VZ Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 35 trades in period
+5.00%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,227.08
Current Value
66%
Win Rate
$9,740.36
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
86 overbought
20d Trend
+20.8%
5d Trend
+7.0%
EMA20 Dist
+10.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
12.1×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
19
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.6/35
Total Return
4.3/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality
19.6/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 19.3
30-Day Momentum
17
+0.1%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.5
Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,874
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,740.36
Current Value
$10,227.08
Period P&L
$486.75
Max Drawdown
-12.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
23 /
12
Best Trade
+1.25%
Worst Trade
-0.79%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
7.6h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$700,719.51
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$486.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$486.75
Gross Return
+5.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.00%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VZ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,740.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $46.01 | 211 | $9,708.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $45.90 | 211 | $9,685.95 | $9,718.15 |
$-22.18 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:35pm ET | $47.53 | 204 | $9,697.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $47.42 | 204 | $9,674.70 | $9,695.71 |
$-22.44 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $48.87 | 198 | $9,677.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $49.06 | 198 | $9,712.89 | $9,731.45 |
+$35.74 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $48.67 | 199 | $9,685.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 11:55am ET | $48.38 | 199 | $9,627.62 | $9,673.74 |
$-57.71 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 2:40pm ET | $48.74 | 198 | $9,649.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.01 | 198 | $9,703.90 | $9,728.09 |
+$54.35 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 2:05pm ET | $49.88 | 195 | $9,725.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.78 | 195 | $9,708.07 | $9,710.54 |
$-17.55 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $49.38 | 196 | $9,679.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 10:30am ET | $49.70 | 196 | $9,741.20 | $9,772.28 |
+$61.74 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 11:30am ET | $48.96 | 199 | $9,743.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 12:00pm ET | $49.10 | 199 | $9,769.91 | $9,799.15 |
+$26.87 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.67 | 197 | $9,785.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $50.28 | 197 | $9,905.16 | $9,918.33 |
+$119.18 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $50.31 | 197 | $9,912.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 10:20am ET | $50.76 | 197 | $9,999.72 | $10,005.99 |
+$87.66 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.01 | 196 | $9,998.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $50.84 | 196 | $9,964.64 | $9,971.69 |
$-34.30 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $50.75 | 196 | $9,947.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $50.78 | 196 | $9,953.86 | $9,978.55 |
+$6.86 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 3:25pm ET | $50.63 | 197 | $9,973.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:45pm ET | $50.76 | 197 | $9,999.92 | $10,004.59 |
+$26.04 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $49.97 | 200 | $9,994.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:05am ET | $50.40 | 200 | $10,081.00 | $10,091.59 |
+$87.00 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 3:25pm ET | $51.24 | 196 | $10,042.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $51.34 | 196 | $10,062.64 | $10,112.17 |
+$20.58 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $50.43 | 200 | $10,086.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 10:10am ET | $50.96 | 200 | $10,192.00 | $10,218.15 |
+$105.98 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 1:15pm ET | $49.53 | 206 | $10,203.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 2:25pm ET | $49.56 | 206 | $10,208.33 | $10,223.30 |
+$5.15 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 3:25pm ET | $50.13 | 203 | $10,176.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $50.24 | 203 | $10,199.73 | $10,246.64 |
+$23.34 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 3:25pm ET | $51.03 | 200 | $10,205.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.62 | 200 | $10,123.98 | $10,165.62 |
$-81.02 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 1:35pm ET | $50.88 | 199 | $10,125.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.02 | 199 | $10,152.98 | $10,193.48 |
+$27.86 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.9h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:05pm ET | $50.15 | 203 | $10,181.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:40pm ET | $50.30 | 203 | $10,210.90 | $10,222.92 |
+$29.44 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 10:15am ET | $49.53 | 206 | $10,202.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 11:55am ET | $49.37 | 206 | $10,169.19 | $10,189.96 |
$-32.96 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 12:00pm ET | $49.40 | 206 | $10,175.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 12:50pm ET | $49.51 | 206 | $10,199.06 | $10,213.65 |
+$23.69 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.01 | 208 | $10,194.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $48.74 | 208 | $10,138.96 | $10,158.53 |
$-55.12 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.04 | 215 | $10,113.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $46.76 | 215 | $10,054.47 | $10,099.40 |
$-59.13 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $45.75 | 220 | $10,065.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 10:50am ET | $45.85 | 220 | $10,088.10 | $10,122.50 |
+$23.10 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 12:20pm ET | $44.97 | 225 | $10,117.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 12:35pm ET | $45.09 | 225 | $10,145.25 | $10,150.63 |
+$28.13 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $46.38 | 218 | $10,111.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 10:40am ET | $46.52 | 218 | $10,141.36 | $10,180.06 |
+$29.43 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 2:05pm ET | $46.58 | 218 | $10,153.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:50pm ET | $46.53 | 218 | $10,142.45 | $10,169.16 |
$-10.90 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $45.92 | 221 | $10,148.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 11:05am ET | $45.58 | 221 | $10,072.08 | $10,092.92 |
$-76.24 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $47.22 | 213 | $10,056.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $47.28 | 213 | $10,071.70 | $10,107.83 |
+$14.91 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 2:50pm ET | $47.28 | 213 | $10,069.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.87 | 213 | $10,195.25 | $10,233.50 |
+$125.67 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 1:55pm ET | $46.76 | 218 | $10,192.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 3:50pm ET | $46.50 | 218 | $10,137.00 | $10,177.91 |
$-55.59 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:10pm ET | $47.90 | 212 | $10,155.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 12:55pm ET | $47.99 | 212 | $10,173.88 | $10,195.93 |
+$18.02 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 10:35am ET | $47.28 | 215 | $10,164.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 12:00pm ET | $47.42 | 215 | $10,195.28 | $10,227.08 |
+$31.15 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,227.08
Net Profit/Loss:
+$227.08
Total Return:
+2.27%