Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,720
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
74 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,961.28
Current Value
$10,842.62
Period P&L
$-118.60
Max Drawdown
-9.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
23 / 14
Best Trade
+1.12%
Worst Trade
-4.38%
Avg Trade Return
-0.03%
Avg Hold Time
6.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$785,508.90
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-118.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$-118.60
Gross Return
-1.08%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 74 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,961.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 3:45pm ET $119.00 92 $10,947.54
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 3:55pm ET $119.29 92 $10,974.22 $10,987.89 +$26.68
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 3:45pm ET $118.86 92 $10,935.12
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET $116.32 92 $10,701.44 $10,754.21 $-233.68
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:30am ET $118.02 91 $10,739.41
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 1:10pm ET $117.75 91 $10,715.25 $10,730.05 $-24.16
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 3:20pm ET $117.00 91 $10,647.00
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 3:45pm ET $117.21 91 $10,666.11 $10,749.16 +$19.11
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET $115.16 93 $10,709.88
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 10:45am ET $115.36 93 $10,728.48 $10,767.76 +$18.60
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 1:40pm ET $115.18 93 $10,711.28
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 2:15pm ET $115.51 93 $10,742.43 $10,798.92 +$31.16
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 3:35pm ET $116.69 92 $10,735.39
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 3:40pm ET $116.54 92 $10,721.22 $10,784.75 $-14.17
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 3:10pm ET $117.70 91 $10,710.25
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 3:40pm ET $117.85 91 $10,724.35 $10,798.86 +$14.11
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 3:20pm ET $117.32 92 $10,792.98
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 3:30pm ET $116.93 92 $10,757.86 $10,763.74 $-35.12
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 12:35pm ET $118.92 90 $10,702.80
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 3:05pm ET $118.62 90 $10,675.80 $10,736.74 $-27.00
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 1:45pm ET $119.62 89 $10,646.18
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 2:55pm ET $119.56 89 $10,640.84 $10,731.40 $-5.34
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:35am ET $117.77 91 $10,716.62
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 12:40pm ET $117.09 91 $10,654.74 $10,669.52 $-61.88
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 12:40pm ET $114.96 92 $10,576.47
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 1:30pm ET $115.09 92 $10,588.28 $10,681.33 +$11.81
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $116.20 91 $10,574.19
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 11:00am ET $116.58 91 $10,608.78 $10,715.92 +$34.59
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 1:30pm ET $116.64 91 $10,613.85
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 2:55pm ET $116.66 91 $10,616.06 $10,718.13 +$2.21
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 2:55pm ET $119.42 89 $10,627.94
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 9:35am ET $119.46 89 $10,631.94 $10,722.14 +$4.00
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 2:20pm ET $118.64 90 $10,677.60
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 2:35pm ET $118.76 90 $10,687.95 $10,732.49 +$10.35
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 3:50pm ET $120.50 89 $10,724.50
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $121.41 89 $10,805.49 $10,813.48 +$80.99
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $120.70 89 $10,742.30
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 11:50am ET $120.09 89 $10,687.57 $10,758.74 $-54.74
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 3:45pm ET $122.28 87 $10,638.58
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $122.64 87 $10,669.68 $10,789.84 +$31.10
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET $124.58 86 $10,713.88
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $119.13 86 $10,244.75 $10,320.71 $-469.13
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:45pm ET $122.83 84 $10,317.72
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET $123.39 84 $10,364.76 $10,367.75 +$47.04
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $123.61 83 $10,259.63
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET $123.43 83 $10,244.69 $10,352.81 $-14.94
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 3:45pm ET $125.91 82 $10,324.21
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $126.47 82 $10,370.54 $10,399.14 +$46.33
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $128.61 80 $10,288.80
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:00am ET $130.05 80 $10,404.00 $10,514.34 +$115.20
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 12:50pm ET $129.58 81 $10,495.58
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 1:00pm ET $129.81 81 $10,514.61 $10,533.38 +$19.04
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $130.46 80 $10,436.80
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:15pm ET $130.62 80 $10,449.60 $10,546.18 +$12.80
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET $133.08 79 $10,513.32
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET $132.65 79 $10,479.35 $10,512.21 $-33.97
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 3:45pm ET $134.91 77 $10,387.69
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $135.69 77 $10,448.13 $10,572.65 +$60.44
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 1:50pm ET $136.14 77 $10,482.78
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 2:10pm ET $136.58 77 $10,516.66 $10,606.53 +$33.88
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 11:50am ET $139.20 76 $10,579.20
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 12:20pm ET $139.82 76 $10,626.32 $10,653.65 +$47.12
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 12:20pm ET $138.62 76 $10,535.12
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $138.52 76 $10,527.59 $10,646.12 $-7.53
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:55pm ET $138.13 77 $10,636.01
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:45pm ET $138.96 77 $10,699.92 $10,710.03 +$63.91
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $144.62 74 $10,701.51
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:55am ET $144.54 74 $10,695.96 $10,704.48 $-5.55
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:45pm ET $148.84 71 $10,567.64
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $150.31 71 $10,672.01 $10,808.85 +$104.37
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET $150.35 71 $10,675.20
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 9:45am ET $150.85 71 $10,710.35 $10,844.00 +$35.15
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 1:50pm ET $155.49 69 $10,728.81
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:25pm ET $155.47 69 $10,727.43 $10,842.62 $-1.38
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,842.62
Net Profit/Loss: +$842.62
Total Return: +8.43%
Back to Professor Mean