VXX Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 36 trades in period
-3.16%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,362.60
Current Value
61%
Win Rate
$11,733.36
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,397
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
75 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,733.36
Current Value
$11,362.60
Period P&L
$-370.71
Max Drawdown
-19.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
22 /
14
Best Trade
+1.97%
Worst Trade
-3.33%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
5.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$820,775.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-370.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$-370.71
Gross Return
-3.16%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.16%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 75 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,733.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 11:20am ET | $37.67 | 311 | $11,715.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 12:25pm ET | $37.79 | 311 | $11,752.69 | $11,770.61 |
+$37.32 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 12:55pm ET | $37.18 | 316 | $11,748.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 2:20pm ET | $37.09 | 316 | $11,718.86 | $11,740.59 |
$-30.02 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 11:45am ET | $38.56 | 304 | $11,722.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 1:05pm ET | $38.16 | 304 | $11,600.64 | $11,618.99 |
$-121.60 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 1:50pm ET | $34.71 | 334 | $11,591.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 2:20pm ET | $34.84 | 334 | $11,636.56 | $11,664.08 |
+$45.09 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 3:30pm ET | $33.82 | 344 | $11,634.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $33.20 | 344 | $11,420.80 | $11,450.83 |
$-213.25 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 9:40am ET | $32.50 | 352 | $11,440.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 9:45am ET | $32.39 | 352 | $11,401.28 | $11,412.11 |
$-38.72 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $31.76 | 359 | $11,401.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 10:30am ET | $31.93 | 359 | $11,462.87 | $11,473.90 |
+$61.78 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 2:20pm ET | $31.37 | 365 | $11,451.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 2:40pm ET | $31.49 | 365 | $11,492.03 | $11,514.45 |
+$40.55 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $30.85 | 373 | $11,507.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 11:05am ET | $30.86 | 373 | $11,510.78 | $11,518.18 |
+$3.73 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 3:50pm ET | $31.11 | 370 | $11,510.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 11:40am ET | $30.94 | 370 | $11,447.80 | $11,455.28 |
$-62.90 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 12:55pm ET | $30.91 | 370 | $11,436.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 1:35pm ET | $30.97 | 370 | $11,458.90 | $11,477.48 |
+$22.20 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 3:50pm ET | $29.53 | 388 | $11,457.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $29.24 | 388 | $11,345.12 | $11,364.96 |
$-112.52 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $29.35 | 387 | $11,356.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 10:00am ET | $29.68 | 387 | $11,486.16 | $11,494.60 |
+$129.65 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 9:55am ET | $29.10 | 395 | $11,494.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:35am ET | $29.48 | 395 | $11,644.60 | $11,644.70 |
+$150.10 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 3:20pm ET | $29.02 | 401 | $11,637.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 11:35am ET | $28.19 | 401 | $11,302.19 | $11,309.87 |
$-334.84 (-2.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 12:55pm ET | $27.04 | 418 | $11,302.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 1:15pm ET | $27.11 | 418 | $11,331.98 | $11,339.13 |
+$29.26 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 1:20pm ET | $26.99 | 420 | $11,335.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 2:40pm ET | $27.01 | 420 | $11,342.10 | $11,345.43 |
+$6.30 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 12:25pm ET | $26.96 | 420 | $11,321.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 1:20pm ET | $27.05 | 420 | $11,361.00 | $11,385.33 |
+$39.90 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 1:20pm ET | $26.71 | 426 | $11,379.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 3:40pm ET | $26.56 | 426 | $11,314.56 | $11,320.11 |
$-65.22 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 11:20am ET | $26.33 | 429 | $11,295.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 12:45pm ET | $26.32 | 429 | $11,291.28 | $11,316.12 |
$-3.99 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 2:20pm ET | $26.05 | 434 | $11,305.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 2:55pm ET | $26.21 | 434 | $11,375.18 | $11,385.60 |
+$69.48 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $26.06 | 436 | $11,362.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:35am ET | $26.18 | 436 | $11,414.48 | $11,437.92 |
+$52.32 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 10:05am ET | $26.24 | 435 | $11,414.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 11:50am ET | $26.13 | 435 | $11,366.55 | $11,390.07 |
$-47.85 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 11:50am ET | $25.64 | 444 | $11,384.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 12:25pm ET | $25.78 | 444 | $11,446.32 | $11,452.23 |
+$62.16 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 11:50am ET | $25.91 | 442 | $11,450.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 12:35pm ET | $26.07 | 442 | $11,520.73 | $11,522.95 |
+$70.72 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:05pm ET | $27.15 | 424 | $11,511.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.25 | 424 | $11,127.88 | $11,139.23 |
$-383.72 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 1:05pm ET | $26.13 | 426 | $11,129.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 1:55pm ET | $26.18 | 426 | $11,152.68 | $11,162.66 |
+$23.43 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.29 | 394 | $11,146.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $28.19 | 394 | $11,105.01 | $11,121.41 |
$-41.25 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $26.32 | 422 | $11,105.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 11:55am ET | $26.31 | 422 | $11,102.82 | $11,118.63 |
$-2.79 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $26.30 | 422 | $11,098.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $26.47 | 422 | $11,170.34 | $11,190.32 |
+$71.70 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 2:00pm ET | $26.80 | 417 | $11,173.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 3:25pm ET | $26.80 | 417 | $11,175.60 | $11,192.41 |
+$2.08 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $27.01 | 414 | $11,180.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $27.26 | 414 | $11,285.64 | $11,297.98 |
+$105.57 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $27.23 | 414 | $11,273.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $27.47 | 414 | $11,372.58 | $11,397.34 |
+$99.36 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:05pm ET | $28.40 | 401 | $11,388.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET | $28.96 | 401 | $11,612.96 | $11,621.90 |
+$224.56 (+2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:30pm ET | $27.50 | 422 | $11,605.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 11:40am ET | $26.77 | 422 | $11,296.94 | $11,313.84 |
$-308.06 (-2.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 12:15pm ET | $26.67 | 424 | $11,305.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:05pm ET | $26.78 | 424 | $11,354.72 | $11,362.60 |
+$48.76 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,362.60
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,362.60
Total Return:
+13.63%