XLK Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 40 trades in period
+2.54%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,039.79
Current Value
68%
Win Rate
$10,765.95
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,405
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
75 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,765.95
Current Value
$11,039.79
Period P&L
$273.85
Max Drawdown
-11.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
27 /
13
Best Trade
+2.22%
Worst Trade
-2.17%
Avg Trade Return
+0.07%
Avg Hold Time
6.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$860,651.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$273.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$273.85
Gross Return
+2.54%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.54%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 75 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,765.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 1:00pm ET | $144.41 | 74 | $10,685.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 2:20pm ET | $144.74 | 74 | $10,710.39 | $10,790.36 |
+$24.42 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 2:35pm ET | $141.06 | 76 | $10,720.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 3:45pm ET | $141.45 | 76 | $10,749.82 | $10,819.43 |
+$29.07 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 3:45pm ET | $139.64 | 77 | $10,751.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 9:40am ET | $140.47 | 77 | $10,816.19 | $10,883.72 |
+$64.30 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:05am ET | $142.33 | 76 | $10,816.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 1:10pm ET | $139.24 | 76 | $10,581.86 | $10,648.88 |
$-234.84 (-2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 3:25pm ET | $137.07 | 77 | $10,554.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $138.45 | 77 | $10,660.65 | $10,755.53 |
+$106.64 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $138.67 | 77 | $10,677.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 9:35am ET | $138.30 | 77 | $10,648.72 | $10,726.65 |
$-28.88 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 3:50pm ET | $141.98 | 75 | $10,648.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $142.27 | 75 | $10,670.25 | $10,748.40 |
+$21.75 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 2:15pm ET | $143.22 | 75 | $10,741.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 3:35pm ET | $143.20 | 75 | $10,739.63 | $10,746.34 |
$-2.06 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $143.65 | 74 | $10,630.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 9:35am ET | $143.35 | 74 | $10,607.90 | $10,724.14 |
$-22.20 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 9:55am ET | $144.55 | 74 | $10,696.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 10:15am ET | $144.93 | 74 | $10,724.45 | $10,752.26 |
+$28.12 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 3:45pm ET | $146.33 | 73 | $10,682.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $146.58 | 73 | $10,700.34 | $10,770.51 |
+$18.25 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 12:45pm ET | $147.90 | 72 | $10,648.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 12:55pm ET | $148.05 | 72 | $10,659.28 | $10,780.99 |
+$10.48 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $146.42 | 73 | $10,688.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 11:00am ET | $146.52 | 73 | $10,695.96 | $10,788.29 |
+$7.30 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET | $143.84 | 75 | $10,788.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 12:10pm ET | $144.31 | 75 | $10,823.25 | $10,823.54 |
+$35.25 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 1:20pm ET | $142.68 | 75 | $10,700.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 1:55pm ET | $142.94 | 75 | $10,720.50 | $10,843.41 |
+$19.87 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:35am ET | $141.29 | 76 | $10,738.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 12:20pm ET | $140.45 | 76 | $10,674.20 | $10,779.56 |
$-63.85 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 12:20pm ET | $141.04 | 76 | $10,719.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 12:40pm ET | $141.94 | 76 | $10,787.06 | $10,847.58 |
+$68.02 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 9:35am ET | $145.02 | 74 | $10,731.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 9:50am ET | $144.83 | 74 | $10,717.42 | $10,833.52 |
$-14.06 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 12:10pm ET | $146.58 | 73 | $10,700.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 12:25pm ET | $146.74 | 73 | $10,711.66 | $10,844.84 |
+$11.32 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 12:25pm ET | $145.26 | 74 | $10,749.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 12:50pm ET | $145.52 | 74 | $10,768.48 | $10,864.09 |
+$19.25 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 2:00pm ET | $145.76 | 74 | $10,785.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 2:10pm ET | $145.86 | 74 | $10,793.27 | $10,871.49 |
+$7.40 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 2:25pm ET | $144.74 | 75 | $10,855.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 2:30pm ET | $144.44 | 75 | $10,832.63 | $10,848.99 |
$-22.50 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 11:55am ET | $145.32 | 74 | $10,753.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 1:40pm ET | $144.87 | 74 | $10,720.37 | $10,815.69 |
$-33.31 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $146.39 | 73 | $10,686.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:05am ET | $146.70 | 73 | $10,709.10 | $10,838.32 |
+$22.63 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 2:10pm ET | $143.69 | 75 | $10,776.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 2:50pm ET | $143.98 | 75 | $10,798.50 | $10,860.07 |
+$21.75 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $146.21 | 74 | $10,819.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $146.37 | 74 | $10,831.38 | $10,871.91 |
+$11.84 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $146.80 | 74 | $10,862.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:10am ET | $146.53 | 74 | $10,843.22 | $10,852.30 |
$-19.61 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 1:35pm ET | $143.39 | 75 | $10,754.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 1:50pm ET | $143.77 | 75 | $10,782.38 | $10,880.42 |
+$28.13 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:00pm ET | $146.53 | 74 | $10,843.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.72 | 74 | $10,857.28 | $10,894.48 |
+$14.06 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.83 | 75 | $10,787.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $143.48 | 75 | $10,761.00 | $10,868.23 |
$-26.25 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET | $143.02 | 75 | $10,726.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 1:10pm ET | $142.54 | 75 | $10,690.50 | $10,832.23 |
$-36.00 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 1:55pm ET | $144.98 | 74 | $10,728.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:20pm ET | $145.18 | 74 | $10,743.32 | $10,847.03 |
+$14.80 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 3:05pm ET | $144.78 | 74 | $10,713.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:40pm ET | $145.06 | 74 | $10,734.44 | $10,868.12 |
+$21.09 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 3:50pm ET | $146.21 | 74 | $10,819.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $147.32 | 74 | $10,901.50 | $10,950.45 |
+$82.32 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 11:40am ET | $148.67 | 73 | $10,852.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 12:15pm ET | $149.01 | 73 | $10,878.08 | $10,975.62 |
+$25.17 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:25am ET | $145.22 | 75 | $10,891.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 10:45am ET | $146.05 | 75 | $10,953.75 | $11,037.87 |
+$62.25 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:35pm ET | $145.76 | 75 | $10,932.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET | $145.24 | 75 | $10,893.37 | $10,999.24 |
$-38.62 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $140.04 | 78 | $10,923.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 1:25pm ET | $137.37 | 78 | $10,714.86 | $10,790.98 |
$-208.26 (-1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.9h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET | $135.62 | 79 | $10,713.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $138.63 | 79 | $10,951.77 | $11,028.77 |
+$237.79 (+2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $143.33 | 76 | $10,892.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $143.47 | 76 | $10,903.73 | $11,039.79 |
+$11.02 (+0.1%) |
📅 Sim Ended
24m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,039.79
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,039.79
Total Return:
+10.40%