WMT Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 35 trades in period
+0.92%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,607.69
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$11,502.05
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,964
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
75 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,502.05
Current Value
$11,607.69
Period P&L
$105.69
Max Drawdown
-4.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
21 /
14
Best Trade
+2.21%
Worst Trade
-1.05%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
6.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$794,704.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$105.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$105.69
Gross Return
+0.92%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.92%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 75 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,502.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 2:10pm ET | $102.60 | 112 | $11,491.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 2:25pm ET | $102.79 | 112 | $11,512.49 | $11,523.29 |
+$21.29 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 3:05pm ET | $102.21 | 112 | $11,446.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 3:15pm ET | $101.91 | 112 | $11,413.36 | $11,489.69 |
$-33.60 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 10:05am ET | $106.99 | 107 | $11,447.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 12:20pm ET | $105.87 | 107 | $11,327.56 | $11,369.32 |
$-120.38 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 12:30pm ET | $104.80 | 108 | $11,317.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 12:35pm ET | $105.05 | 108 | $11,345.40 | $11,396.86 |
+$27.54 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $109.11 | 104 | $11,347.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $109.60 | 104 | $11,398.40 | $11,447.82 |
+$50.96 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $111.22 | 102 | $11,344.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 10:55am ET | $111.36 | 102 | $11,358.21 | $11,461.59 |
+$13.77 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $114.14 | 100 | $11,414.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 9:35am ET | $113.72 | 100 | $11,372.00 | $11,419.59 |
$-42.00 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 2:15pm ET | $115.13 | 99 | $11,397.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $114.56 | 99 | $11,340.95 | $11,362.66 |
$-56.92 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 11:15am ET | $114.95 | 98 | $11,265.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 1:30pm ET | $114.22 | 98 | $11,193.07 | $11,290.16 |
$-72.50 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $116.38 | 97 | $11,288.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 9:35am ET | $116.16 | 97 | $11,267.52 | $11,269.30 |
$-20.86 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 9:50am ET | $115.22 | 97 | $11,176.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:05am ET | $115.59 | 97 | $11,212.23 | $11,305.19 |
+$35.89 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 12:10pm ET | $115.51 | 97 | $11,203.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 1:30pm ET | $115.58 | 97 | $11,210.78 | $11,311.98 |
+$6.79 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 9:45am ET | $113.62 | 99 | $11,248.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 11:15am ET | $113.01 | 99 | $11,187.99 | $11,251.59 |
$-60.39 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 2:30pm ET | $111.64 | 100 | $11,164.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 9:55am ET | $111.08 | 100 | $11,108.00 | $11,195.59 |
$-56.00 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 1:25pm ET | $111.57 | 100 | $11,156.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 1:35pm ET | $111.71 | 100 | $11,171.00 | $11,210.09 |
+$14.50 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 9:45am ET | $112.22 | 99 | $11,109.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 11:25am ET | $112.23 | 99 | $11,110.28 | $11,211.08 |
+$0.99 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 12:50pm ET | $111.37 | 100 | $11,136.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 1:05pm ET | $111.48 | 100 | $11,147.55 | $11,222.13 |
+$11.05 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 3:40pm ET | $112.32 | 99 | $11,119.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 3:50pm ET | $112.59 | 99 | $11,145.92 | $11,248.86 |
+$26.73 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 3:50pm ET | $112.63 | 99 | $11,149.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $113.21 | 99 | $11,207.79 | $11,306.77 |
+$57.91 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $113.70 | 99 | $11,255.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $112.80 | 99 | $11,166.71 | $11,217.67 |
$-89.10 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 2:45pm ET | $112.90 | 99 | $11,176.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:30pm ET | $113.22 | 99 | $11,208.76 | $11,249.77 |
+$32.10 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $114.53 | 98 | $11,223.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $117.06 | 98 | $11,471.88 | $11,497.71 |
+$247.94 (+2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 2:55pm ET | $119.81 | 95 | $11,381.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 3:40pm ET | $120.12 | 95 | $11,410.93 | $11,526.68 |
+$28.97 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 11:55am ET | $120.04 | 96 | $11,523.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 12:00pm ET | $119.79 | 96 | $11,499.84 | $11,502.68 |
$-24.00 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 12:25pm ET | $118.25 | 97 | $11,470.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 12:55pm ET | $118.48 | 97 | $11,492.80 | $11,525.24 |
+$22.55 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 2:20pm ET | $118.11 | 97 | $11,456.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 3:15pm ET | $118.29 | 97 | $11,474.13 | $11,542.70 |
+$17.46 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $118.76 | 97 | $11,519.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 11:10am ET | $118.59 | 97 | $11,502.75 | $11,525.72 |
$-16.98 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $117.86 | 97 | $11,432.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 2:50pm ET | $118.00 | 97 | $11,445.52 | $11,538.82 |
+$13.10 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 3:50pm ET | $117.74 | 98 | $11,538.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $117.65 | 98 | $11,529.70 | $11,530.00 |
$-8.82 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $116.61 | 98 | $11,427.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $116.23 | 98 | $11,390.54 | $11,492.76 |
$-37.24 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:50pm ET | $116.87 | 98 | $11,453.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 1:35pm ET | $117.25 | 98 | $11,490.50 | $11,530.00 |
+$37.24 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 1:30pm ET | $128.07 | 90 | $11,526.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 2:20pm ET | $128.59 | 90 | $11,572.95 | $11,576.64 |
+$46.65 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $130.06 | 89 | $11,575.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:25am ET | $130.96 | 89 | $11,655.44 | $11,656.74 |
+$80.10 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 10:25am ET | $128.01 | 91 | $11,649.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:40pm ET | $127.21 | 91 | $11,576.11 | $11,583.66 |
$-73.08 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 3:00pm ET | $128.79 | 89 | $11,461.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:30pm ET | $129.05 | 89 | $11,485.89 | $11,607.69 |
+$24.03 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,607.69
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,607.69
Total Return:
+16.08%