Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:17:46

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
68.2 neutral
20d Trend
+5.1%
5d Trend
+5.5%
EMA20 Dist
+3.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.6/35
Total Return
5.2/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 20.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 20.6

30-Day Momentum

14
-0.8%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.5 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,927
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,075.64
Current Value
$10,327.64
Period P&L
$-748.00
Max Drawdown
-7.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
71
Winners / Losers
44 / 27
Best Trade
+1.03%
Worst Trade
-2.64%
Avg Trade Return
-0.10%
Avg Hold Time
6.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,442,303.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-748.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$-748.00
Gross Return
-6.75%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.75%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COST Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 71 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,075.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 12:25pm ET $924.93 11 $10,174.18
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 1:35pm ET $925.66 11 $10,182.21 $11,083.70 +$8.03
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 1:35pm ET $915.28 12 $10,983.33
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 3:00pm ET $915.92 12 $10,990.98 $11,091.35 +$7.65
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $912.03 12 $10,944.30
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET $914.43 12 $10,973.10 $11,120.15 +$28.80
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:40am ET $918.06 12 $11,016.66
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 10:45am ET $920.87 12 $11,050.44 $11,153.93 +$33.78
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 11:00am ET $915.02 12 $10,980.25
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 11:50am ET $916.23 12 $10,994.70 $11,168.38 +$14.45
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 12:30pm ET $900.05 12 $10,800.54
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 12:40pm ET $903.91 12 $10,846.92 $11,214.76 +$46.38
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:10am ET $895.63 12 $10,747.56
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:50am ET $898.08 12 $10,776.96 $11,244.15 +$29.40
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 3:50pm ET $899.80 12 $10,797.60
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:40am ET $889.98 12 $10,679.79 $11,126.34 $-117.81
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 2:10pm ET $892.90 12 $10,714.80
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 2:15pm ET $890.94 12 $10,691.28 $11,102.82 $-23.52
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 3:00pm ET $909.00 12 $10,908.00
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 9:50am ET $909.01 12 $10,908.12 $11,102.94 +$0.12
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 2:00pm ET $913.14 12 $10,957.71
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 3:00pm ET $914.18 12 $10,970.16 $11,115.39 +$12.45
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 3:50pm ET $920.73 12 $11,048.70
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET $899.42 12 $10,793.03 $10,859.72 $-255.67
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 12:20pm ET $897.41 12 $10,768.92
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 1:40pm ET $897.85 12 $10,774.20 $10,865.00 +$5.28
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 9:45am ET $884.65 12 $10,615.80
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 10:05am ET $886.48 12 $10,637.76 $10,886.96 +$21.96
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 11:05am ET $881.27 12 $10,575.24
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 1:15pm ET $877.08 12 $10,524.96 $10,836.68 $-50.28
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $879.74 12 $10,556.88
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 9:40am ET $877.30 12 $10,527.60 $10,807.40 $-29.28
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:40am ET $878.00 12 $10,536.00
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 2:35pm ET $854.85 12 $10,258.21 $10,529.61 $-277.79
(-2.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.9h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 12:40pm ET $859.59 12 $10,315.02
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 1:40pm ET $861.84 12 $10,342.08 $10,556.67 +$27.06
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 2:00pm ET $856.00 12 $10,272.00
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 3:30pm ET $857.09 12 $10,285.08 $10,569.75 +$13.08
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 12:00pm ET $849.66 12 $10,195.92
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 12:40pm ET $850.80 12 $10,209.60 $10,583.43 +$13.68
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 12:45pm ET $873.63 12 $10,483.56
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 9:30am ET $874.60 12 $10,495.20 $10,595.07 +$11.64
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 9:35am ET $869.29 12 $10,431.51
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:50am ET $872.86 12 $10,474.32 $10,637.88 +$42.81
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
23 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:50am ET $863.38 12 $10,360.56
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 11:20am ET $862.95 12 $10,355.35 $10,632.66 $-5.21
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
24 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 3:15pm ET $863.18 12 $10,358.10
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $855.58 12 $10,266.96 $10,541.52 $-91.14
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $890.16 11 $9,791.76
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:50am ET $886.13 11 $9,747.38 $10,497.14 $-44.38
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $925.06 11 $10,175.61
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $921.40 11 $10,135.40 $10,456.93 $-40.20
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:15pm ET $923.97 11 $10,163.67
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $925.64 11 $10,181.99 $10,475.25 +$18.31
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $938.33 11 $10,321.65
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:10am ET $936.23 11 $10,298.53 $10,452.13 $-23.12
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 11:55am ET $953.39 10 $9,533.90
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 12:40pm ET $955.34 10 $9,553.40 $10,471.63 +$19.50
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 1:35pm ET $955.31 10 $9,553.10
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 2:00pm ET $956.85 10 $9,568.50 $10,487.03 +$15.40
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 2:05pm ET $964.51 10 $9,645.10
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $967.95 10 $9,679.49 $10,521.41 +$34.39
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.4h held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET $980.54 10 $9,805.40
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 12:00pm ET $973.99 10 $9,739.90 $10,455.91 $-65.50
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $979.81 10 $9,798.10
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 2:15pm ET $981.70 10 $9,817.00 $10,474.81 +$18.90
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
34 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 2:20pm ET $976.62 10 $9,766.20
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 2:45pm ET $978.28 10 $9,782.80 $10,491.41 +$16.60
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
35 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $967.73 10 $9,677.25
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET $964.81 10 $9,648.05 $10,462.21 $-29.20
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
36 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET $952.26 10 $9,522.60
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:50am ET $957.93 10 $9,579.30 $10,518.91 +$56.70
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
37 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 11:35am ET $933.50 11 $10,268.50
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 12:25pm ET $934.29 11 $10,277.19 $10,527.60 +$8.69
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:45pm ET $982.92 10 $9,829.15
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 3:35pm ET $978.06 10 $9,780.60 $10,479.05 $-48.55
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 3:35pm ET $982.95 10 $9,829.45
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $993.09 10 $9,930.85 $10,580.45 +$101.40
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:45am ET $984.95 10 $9,849.50
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:55am ET $994.15 10 $9,941.49 $10,672.44 +$91.99
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $997.01 10 $9,970.10
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 1:10pm ET $997.01 10 $9,970.10 $10,672.44 $0.00
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 2:00pm ET $976.17 10 $9,761.70
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $970.71 10 $9,707.10 $10,617.84 $-54.60
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
43 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 2:35pm ET $1,012.72 10 $10,127.15
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:55am ET $1,011.63 10 $10,116.30 $10,606.99 $-10.85
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
44 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:20am ET $993.76 10 $9,937.60
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 1:55pm ET $989.38 10 $9,893.80 $10,563.19 $-43.80
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
45 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $983.36 10 $9,833.60
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 10:30am ET $984.70 10 $9,846.95 $10,576.54 +$13.35
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
46 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 12:10pm ET $992.53 10 $9,925.30
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 12:50pm ET $994.81 10 $9,948.10 $10,599.34 +$22.80
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
47 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 1:20pm ET $986.39 10 $9,863.85
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 1:45pm ET $988.47 10 $9,884.74 $10,620.23 +$20.89
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
48 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 2:45pm ET $998.70 10 $9,987.02
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 3:20pm ET $1,001.43 10 $10,014.30 $10,647.51 +$27.28
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 3:20pm ET $1,009.35 10 $10,093.50
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $1,010.83 10 $10,108.30 $10,662.31 +$14.80
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $996.50 10 $9,965.00
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 11:45am ET $983.48 10 $9,834.80 $10,532.11 $-130.20
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET $996.13 10 $9,961.25
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 10:45am ET $995.40 10 $9,953.95 $10,524.81 $-7.30
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $1,003.18 10 $10,031.82
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:25am ET $992.65 10 $9,926.50 $10,419.49 $-105.32
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
21.2h held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 3:40pm ET $1,005.20 10 $10,052.00
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,007.80 10 $10,078.00 $10,445.49 +$26.00
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 12:05pm ET $1,004.70 10 $10,046.95
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $990.64 10 $9,906.40 $10,304.94 $-140.55
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 10:55am ET $976.49 10 $9,764.95
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 12:15pm ET $975.34 10 $9,753.45 $10,293.44 $-11.50
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
56 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:20pm ET $976.52 10 $9,765.15
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:00pm ET $977.75 10 $9,777.50 $10,305.79 +$12.35
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
57 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $962.41 10 $9,624.10
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:45am ET $969.86 10 $9,698.65 $10,380.34 +$74.55
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
58 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 2:40pm ET $975.53 10 $9,755.30
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:15pm ET $976.29 10 $9,762.90 $10,387.94 +$7.60
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
59 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 2:10pm ET $983.15 10 $9,831.50
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:00pm ET $983.18 10 $9,831.80 $10,388.24 +$0.30
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
60 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:15pm ET $994.75 10 $9,947.50
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $997.57 10 $9,975.70 $10,416.44 +$28.20
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,017.96 10 $10,179.60
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $1,015.35 10 $10,153.50 $10,390.34 $-26.10
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:45pm ET $1,032.76 10 $10,327.55
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $1,034.01 10 $10,340.10 $10,402.89 +$12.55
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $993.69 10 $9,936.93
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:45pm ET $983.58 10 $9,835.80 $10,301.76 $-101.13
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $970.03 10 $9,700.30
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:50am ET $974.34 10 $9,743.39 $10,344.84 +$43.08
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 12:15pm ET $987.06 10 $9,870.60
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $988.05 10 $9,880.50 $10,354.74 +$9.90
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
66 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $1,000.64 10 $10,006.40
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $989.47 10 $9,894.70 $10,243.04 $-111.70
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held
67 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:15pm ET $1,005.78 10 $10,057.80
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:30pm ET $1,006.17 10 $10,061.70 $10,246.94 +$3.90
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
68 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $1,003.34 10 $10,033.40
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET $1,011.35 10 $10,113.50 $10,327.04 +$80.10
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
69 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 12:35pm ET $1,005.10 10 $10,051.00
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 1:50pm ET $1,006.65 10 $10,066.50 $10,342.54 +$15.50
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
70 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:50pm ET $992.00 10 $9,920.00
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:10pm ET $991.51 10 $9,915.10 $10,337.64 $-4.90
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
71 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $1,012.26 10 $10,122.60
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $1,011.26 10 $10,112.60 $10,327.64 $-10.00
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,327.64
Net Profit/Loss: +$327.64
Total Return: +3.28%
Back to Professor Mean