Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,284
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
75 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,739.07
Current Value
$10,962.12
Period P&L
$223.09
Max Drawdown
-5.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
26 / 13
Best Trade
+0.93%
Worst Trade
-1.30%
Avg Trade Return
+0.06%
Avg Hold Time
7.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$834,546.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$223.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$223.09
Gross Return
+2.08%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VOO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 75 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 39 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,739.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $610.14 17 $10,372.38
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 10:25am ET $615.83 17 $10,469.11 $10,835.80 +$96.73
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 11:05am ET $615.29 17 $10,459.93
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 11:30am ET $616.76 17 $10,484.84 $10,860.71 +$24.91
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 2:30pm ET $609.26 17 $10,357.42
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 2:35pm ET $611.05 17 $10,387.85 $10,891.14 +$30.43
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 2:35pm ET $606.31 17 $10,307.27
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 2:50pm ET $608.12 17 $10,337.96 $10,921.82 +$30.69
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 3:35pm ET $601.25 18 $10,822.41
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET $602.64 18 $10,847.43 $10,946.84 +$25.02
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 2:25pm ET $615.01 17 $10,455.17
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 3:00pm ET $615.30 17 $10,460.10 $10,951.77 +$4.93
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 1:05pm ET $625.48 17 $10,633.16
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 1:20pm ET $626.21 17 $10,645.57 $10,964.18 +$12.41
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 2:15pm ET $626.65 17 $10,653.05
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 2:20pm ET $626.11 17 $10,643.79 $10,954.92 $-9.26
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET $625.75 17 $10,637.75
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 10:00am ET $627.27 17 $10,663.59 $10,980.76 +$25.84
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 2:10pm ET $628.59 17 $10,686.09
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 2:15pm ET $627.61 17 $10,669.37 $10,964.03 $-16.72
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 3:45pm ET $629.90 17 $10,708.30
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $630.90 17 $10,725.30 $10,981.03 +$17.00
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 12:30pm ET $629.24 17 $10,697.08
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 1:50pm ET $629.14 17 $10,695.40 $10,979.35 $-1.68
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:45am ET $628.63 17 $10,686.73
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 10:20am ET $631.23 17 $10,730.90 $11,023.52 +$44.17
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 10:20am ET $629.68 17 $10,704.56
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 12:10pm ET $627.02 17 $10,659.34 $10,978.30 $-45.22
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 1:20pm ET $625.13 17 $10,627.21
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 1:45pm ET $625.66 17 $10,636.22 $10,987.31 +$9.01
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:35am ET $622.44 17 $10,581.48
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 12:20pm ET $620.64 17 $10,550.88 $10,956.71 $-30.60
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 12:20pm ET $620.91 17 $10,555.47
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 12:55pm ET $623.73 17 $10,603.41 $11,004.65 +$47.94
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:40pm ET $627.07 17 $10,660.19
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $627.63 17 $10,669.71 $11,014.17 +$9.52
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $632.75 17 $10,756.67
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 12:50pm ET $631.72 17 $10,739.24 $10,996.75 $-17.42
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 3:05pm ET $632.14 17 $10,746.30
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 3:30pm ET $632.40 17 $10,750.80 $11,001.25 +$4.50
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 3:55pm ET $627.08 17 $10,660.36
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $629.77 17 $10,706.06 $11,046.95 +$45.70
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7d held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:15pm ET $632.74 17 $10,756.55
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 1:40pm ET $633.27 17 $10,765.59 $11,055.99 +$9.04
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:15am ET $635.73 17 $10,807.41
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:30am ET $636.53 17 $10,821.01 $11,069.59 +$13.60
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $633.56 17 $10,770.52
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $633.87 17 $10,775.79 $11,074.86 +$5.27
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $638.74 17 $10,858.62
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $638.25 17 $10,850.25 $11,066.49 $-8.37
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET $638.99 17 $10,862.83
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:10am ET $638.11 17 $10,847.87 $11,051.53 $-14.96
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $638.23 17 $10,849.83
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $639.08 17 $10,864.36 $11,066.06 +$14.54
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $636.03 17 $10,812.51
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $627.78 17 $10,672.26 $10,925.81 $-140.25
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET $626.49 17 $10,650.33
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:10pm ET $625.58 17 $10,634.86 $10,910.34 $-15.47
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:55pm ET $634.59 17 $10,788.09
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:05pm ET $635.19 17 $10,798.23 $10,920.49 +$10.14
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $637.39 17 $10,835.66
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $637.06 17 $10,830.02 $10,914.84 $-5.64
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $639.74 17 $10,875.58
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $641.36 17 $10,903.04 $10,942.30 +$27.46
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET $637.50 17 $10,837.50
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 11:30am ET $632.90 17 $10,759.30 $10,864.10 $-78.20
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
34 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 12:00pm ET $634.32 17 $10,783.50
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 12:25pm ET $635.58 17 $10,804.86 $10,885.45 +$21.36
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $639.62 17 $10,873.54
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $640.20 17 $10,883.40 $10,895.31 +$9.86
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET $631.89 17 $10,742.13
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $629.83 17 $10,707.11 $10,860.29 $-35.02
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:50pm ET $623.54 17 $10,600.18
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:10pm ET $625.91 17 $10,640.47 $10,900.58 +$40.29
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:25pm ET $638.50 17 $10,854.50
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 1:40pm ET $639.21 17 $10,866.57 $10,912.65 +$12.07
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:35pm ET $637.26 17 $10,833.42
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $640.17 17 $10,882.89 $10,962.12 +$49.47
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,962.12
Net Profit/Loss: +$962.12
Total Return: +9.62%
Back to Professor Mean