XLF Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 36 trades in period
-3.49%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,717.43
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$11,104.95
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,448
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
75 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,104.95
Current Value
$10,717.43
Period P&L
$-387.47
Max Drawdown
-5.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.26
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
19 /
17
Best Trade
+0.37%
Worst Trade
-1.67%
Avg Trade Return
-0.10%
Avg Hold Time
7.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$787,612.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-387.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$-387.47
Gross Return
-3.49%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.49%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XLF Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 75 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,104.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $52.38 | 212 | $11,103.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 10:45am ET | $52.56 | 212 | $11,142.72 | $11,144.11 |
+$39.22 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 11:05am ET | $52.10 | 213 | $11,096.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 11:55am ET | $52.20 | 213 | $11,117.54 | $11,165.41 |
+$21.30 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 3:30pm ET | $51.48 | 216 | $11,118.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $51.55 | 216 | $11,134.80 | $11,181.61 |
+$16.20 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:15am ET | $51.98 | 215 | $11,175.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 1:05pm ET | $51.51 | 215 | $11,073.58 | $11,079.48 |
$-102.12 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 3:10pm ET | $51.76 | 214 | $11,075.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 9:55am ET | $51.70 | 214 | $11,063.80 | $11,067.71 |
$-11.77 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 3:45pm ET | $53.07 | 208 | $11,037.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $52.94 | 208 | $11,011.52 | $11,041.71 |
$-26.00 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 2:10pm ET | $53.14 | 207 | $11,000.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 10:15am ET | $52.95 | 207 | $10,959.62 | $11,000.48 |
$-41.23 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 11:30am ET | $53.64 | 205 | $10,995.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 12:20pm ET | $53.69 | 205 | $11,006.45 | $11,011.75 |
+$11.27 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 3:45pm ET | $53.69 | 205 | $11,006.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 3:50pm ET | $53.66 | 205 | $11,000.30 | $11,005.60 |
$-6.15 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 12:30pm ET | $53.65 | 205 | $10,998.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 12:35pm ET | $53.50 | 205 | $10,967.50 | $10,974.85 |
$-30.75 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 12:35pm ET | $53.53 | 205 | $10,973.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 1:00pm ET | $53.64 | 205 | $10,995.18 | $10,996.38 |
+$21.52 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $54.83 | 200 | $10,966.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 12:00pm ET | $54.88 | 200 | $10,975.00 | $11,005.38 |
+$9.00 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 10:00am ET | $54.89 | 200 | $10,977.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 12:10pm ET | $54.78 | 200 | $10,955.00 | $10,983.38 |
$-22.00 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 1:10pm ET | $54.68 | 200 | $10,936.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 2:15pm ET | $54.68 | 200 | $10,936.00 | $10,983.38 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 3:25pm ET | $54.88 | 200 | $10,975.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 3:50pm ET | $54.92 | 200 | $10,983.00 | $10,991.38 |
+$8.00 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 11:25am ET | $55.40 | 198 | $10,968.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 12:20pm ET | $55.45 | 198 | $10,978.11 | $11,001.28 |
+$9.90 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 10:50am ET | $55.62 | 197 | $10,956.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 12:25pm ET | $55.57 | 197 | $10,947.29 | $10,992.41 |
$-8.87 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $55.19 | 199 | $10,981.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 11:20am ET | $55.22 | 199 | $10,988.78 | $10,999.38 |
+$6.96 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 12:40pm ET | $54.99 | 200 | $10,998.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 1:05pm ET | $55.04 | 200 | $11,008.00 | $11,009.38 |
+$10.00 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 2:50pm ET | $56.36 | 195 | $10,989.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:15am ET | $56.18 | 195 | $10,955.10 | $10,975.25 |
$-34.12 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.4h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $55.67 | 197 | $10,966.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $55.80 | 197 | $10,992.60 | $11,001.85 |
+$26.59 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $55.85 | 196 | $10,946.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $55.96 | 196 | $10,968.16 | $11,023.41 |
+$21.56 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.00 | 200 | $11,000.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $54.82 | 200 | $10,964.00 | $10,987.41 |
$-36.00 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $53.94 | 203 | $10,949.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 11:15am ET | $53.90 | 203 | $10,940.69 | $10,978.27 |
$-9.13 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 12:55pm ET | $54.47 | 201 | $10,947.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 1:45pm ET | $54.51 | 201 | $10,956.51 | $10,987.32 |
+$9.04 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 1:55pm ET | $54.64 | 201 | $10,982.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.73 | 201 | $10,798.73 | $10,803.40 |
$-183.92 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $53.47 | 202 | $10,799.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:25pm ET | $53.44 | 202 | $10,793.95 | $10,797.42 |
$-5.98 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:55pm ET | $53.75 | 200 | $10,749.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $53.80 | 200 | $10,760.00 | $10,808.42 |
+$11.00 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 11:05am ET | $53.21 | 203 | $10,801.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 12:10pm ET | $53.26 | 203 | $10,811.78 | $10,818.57 |
+$10.15 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 3:50pm ET | $53.00 | 204 | $10,810.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:55am ET | $53.04 | 204 | $10,819.14 | $10,826.73 |
+$8.16 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:55am ET | $53.33 | 203 | $10,825.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 12:25pm ET | $53.26 | 203 | $10,810.77 | $10,811.51 |
$-15.22 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.83 | 200 | $10,767.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $54.03 | 200 | $10,807.00 | $10,851.51 |
+$40.00 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.71 | 202 | $10,849.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:30am ET | $53.37 | 202 | $10,779.73 | $10,781.82 |
$-69.69 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:30am ET | $54.06 | 199 | $10,756.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 12:45pm ET | $54.10 | 199 | $10,764.91 | $10,789.78 |
+$7.96 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 2:45pm ET | $54.06 | 199 | $10,758.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $53.94 | 199 | $10,734.06 | $10,764.90 |
$-24.88 (-0.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
1.2h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $53.26 | 202 | $10,758.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 11:30am ET | $53.03 | 202 | $10,711.05 | $10,717.43 |
$-47.47 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,717.43
Net Profit/Loss:
+$717.43
Total Return:
+7.17%