VTI Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 39 trades in period
+0.56%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,954.87
Current Value
62%
Win Rate
$9,899.72
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,308
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
75 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,899.72
Current Value
$9,954.87
Period P&L
$55.24
Max Drawdown
-8.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
24 /
15
Best Trade
+0.93%
Worst Trade
-1.67%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
10.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$763,894.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$55.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$55.24
Gross Return
+0.56%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.56%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VTI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 75 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,899.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $325.88 | 30 | $9,776.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 10:25am ET | $328.92 | 30 | $9,867.56 | $9,990.83 |
+$91.16 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 11:05am ET | $328.49 | 30 | $9,854.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 11:30am ET | $329.26 | 30 | $9,877.73 | $10,014.01 |
+$23.18 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 3:30pm ET | $324.94 | 30 | $9,748.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 9:40am ET | $325.40 | 30 | $9,762.00 | $10,027.81 |
+$13.80 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:05am ET | $329.35 | 30 | $9,880.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 1:05pm ET | $323.87 | 30 | $9,715.98 | $9,863.29 |
$-164.52 (-1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 3:25pm ET | $323.99 | 30 | $9,719.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $326.52 | 30 | $9,795.60 | $9,939.19 |
+$75.90 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET | $327.00 | 30 | $9,810.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 9:55am ET | $329.09 | 30 | $9,872.55 | $10,001.74 |
+$62.55 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 1:05pm ET | $334.73 | 29 | $9,707.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 1:20pm ET | $335.11 | 29 | $9,718.19 | $10,012.76 |
+$11.02 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 2:15pm ET | $335.32 | 29 | $9,724.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 2:20pm ET | $335.03 | 29 | $9,715.87 | $10,004.35 |
$-8.41 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $334.77 | 29 | $9,708.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $335.59 | 29 | $9,732.08 | $10,028.10 |
+$23.75 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 2:10pm ET | $336.72 | 29 | $9,764.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 2:15pm ET | $336.18 | 29 | $9,749.22 | $10,012.44 |
$-15.66 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 3:45pm ET | $337.26 | 29 | $9,780.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $337.81 | 29 | $9,796.49 | $10,028.54 |
+$16.10 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 12:30pm ET | $336.98 | 29 | $9,772.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 1:50pm ET | $336.92 | 29 | $9,770.71 | $10,026.82 |
$-1.71 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:50am ET | $336.63 | 29 | $9,762.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 10:20am ET | $338.54 | 29 | $9,817.79 | $10,082.34 |
+$55.52 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:20am ET | $337.75 | 29 | $9,794.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 12:10pm ET | $336.22 | 29 | $9,750.38 | $10,037.97 |
$-44.37 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $334.77 | 29 | $9,708.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 9:55am ET | $335.37 | 29 | $9,725.85 | $10,055.48 |
+$17.51 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:35am ET | $333.65 | 30 | $10,009.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:40am ET | $333.20 | 30 | $9,996.00 | $10,041.98 |
$-13.50 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 12:00pm ET | $334.39 | 30 | $10,031.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 12:05pm ET | $333.40 | 30 | $10,002.00 | $10,012.28 |
$-29.70 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 3:40pm ET | $335.93 | 29 | $9,741.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 3:50pm ET | $336.24 | 29 | $9,750.96 | $10,021.27 |
+$8.99 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 10:00am ET | $337.16 | 29 | $9,777.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 10:20am ET | $337.66 | 29 | $9,792.14 | $10,035.77 |
+$14.50 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 10:00am ET | $339.61 | 29 | $9,848.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 10:30am ET | $339.95 | 29 | $9,858.55 | $10,045.63 |
+$9.86 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 12:20pm ET | $337.83 | 29 | $9,797.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 12:50pm ET | $338.01 | 29 | $9,802.29 | $10,050.85 |
+$5.22 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 2:50pm ET | $338.22 | 29 | $9,808.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 3:35pm ET | $338.27 | 29 | $9,809.83 | $10,052.30 |
+$1.45 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 1:45pm ET | $334.78 | 30 | $10,043.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 2:05pm ET | $335.54 | 30 | $10,066.14 | $10,075.19 |
+$22.89 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 2:40pm ET | $338.96 | 29 | $9,829.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 3:10pm ET | $339.17 | 29 | $9,835.93 | $10,081.28 |
+$6.09 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $340.99 | 29 | $9,888.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:45am ET | $341.25 | 29 | $9,896.25 | $10,088.82 |
+$7.54 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $342.37 | 29 | $9,928.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $341.22 | 29 | $9,895.38 | $10,055.61 |
$-33.20 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $342.67 | 29 | $9,937.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:15am ET | $342.41 | 29 | $9,929.89 | $10,048.22 |
$-7.39 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 12:55pm ET | $342.96 | 29 | $9,945.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 1:25pm ET | $343.45 | 29 | $9,959.91 | $10,062.28 |
+$14.07 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $341.85 | 29 | $9,913.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $337.46 | 29 | $9,786.34 | $9,934.96 |
$-127.32 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET | $337.01 | 29 | $9,773.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 1:10pm ET | $336.44 | 29 | $9,756.76 | $9,918.43 |
$-16.53 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:35pm ET | $341.42 | 29 | $9,901.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:55am ET | $340.66 | 29 | $9,879.00 | $9,896.11 |
$-22.32 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 3:50pm ET | $342.15 | 28 | $9,580.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $341.98 | 28 | $9,575.30 | $9,891.21 |
$-4.90 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $343.30 | 28 | $9,612.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $344.14 | 28 | $9,635.92 | $9,914.73 |
+$23.52 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $342.00 | 28 | $9,576.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $341.12 | 28 | $9,551.36 | $9,890.09 |
$-24.64 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:25am ET | $340.50 | 29 | $9,874.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $341.61 | 29 | $9,906.55 | $9,922.14 |
+$32.05 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET | $342.52 | 28 | $9,590.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $342.97 | 28 | $9,603.16 | $9,934.73 |
+$12.60 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $338.66 | 29 | $9,821.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 1:25pm ET | $337.41 | 29 | $9,784.89 | $9,898.48 |
$-36.25 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:25pm ET | $342.69 | 28 | $9,595.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 1:40pm ET | $343.08 | 28 | $9,606.38 | $9,909.51 |
+$11.03 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:35pm ET | $342.16 | 28 | $9,580.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $343.78 | 28 | $9,625.84 | $9,954.87 |
+$45.36 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,954.87
Net Profit/Loss:
$-45.13
Total Return:
-0.45%