Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:27:13

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
65.5 neutral
20d Trend
+1.8%
5d Trend
+4.8%
EMA20 Dist
+2.7%
ATR%
1.4%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.9/35
Total Return
10.7/25
Win Rate
8.9/15
Profit Factor
4.1/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 43.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 42.5

30-Day Momentum

17
-0.4%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.1 Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,536
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
139 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,476.07
Current Value
$11,841.52
Period P&L
$365.48
Max Drawdown
-4.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
71
Winners / Losers
45 / 26
Best Trade
+1.03%
Worst Trade
-0.75%
Avg Trade Return
+0.05%
Avg Hold Time
5.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,635,601.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$365.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$365.48
Gross Return
+3.18%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BRK-B Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 139 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 71 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,476.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 1:35pm ET $496.73 23 $11,424.68
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 1:50pm ET $497.76 23 $11,448.48 $11,499.84 +$23.80
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 2:30pm ET $497.66 23 $11,446.18
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 3:20pm ET $498.41 23 $11,463.43 $11,517.09 +$17.25
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 3:45pm ET $502.54 22 $11,055.88
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $506.76 22 $11,148.72 $11,609.93 +$92.84
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:45am ET $510.30 22 $11,226.49
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 11:10am ET $509.13 22 $11,200.75 $11,584.19 $-25.74
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 1:00pm ET $506.80 22 $11,149.60
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 1:45pm ET $507.70 22 $11,169.40 $11,603.99 +$19.80
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $504.39 23 $11,600.97
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET $502.52 23 $11,557.85 $11,560.86 $-43.13
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:55am ET $502.31 23 $11,553.02
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 12:25pm ET $504.49 23 $11,603.27 $11,611.11 +$50.25
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 1:15pm ET $505.02 22 $11,110.44
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 1:35pm ET $506.13 22 $11,134.89 $11,635.56 +$24.45
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 1:20pm ET $511.03 22 $11,242.66
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 2:15pm ET $511.57 22 $11,254.54 $11,647.44 +$11.88
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 11:50am ET $511.38 22 $11,250.36
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 12:50pm ET $511.75 22 $11,258.50 $11,655.58 +$8.14
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 12:55pm ET $505.66 23 $11,630.07
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 1:45pm ET $506.30 23 $11,644.90 $11,670.42 +$14.84
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 3:20pm ET $506.03 23 $11,638.69
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 9:55am ET $506.25 23 $11,643.75 $11,675.48 +$5.06
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 3:40pm ET $504.18 23 $11,596.14
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 3:50pm ET $503.53 23 $11,581.19 $11,660.53 $-14.95
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 10:30am ET $494.76 23 $11,379.48
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 11:45am ET $494.02 23 $11,362.46 $11,643.51 $-17.02
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 1:40pm ET $492.57 23 $11,329.17
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 3:35pm ET $491.99 23 $11,315.77 $11,630.11 $-13.40
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 10:00am ET $502.71 23 $11,562.33
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 12:10pm ET $501.84 23 $11,542.23 $11,610.01 $-20.10
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:40am ET $502.94 23 $11,567.51
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 9:45am ET $502.53 23 $11,558.19 $11,600.69 $-9.32
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 9:45am ET $501.37 23 $11,531.51
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 11:10am ET $502.12 23 $11,548.76 $11,617.94 +$17.25
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 2:15pm ET $498.63 23 $11,468.38
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 2:55pm ET $499.25 23 $11,482.75 $11,632.32 +$14.38
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 9:30am ET $499.73 23 $11,493.90
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 9:50am ET $500.53 23 $11,512.19 $11,650.61 +$18.29
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 12:55pm ET $497.78 23 $11,448.94
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 2:05pm ET $497.71 23 $11,447.33 $11,649.00 $-1.61
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
22 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 3:55pm ET $503.88 23 $11,589.24
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $503.29 23 $11,575.67 $11,635.43 $-13.57
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $497.50 23 $11,442.56
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:25am ET $500.68 23 $11,515.64 $11,708.51 +$73.08
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 2:55pm ET $499.95 23 $11,498.85
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:20am ET $498.18 23 $11,458.06 $11,667.72 $-40.79
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.4h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 11:55am ET $493.86 23 $11,358.78
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 12:10pm ET $494.61 23 $11,376.03 $11,684.97 +$17.25
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:30pm ET $501.67 23 $11,538.42
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $501.60 23 $11,536.80 $11,683.35 $-1.62
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $495.88 23 $11,405.24
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:05am ET $498.55 23 $11,466.65 $11,744.76 +$61.41
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 11:25am ET $494.01 23 $11,362.23
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 12:20pm ET $494.42 23 $11,371.55 $11,754.08 +$9.32
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 12:20pm ET $493.40 23 $11,348.09
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 1:30pm ET $493.23 23 $11,344.29 $11,750.28 $-3.79
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 1:55pm ET $493.67 23 $11,354.30
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 2:20pm ET $494.45 23 $11,372.35 $11,768.34 +$18.05
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:40am ET $484.44 24 $11,626.56
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:45am ET $484.05 24 $11,617.08 $11,758.86 $-9.48
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $483.75 24 $11,609.88
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:10pm ET $484.19 24 $11,620.44 $11,769.42 +$10.56
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 3:25pm ET $480.62 24 $11,534.88
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $479.41 24 $11,505.84 $11,740.38 $-29.04
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
24m held
34 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $482.73 24 $11,585.52
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET $481.63 24 $11,559.00 $11,713.86 $-26.52
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
35 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET $472.62 24 $11,342.76
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:35am ET $474.60 24 $11,390.40 $11,761.50 +$47.64
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:15pm ET $484.54 24 $11,628.84
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $484.96 24 $11,639.04 $11,771.70 +$10.20
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:45pm ET $494.06 23 $11,363.38
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $499.15 23 $11,480.45 $11,888.77 +$117.07
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $501.01 23 $11,523.23
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET $499.36 23 $11,485.28 $11,850.82 $-37.95
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:25am ET $505.14 23 $11,618.11
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $505.31 23 $11,622.13 $11,854.84 +$4.02
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:05pm ET $500.13 23 $11,502.99
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 2:10pm ET $500.61 23 $11,514.03 $11,865.88 +$11.04
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $500.11 23 $11,502.42
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $501.76 23 $11,540.48 $11,903.94 +$38.06
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 3:05pm ET $503.20 23 $11,573.60
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:35am ET $504.55 23 $11,604.65 $11,934.99 +$31.05
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held
43 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:20am ET $498.15 23 $11,457.45
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 12:00pm ET $498.95 23 $11,475.85 $11,953.39 +$18.40
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
44 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 3:40pm ET $494.85 24 $11,876.50
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET $492.57 24 $11,821.56 $11,898.45 $-54.94
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
45 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:55am ET $492.31 24 $11,815.44
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 11:05am ET $492.93 24 $11,830.27 $11,913.28 +$14.83
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
46 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 12:55pm ET $502.90 23 $11,566.68
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $503.70 23 $11,584.99 $11,931.59 +$18.31
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $478.18 24 $11,476.44
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 2:25pm ET $480.68 24 $11,536.32 $11,991.47 +$59.88
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:40am ET $497.08 24 $11,929.92
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 11:50am ET $493.65 24 $11,847.62 $11,909.17 $-82.30
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $495.50 24 $11,892.00
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:20am ET $491.81 24 $11,803.44 $11,820.61 $-88.56
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
21.1h held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 3:05pm ET $491.37 24 $11,792.88
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:10pm ET $492.15 24 $11,811.60 $11,839.33 +$18.72
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:25pm ET $491.74 24 $11,801.76
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 1:25pm ET $492.03 24 $11,808.75 $11,846.32 +$6.99
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $490.21 24 $11,765.16
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 1:00pm ET $486.56 24 $11,677.45 $11,758.61 $-87.71
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.5h held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 3:35pm ET $481.15 24 $11,547.60
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $483.12 24 $11,594.88 $11,805.89 +$47.28
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $479.14 24 $11,499.36
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:05am ET $481.08 24 $11,546.04 $11,852.57 +$46.68
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $477.41 24 $11,457.84
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $475.79 24 $11,418.84 $11,813.57 $-39.00
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
56 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $472.15 25 $11,803.87
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:35am ET $473.82 25 $11,845.50 $11,855.20 +$41.63
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
57 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:05pm ET $475.89 24 $11,421.47
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 2:20pm ET $476.58 24 $11,437.92 $11,871.65 +$16.45
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:50am ET $479.11 24 $11,498.64
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 12:40pm ET $479.72 24 $11,513.28 $11,886.29 +$14.64
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $477.55 24 $11,461.32
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:55pm ET $476.86 24 $11,444.52 $11,869.49 $-16.80
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:10pm ET $476.77 24 $11,442.60
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $477.87 24 $11,468.88 $11,895.77 +$26.28
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 3:15pm ET $485.98 24 $11,663.64
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $483.69 24 $11,608.61 $11,840.74 $-55.03
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $478.37 24 $11,480.88
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:15am ET $479.59 24 $11,510.16 $11,870.02 +$29.28
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET $475.33 24 $11,407.80
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:05am ET $475.40 24 $11,409.60 $11,871.82 +$1.80
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 12:10pm ET $472.42 25 $11,810.62
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 1:35pm ET $472.51 25 $11,812.70 $11,873.90 +$2.08
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $475.63 24 $11,415.00
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:15am ET $475.30 24 $11,407.20 $11,866.10 $-7.80
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
66 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $468.51 25 $11,712.73
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:20pm ET $468.96 25 $11,723.98 $11,877.34 +$11.24
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
67 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $471.51 25 $11,787.75
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $469.52 25 $11,738.00 $11,827.59 $-49.75
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
68 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 1:10pm ET $474.21 24 $11,381.04
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 2:55pm ET $473.60 24 $11,366.40 $11,812.95 $-14.64
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
69 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:25pm ET $475.25 24 $11,406.00
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:15pm ET $475.96 24 $11,423.16 $11,830.11 +$17.16
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
70 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:30pm ET $475.30 24 $11,407.20
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:30pm ET $475.52 24 $11,412.36 $11,835.27 +$5.16
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
71 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 1:10pm ET $464.88 25 $11,622.00
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:50pm ET $465.13 25 $11,628.25 $11,841.52 +$6.25
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,841.52
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,841.52
Total Return: +18.42%
Back to Professor Mean