Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:22:43

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.1 neutral
20d Trend
+0.3%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
9.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 15.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 14.8

30-Day Momentum

16
-0.8%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.9 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,361
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,097.51
Current Value
$9,242.62
Period P&L
$-854.90
Max Drawdown
-17.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
72
Winners / Losers
46 / 26
Best Trade
+1.50%
Worst Trade
-8.11%
Avg Trade Return
-0.12%
Avg Hold Time
5.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,364,233.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-854.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$-854.90
Gross Return
-8.47%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ABBV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 72 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,097.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 3:00pm ET $218.51 46 $10,051.46
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 3:55pm ET $219.26 46 $10,085.96 $10,132.03 +$34.50
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 1:25pm ET $237.45 42 $9,972.90
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 10:50am ET $232.62 42 $9,770.04 $9,929.17 $-202.86
(-2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
21.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 12:55pm ET $233.91 42 $9,824.33
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 2:20pm ET $233.95 42 $9,825.90 $9,930.74 +$1.57
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 3:15pm ET $233.76 42 $9,817.92
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET $234.58 42 $9,852.36 $9,965.18 +$34.44
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 10:25am ET $229.06 43 $9,849.52
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:50am ET $229.41 43 $9,864.63 $9,980.29 +$15.11
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 3:25pm ET $236.92 42 $9,950.43
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 3:40pm ET $237.48 42 $9,974.16 $10,004.02 +$23.73
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 3:45pm ET $229.50 43 $9,868.50
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $231.62 43 $9,959.66 $10,095.18 +$91.16
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $231.27 43 $9,944.61
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 9:40am ET $229.96 43 $9,888.07 $10,038.63 $-56.54
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 10:05am ET $225.75 44 $9,933.00
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 1:05pm ET $224.67 44 $9,885.26 $9,990.89 $-47.74
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 9:35am ET $229.84 43 $9,883.12
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 9:55am ET $230.66 43 $9,918.38 $10,026.15 +$35.26
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 9:55am ET $227.03 44 $9,989.21
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 11:15am ET $226.51 44 $9,966.44 $10,003.38 $-22.77
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 1:15pm ET $224.79 44 $9,890.54
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET $224.70 44 $9,886.80 $9,999.64 $-3.74
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 9:55am ET $222.76 44 $9,801.44
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 10:50am ET $223.25 44 $9,823.00 $10,021.20 +$21.56
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 11:00am ET $224.13 44 $9,861.72
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 2:40pm ET $222.72 44 $9,799.79 $9,959.27 $-61.93
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 11:55am ET $226.79 43 $9,751.97
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 1:15pm ET $226.86 43 $9,754.98 $9,962.28 +$3.01
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 12:45pm ET $225.14 44 $9,905.94
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 1:50pm ET $225.34 44 $9,914.96 $9,971.30 +$9.02
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 2:15pm ET $224.07 44 $9,859.08
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 3:30pm ET $224.15 44 $9,862.60 $9,974.82 +$3.52
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 9:45am ET $225.51 44 $9,922.44
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 10:45am ET $226.28 44 $9,956.10 $10,008.48 +$33.66
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 12:05pm ET $229.43 43 $9,865.49
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 12:50pm ET $229.73 43 $9,878.39 $10,021.38 +$12.90
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 11:30am ET $229.33 43 $9,860.98
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 12:50pm ET $229.11 43 $9,851.52 $10,011.92 $-9.46
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 1:55pm ET $230.79 43 $9,923.97
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 3:05pm ET $231.05 43 $9,935.15 $10,023.10 +$11.18
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
22 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $228.85 43 $9,840.55
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 10:25am ET $229.56 43 $9,871.08 $10,053.63 +$30.53
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 1:05pm ET $228.89 43 $9,842.06
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 1:50pm ET $229.24 43 $9,857.11 $10,068.68 +$15.05
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:55pm ET $219.12 45 $9,860.40
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 2:55pm ET $219.38 45 $9,871.88 $10,080.16 +$11.47
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:25pm ET $229.54 43 $9,870.22
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $227.72 43 $9,791.96 $10,001.90 $-78.26
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 2:50pm ET $223.30 44 $9,825.20
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $224.38 44 $9,872.83 $10,049.53 +$47.63
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $217.15 46 $9,988.90
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET $216.80 46 $9,972.80 $10,033.43 $-16.10
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 11:30am ET $219.09 45 $9,859.05
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 12:55pm ET $219.51 45 $9,877.73 $10,052.10 +$18.67
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 3:10pm ET $216.80 46 $9,972.80
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:45am ET $215.61 46 $9,918.06 $9,997.36 $-54.74
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.6h held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:15pm ET $213.26 46 $9,809.96
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:20pm ET $213.56 46 $9,823.76 $10,011.16 +$13.80
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 12:05pm ET $217.69 45 $9,796.05
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 12:40pm ET $218.55 45 $9,834.63 $10,049.74 +$38.58
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 1:50pm ET $219.83 45 $9,892.35
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 2:30pm ET $220.15 45 $9,906.75 $10,064.14 +$14.40
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $221.41 45 $9,963.45
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 12:30pm ET $219.84 45 $9,892.80 $9,993.49 $-70.65
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3h held
34 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 3:35pm ET $222.38 44 $9,784.72
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $220.75 44 $9,713.00 $9,921.77 $-71.72
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 12:55pm ET $224.82 44 $9,892.08
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:15pm ET $225.00 44 $9,900.00 $9,929.69 +$7.92
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:45pm ET $225.97 43 $9,716.71
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $207.65 43 $8,928.74 $9,141.71 $-787.97
(-8.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:15am ET $214.79 42 $9,021.18
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:55am ET $216.21 42 $9,081.03 $9,201.56 +$59.85
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $222.35 41 $9,116.15
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET $221.44 41 $9,079.04 $9,164.46 $-37.10
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:40pm ET $223.37 41 $9,157.97
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $219.86 41 $9,014.26 $9,020.75 $-143.71
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:05pm ET $231.46 38 $8,795.48
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:35pm ET $232.46 38 $8,833.67 $9,058.94 +$38.19
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 12:35pm ET $226.23 40 $9,049.20
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 12:50pm ET $226.93 40 $9,077.20 $9,086.94 +$28.00
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 3:15pm ET $223.72 40 $8,948.80
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 3:45pm ET $224.32 40 $8,972.80 $9,110.94 +$24.00
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
43 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $225.52 40 $9,021.00
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $228.91 40 $9,156.40 $9,246.34 +$135.40
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
44 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 11:55am ET $229.36 40 $9,174.40
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:15pm ET $226.88 40 $9,075.20 $9,147.14 $-99.20
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held
45 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 3:40pm ET $224.56 40 $8,982.40
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $227.13 40 $9,085.20 $9,249.94 +$102.80
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 1:20pm ET $232.61 39 $9,071.90
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 1:45pm ET $233.27 39 $9,097.53 $9,275.57 +$25.63
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $233.76 39 $9,116.64
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $229.68 39 $8,957.52 $9,116.45 $-159.12
(-1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $227.33 40 $9,093.20
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 11:25am ET $225.81 40 $9,032.40 $9,055.65 $-60.80
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $226.55 39 $8,835.45
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:25pm ET $227.10 39 $8,857.09 $9,077.29 +$21.64
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $224.26 40 $8,970.40
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET $227.46 40 $9,098.40 $9,205.29 +$128.00
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 10:15am ET $224.37 41 $9,198.97
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 11:45am ET $223.51 41 $9,164.11 $9,170.44 $-34.85
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 3:05pm ET $221.37 41 $9,076.17
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $221.75 41 $9,091.75 $9,186.02 +$15.58
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $220.24 41 $9,029.84
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $216.91 41 $8,893.51 $9,049.69 $-136.33
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 1:05pm ET $206.71 43 $8,888.53
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 3:05pm ET $206.02 43 $8,858.86 $9,020.02 $-29.67
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:05pm ET $204.15 44 $8,982.82
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 1:30pm ET $204.79 44 $9,010.76 $9,047.96 +$27.94
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
56 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $204.30 44 $8,989.20
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $207.13 44 $9,113.50 $9,172.26 +$124.30
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
57 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 3:10pm ET $210.66 43 $9,058.38
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:35pm ET $211.10 43 $9,077.30 $9,191.18 +$18.92
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
58 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 3:35pm ET $210.48 43 $9,050.64
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET $212.76 43 $9,148.68 $9,289.22 +$98.04
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
59 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 2:35pm ET $215.89 43 $9,283.27
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 2:45pm ET $216.65 43 $9,315.95 $9,321.90 +$32.68
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $213.65 43 $9,187.16
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $213.65 43 $9,187.16 $9,321.90 $0.00
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:40pm ET $205.76 45 $9,259.42
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:35pm ET $205.91 45 $9,265.95 $9,328.43 +$6.53
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:00am ET $209.96 44 $9,238.24
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:05am ET $211.53 44 $9,307.32 $9,397.51 +$69.08
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:10am ET $211.64 44 $9,312.16
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $209.17 44 $9,203.48 $9,288.83 $-108.68
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.3h held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:55pm ET $207.91 44 $9,147.93
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:40pm ET $208.26 44 $9,163.22 $9,304.12 +$15.29
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:35pm ET $208.26 44 $9,163.66
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $208.75 44 $9,185.00 $9,325.46 +$21.34
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
66 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $206.57 45 $9,295.65
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET $206.22 45 $9,279.90 $9,309.71 $-15.75
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
67 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:05am ET $204.41 45 $9,198.67
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $201.55 45 $9,069.75 $9,180.79 $-128.92
(-1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.4h held
68 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $200.00 45 $9,000.00
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET $198.48 45 $8,931.38 $9,112.17 $-68.62
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
69 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $196.82 46 $9,053.95
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $197.76 46 $9,097.19 $9,155.41 +$43.24
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
70 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:40am ET $196.03 46 $9,017.38
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET $197.50 46 $9,085.00 $9,223.03 +$67.62
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
71 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $210.03 43 $9,031.29
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:50am ET $210.02 43 $9,030.86 $9,222.60 $-0.43
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
72 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 11:45am ET $206.45 44 $9,083.80
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $206.90 44 $9,103.82 $9,242.62 +$20.02
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,242.62
Net Profit/Loss: $-757.38
Total Return: -7.57%
Back to Professor Mean