XLE Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 39 trades in period
+5.91%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,815.85
Current Value
64%
Win Rate
$9,267.82
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,528
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
74 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,267.82
Current Value
$9,815.85
Period P&L
$548.03
Max Drawdown
-13.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
25 /
14
Best Trade
+3.31%
Worst Trade
-1.88%
Avg Trade Return
+0.15%
Avg Hold Time
5.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$739,091.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$548.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$548.03
Gross Return
+5.91%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.91%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XLE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 74 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,267.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 1:45pm ET | $45.88 | 202 | $9,266.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 1:50pm ET | $45.97 | 202 | $9,284.93 | $9,285.99 |
+$18.18 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 2:55pm ET | $45.04 | 206 | $9,278.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 3:50pm ET | $45.22 | 206 | $9,314.29 | $9,322.04 |
+$36.05 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $44.55 | 209 | $9,310.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 10:55am ET | $44.76 | 209 | $9,353.80 | $9,364.89 |
+$42.85 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:30am ET | $45.25 | 206 | $9,320.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 1:10pm ET | $45.00 | 206 | $9,270.00 | $9,314.42 |
$-50.47 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 3:20pm ET | $44.71 | 208 | $9,299.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 3:25pm ET | $44.64 | 208 | $9,285.12 | $9,299.86 |
$-14.56 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:40am ET | $44.28 | 210 | $9,297.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 10:40am ET | $44.33 | 210 | $9,309.30 | $9,311.41 |
+$11.55 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 1:05pm ET | $44.76 | 208 | $9,310.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 1:25pm ET | $44.88 | 208 | $9,334.00 | $9,335.33 |
+$23.92 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 12:30pm ET | $45.66 | 204 | $9,313.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 1:00pm ET | $45.73 | 204 | $9,327.90 | $9,349.61 |
+$14.28 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 2:20pm ET | $45.00 | 207 | $9,314.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 3:10pm ET | $45.07 | 207 | $9,328.46 | $9,363.58 |
+$13.97 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 10:40am ET | $45.81 | 204 | $9,345.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 11:05am ET | $46.00 | 204 | $9,382.98 | $9,401.32 |
+$37.74 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 11:40am ET | $46.32 | 202 | $9,356.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 1:00pm ET | $46.40 | 202 | $9,372.80 | $9,417.48 |
+$16.16 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 1:10pm ET | $45.43 | 207 | $9,402.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 2:30pm ET | $45.40 | 207 | $9,396.77 | $9,411.27 |
$-6.21 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 3:50pm ET | $45.68 | 206 | $9,409.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $45.82 | 206 | $9,437.89 | $9,440.11 |
+$28.84 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $45.87 | 205 | $9,403.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 10:20am ET | $46.20 | 205 | $9,469.98 | $9,506.73 |
+$66.63 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:20am ET | $45.69 | 208 | $9,503.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 11:55am ET | $45.58 | 208 | $9,480.64 | $9,483.85 |
$-22.88 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $44.56 | 212 | $9,445.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 12:00pm ET | $44.09 | 212 | $9,346.02 | $9,384.11 |
$-99.75 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 11:15am ET | $44.30 | 211 | $9,347.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 1:20pm ET | $44.24 | 211 | $9,333.59 | $9,370.39 |
$-13.71 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 1:30pm ET | $44.21 | 211 | $9,328.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 2:55pm ET | $44.18 | 211 | $9,321.98 | $9,363.39 |
$-7.01 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 12:00pm ET | $44.30 | 211 | $9,347.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 12:20pm ET | $44.35 | 211 | $9,356.82 | $9,372.90 |
+$9.52 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 12:50pm ET | $44.38 | 211 | $9,363.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 1:15pm ET | $44.10 | 211 | $9,304.05 | $9,313.82 |
$-59.08 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 1:40pm ET | $44.58 | 208 | $9,272.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 2:10pm ET | $44.62 | 208 | $9,281.88 | $9,323.06 |
+$9.24 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $44.87 | 207 | $9,287.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 11:55am ET | $44.64 | 207 | $9,240.48 | $9,276.48 |
$-46.58 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 3:45pm ET | $45.58 | 203 | $9,251.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.09 | 203 | $9,558.26 | $9,583.01 |
+$306.53 (+3.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $46.65 | 205 | $9,563.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 2:25pm ET | $45.78 | 205 | $9,383.88 | $9,403.64 |
$-179.38 (-1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 3:30pm ET | $45.15 | 208 | $9,390.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $45.64 | 208 | $9,493.12 | $9,506.60 |
+$102.96 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 12:50pm ET | $46.58 | 204 | $9,502.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 1:45pm ET | $46.68 | 204 | $9,521.70 | $9,525.98 |
+$19.38 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 2:20pm ET | $46.18 | 206 | $9,512.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 3:25pm ET | $46.22 | 206 | $9,520.29 | $9,534.22 |
+$8.24 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 3:45pm ET | $46.92 | 203 | $9,523.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.48 | 203 | $9,638.24 | $9,648.71 |
+$114.49 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.44 | 203 | $9,630.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:40am ET | $47.78 | 203 | $9,699.34 | $9,717.73 |
+$69.02 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:40pm ET | $47.68 | 203 | $9,678.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 3:25pm ET | $47.59 | 203 | $9,659.84 | $9,699.54 |
$-18.19 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $48.50 | 199 | $9,651.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:35am ET | $48.64 | 199 | $9,678.37 | $9,726.41 |
+$26.86 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 12:50pm ET | $49.33 | 197 | $9,718.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 2:00pm ET | $49.35 | 197 | $9,720.97 | $9,729.36 |
+$2.96 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 12:55pm ET | $49.73 | 195 | $9,697.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:05pm ET | $49.92 | 195 | $9,734.40 | $9,766.41 |
+$37.05 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 2:55pm ET | $50.60 | 193 | $9,764.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 10:35am ET | $50.51 | 193 | $9,748.43 | $9,750.01 |
$-16.41 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.7h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 1:55pm ET | $50.09 | 194 | $9,717.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:25pm ET | $50.38 | 194 | $9,773.72 | $9,806.27 |
+$56.26 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.83 | 189 | $9,795.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:50am ET | $51.76 | 189 | $9,783.58 | $9,793.98 |
$-12.29 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:05pm ET | $53.21 | 184 | $9,789.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:50pm ET | $53.27 | 184 | $9,801.68 | $9,805.94 |
+$11.96 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.55 | 183 | $9,799.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 10:45am ET | $53.47 | 183 | $9,785.92 | $9,792.21 |
$-13.73 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 1:05pm ET | $54.83 | 178 | $9,760.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 1:25pm ET | $54.97 | 178 | $9,784.27 | $9,815.85 |
+$23.64 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,815.85
Net Profit/Loss:
$-184.15
Total Return:
-1.84%