 | $10,622.24 | $11,114.32 |
+$10.72 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 3:50pm ET | $665.59 | 16 | $10,649.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $669.34 | 16 | $10,709.44 | $11,174.32 |
+$60.00 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,174.32
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,174.32
Total Return:
+11.74%