Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:08:20

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.0/35
Total Return
10.8/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 31.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 31.7

30-Day Momentum

39
+3.0%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 41.9 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,904
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,738.46
Current Value
$12,012.53
Period P&L
$1,274.08
Max Drawdown
-13.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
72
Winners / Losers
48 / 24
Best Trade
+2.59%
Worst Trade
-1.67%
Avg Trade Return
+0.16%
Avg Hold Time
8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,617,189.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,274.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,274.08
Gross Return
+11.86%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.86%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 72 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,738.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 11:55am ET $270.58 39 $10,552.62
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 12:30pm ET $271.63 39 $10,593.57 $10,779.39 +$40.95
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 1:45pm ET $267.81 40 $10,712.40
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 2:40pm ET $268.09 40 $10,723.40 $10,790.39 +$11.00
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 11:35am ET $271.98 39 $10,607.15
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 12:15pm ET $272.91 39 $10,643.30 $10,826.54 +$36.15
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 3:05pm ET $273.76 39 $10,676.45
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $274.26 39 $10,696.06 $10,846.15 +$19.61
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $269.94 40 $10,797.41
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:50am ET $272.58 40 $10,903.20 $10,951.95 +$105.80
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 11:15am ET $266.79 41 $10,938.19
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 11:35am ET $268.42 41 $11,005.22 $11,018.98 +$67.03
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 2:30pm ET $267.87 41 $10,982.67
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 2:35pm ET $268.59 41 $11,011.99 $11,048.30 +$29.31
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 3:50pm ET $268.60 41 $11,012.60
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $272.55 41 $11,174.35 $11,210.04 +$161.75
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 3:25pm ET $271.37 41 $11,126.17
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $275.05 41 $11,277.05 $11,360.92 +$150.88
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 11:25am ET $277.84 40 $11,113.60
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 11:55am ET $278.66 40 $11,146.40 $11,393.72 +$32.80
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 1:05pm ET $278.50 40 $11,140.00
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 2:50pm ET $278.36 40 $11,134.40 $11,388.12 $-5.60
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 2:15pm ET $285.18 39 $11,122.02
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 12:50pm ET $280.43 39 $10,936.81 $11,202.91 $-185.21
(-1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
22.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 3:00pm ET $278.61 40 $11,144.40
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $279.13 40 $11,165.20 $11,223.71 +$20.80
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 2:40pm ET $278.13 40 $11,125.00
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 9:40am ET $277.83 40 $11,113.20 $11,211.91 $-11.80
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:40am ET $275.31 40 $11,012.22
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 11:00am ET $276.34 40 $11,053.60 $11,253.29 +$41.38
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 2:05pm ET $278.04 40 $11,121.40
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 2:55pm ET $278.38 40 $11,135.20 $11,267.09 +$13.80
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET $272.68 41 $11,179.68
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 9:45am ET $273.49 41 $11,213.09 $11,300.51 +$33.41
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 11:10am ET $273.85 41 $11,227.85
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 12:30pm ET $273.28 41 $11,204.48 $11,277.14 $-23.37
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 12:20pm ET $270.44 41 $11,088.06
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 12:40pm ET $271.33 41 $11,124.53 $11,313.61 +$36.47
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 12:55pm ET $271.49 41 $11,131.09
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 2:30pm ET $270.98 41 $11,110.13 $11,292.65 $-20.96
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 12:45pm ET $274.23 41 $11,243.43
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 9:35am ET $275.05 41 $11,277.05 $11,326.27 +$33.62
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $272.82 41 $11,185.56
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 11:00am ET $273.16 41 $11,199.56 $11,340.27 +$14.00
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
23 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 3:05pm ET $272.33 41 $11,165.53
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 3:40pm ET $272.71 41 $11,181.11 $11,355.85 +$15.58
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $268.27 42 $11,267.47
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:35am ET $268.07 42 $11,258.94 $11,347.33 $-8.53
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET $263.96 42 $11,086.32
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 12:30pm ET $262.98 42 $11,045.16 $11,306.17 $-41.16
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:15pm ET $261.37 43 $11,238.91
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:50pm ET $261.98 43 $11,264.93 $11,332.18 +$26.02
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 2:15pm ET $256.58 44 $11,289.52
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $257.02 44 $11,308.88 $11,351.54 +$19.36
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $259.26 43 $11,148.18
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $258.03 43 $11,095.29 $11,298.65 $-52.89
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $259.73 43 $11,168.39
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET $261.62 43 $11,249.66 $11,379.92 +$81.27
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:45am ET $258.18 44 $11,359.92
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 1:25pm ET $257.53 44 $11,331.32 $11,351.32 $-28.60
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:15pm ET $258.40 43 $11,111.20
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $257.90 43 $11,089.70 $11,329.82 $-21.50
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $255.42 44 $11,238.48
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $254.07 44 $11,179.08 $11,270.42 $-59.40
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:40pm ET $249.54 45 $11,229.08
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $246.32 45 $11,084.18 $11,125.52 $-144.90
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
34 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 12:10pm ET $254.29 43 $10,934.47
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 1:20pm ET $254.65 43 $10,949.95 $11,141.00 +$15.48
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
35 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 1:25pm ET $260.26 42 $10,930.71
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $258.27 42 $10,847.34 $11,057.63 $-83.37
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
36 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET $255.14 43 $10,971.02
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 11:20am ET $256.15 43 $11,014.45 $11,101.06 +$43.43
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:45am ET $274.57 40 $10,982.80
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $276.12 40 $11,044.80 $11,163.06 +$62.00
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:40pm ET $275.45 40 $11,018.00
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $278.53 40 $11,141.20 $11,286.26 +$123.20
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $274.84 41 $11,268.44
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:30am ET $273.57 41 $11,216.37 $11,234.19 $-52.07
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:30am ET $273.64 41 $11,219.44
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:40pm ET $273.70 41 $11,221.74 $11,236.49 +$2.30
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 2:45pm ET $276.29 40 $11,051.60
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 2:50pm ET $276.14 40 $11,045.60 $11,230.49 $-6.00
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $264.17 42 $11,094.93
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 10:05am ET $264.86 42 $11,124.33 $11,259.89 +$29.40
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held
43 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 2:40pm ET $260.80 43 $11,214.40
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $261.04 43 $11,224.72 $11,270.21 +$10.32
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
44 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $271.60 41 $11,135.48
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 1:40pm ET $272.35 41 $11,166.35 $11,301.08 +$30.87
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
45 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 2:55pm ET $273.68 41 $11,220.88
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $274.46 41 $11,252.86 $11,333.06 +$31.98
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
46 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:35am ET $269.30 42 $11,310.60
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 11:05am ET $269.48 42 $11,318.16 $11,340.62 +$7.56
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET $261.42 43 $11,241.27
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:15am ET $264.31 43 $11,365.33 $11,464.68 +$124.06
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 1:10pm ET $264.07 43 $11,355.12
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 2:40pm ET $263.67 43 $11,337.60 $11,447.16 $-17.52
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $255.15 44 $11,226.60
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 10:40am ET $257.13 44 $11,313.72 $11,534.28 +$87.12
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 1:20pm ET $256.73 44 $11,296.12
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $257.13 44 $11,313.72 $11,551.88 +$17.60
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $258.27 44 $11,363.66
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:25am ET $255.26 44 $11,231.44 $11,419.66 $-132.22
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:30pm ET $252.29 45 $11,353.05
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 1:15pm ET $253.18 45 $11,393.10 $11,459.71 +$40.05
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 3:05pm ET $253.61 45 $11,412.45
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 3:50pm ET $254.30 45 $11,443.50 $11,490.76 +$31.05
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:35am ET $248.69 46 $11,439.74
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:45am ET $250.62 46 $11,528.52 $11,579.54 +$88.78
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $247.88 46 $11,402.48
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:05pm ET $248.38 46 $11,425.48 $11,602.54 +$23.00
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
56 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $251.21 46 $11,555.66
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:05am ET $252.16 46 $11,599.36 $11,646.24 +$43.70
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
57 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 2:40pm ET $253.68 45 $11,415.60
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:55am ET $252.85 45 $11,378.25 $11,608.89 $-37.35
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
58 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 1:25pm ET $250.78 46 $11,535.88
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $249.05 46 $11,456.30 $11,529.31 $-79.58
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:25pm ET $254.23 45 $11,440.13
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:10pm ET $254.71 45 $11,461.95 $11,551.14 +$21.83
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $258.54 44 $11,375.76
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $259.03 44 $11,397.32 $11,572.70 +$21.56
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $250.70 46 $11,532.24
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $252.11 46 $11,597.06 $11,637.52 +$64.82
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:00am ET $256.18 45 $11,528.32
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:15am ET $257.83 45 $11,602.57 $11,711.77 +$74.25
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:55am ET $260.90 44 $11,479.60
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:20pm ET $259.97 44 $11,438.68 $11,670.85 $-40.92
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET $264.02 44 $11,616.88
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:05am ET $262.57 44 $11,553.08 $11,607.05 $-63.80
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $270.67 42 $11,368.14
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:35pm ET $270.53 42 $11,362.26 $11,601.17 $-5.88
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
66 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:25pm ET $272.69 42 $11,452.98
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $270.98 42 $11,380.95 $11,529.14 $-72.03
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
67 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $272.66 42 $11,451.73
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $273.07 42 $11,468.94 $11,546.35 +$17.21
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
68 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $265.92 43 $11,434.56
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:40am ET $267.64 43 $11,508.52 $11,620.31 +$73.96
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
69 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $267.58 43 $11,505.94
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:50am ET $269.69 43 $11,596.50 $11,710.87 +$90.56
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
70 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $271.91 43 $11,692.13
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $278.94 43 $11,994.42 $12,013.16 +$302.29
(+2.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
71 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $279.65 42 $11,745.51
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $276.86 42 $11,628.33 $11,895.98 $-117.18
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
72 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $281.92 42 $11,840.43
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:50am ET $284.69 42 $11,956.98 $12,012.53 +$116.55
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,012.53
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,012.53
Total Return: +20.13%
Back to Professor Mean