Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:24:54

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.9/35
Total Return
12.2/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 31.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 31.4

30-Day Momentum

18
+0.2%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 19.0 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,045
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,418.40
Current Value
$12,879.23
Period P&L
$-2,539.24
Max Drawdown
-26.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
72
Winners / Losers
38 / 34
Best Trade
+6.30%
Worst Trade
-10.41%
Avg Trade Return
-0.23%
Avg Hold Time
9.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,962,805.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,539.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,539.24
Gross Return
-16.47%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 72 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $15,418.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET $138.16 111 $15,336.30
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 9:35am ET $136.52 111 $15,153.72 $15,235.89 $-182.58
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET $121.04 125 $15,130.01
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 12:10pm ET $122.23 125 $15,278.75 $15,384.63 +$148.74
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 3:50pm ET $136.23 112 $15,257.76
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $133.65 112 $14,968.80 $15,095.67 $-288.96
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 9:40am ET $131.16 115 $15,082.83
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 9:45am ET $130.08 115 $14,959.19 $14,972.03 $-123.64
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:45am ET $127.24 117 $14,886.50
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 12:20pm ET $123.77 117 $14,481.18 $14,566.72 $-405.31
(-2.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 1:00pm ET $124.91 116 $14,489.56
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 2:20pm ET $125.02 116 $14,501.89 $14,579.05 +$12.33
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 2:20pm ET $113.78 128 $14,563.84
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 3:25pm ET $113.87 128 $14,575.36 $14,590.57 +$11.52
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 3:30pm ET $114.84 127 $14,584.68
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET $116.34 127 $14,775.18 $14,781.07 +$190.50
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:05am ET $116.88 126 $14,726.26
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 12:40pm ET $107.06 126 $13,489.56 $13,544.37 $-1,236.70
(-8.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 1:10pm ET $105.93 127 $13,453.11
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 1:30pm ET $107.17 127 $13,610.59 $13,701.85 +$157.48
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $112.98 121 $13,670.58
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:35am ET $111.76 121 $13,522.96 $13,554.23 $-147.62
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 12:40pm ET $127.35 106 $13,499.30
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 12:55pm ET $128.45 106 $13,615.70 $13,670.63 +$116.40
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 3:35pm ET $127.30 107 $13,621.10
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 9:50am ET $127.64 107 $13,657.48 $13,707.01 +$36.38
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 2:10pm ET $135.64 101 $13,699.64
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 2:15pm ET $135.27 101 $13,662.27 $13,669.64 $-37.37
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET $134.24 101 $13,558.59
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 9:45am ET $136.46 101 $13,782.46 $13,893.51 +$223.87
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 12:20pm ET $134.44 103 $13,846.81
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 12:55pm ET $134.93 103 $13,898.16 $13,944.86 +$51.36
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 2:55pm ET $123.49 112 $13,830.32
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $125.21 112 $14,023.52 $14,138.06 +$193.20
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:45am ET $117.55 120 $14,105.40
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 10:35am ET $117.98 120 $14,157.60 $14,190.26 +$52.20
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 1:10pm ET $119.32 118 $14,079.17
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $123.73 118 $14,600.14 $14,711.23 +$520.97
(+3.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 1:40pm ET $121.00 121 $14,641.00
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 2:00pm ET $121.60 121 $14,713.60 $14,783.83 +$72.60
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 2:10pm ET $121.76 121 $14,732.96
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 2:15pm ET $122.25 121 $14,792.25 $14,843.12 +$59.29
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
22 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 9:30am ET $119.95 123 $14,753.85
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 9:35am ET $118.90 123 $14,624.70 $14,713.97 $-129.15
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
23 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 2:15pm ET $119.64 122 $14,596.12
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 9:40am ET $118.82 122 $14,496.04 $14,613.90 $-100.08
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
24 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 10:10am ET $116.23 125 $14,528.13
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 10:30am ET $116.93 125 $14,616.25 $14,702.02 +$88.13
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
25 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 1:15pm ET $114.35 128 $14,636.80
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:45am ET $113.31 128 $14,503.68 $14,568.90 $-133.12
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:15pm ET $121.49 119 $14,456.72
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 1:55pm ET $122.07 119 $14,526.33 $14,638.52 +$69.61
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $118.46 123 $14,570.15
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:05am ET $118.84 123 $14,617.32 $14,685.69 +$47.17
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $115.76 126 $14,585.76
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET $117.10 126 $14,753.97 $14,853.90 +$168.21
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 12:35pm ET $117.74 126 $14,834.61
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 2:15pm ET $117.64 126 $14,822.63 $14,841.91 $-11.98
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:35am ET $118.35 125 $14,793.75
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET $116.86 125 $14,606.88 $14,655.04 $-186.87
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET $117.37 124 $14,553.88
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 12:05pm ET $115.86 124 $14,366.64 $14,467.80 $-187.24
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 2:15pm ET $109.19 132 $14,412.47
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $105.79 132 $13,964.29 $14,019.62 $-448.18
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET $106.51 131 $13,952.81
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:25pm ET $105.92 131 $13,875.52 $13,942.33 $-77.29
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
34 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 3:00pm ET $107.97 129 $13,928.76
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:50am ET $107.74 129 $13,897.82 $13,911.38 $-30.95
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
35 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:45pm ET $105.53 131 $13,824.46
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 2:15pm ET $105.42 131 $13,810.02 $13,896.95 $-14.44
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
36 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $103.35 134 $13,848.90
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET $102.42 134 $13,724.28 $13,772.33 $-124.62
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held
37 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 11:20am ET $101.70 135 $13,729.50
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 2:20pm ET $100.84 135 $13,613.40 $13,656.23 $-116.10
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3h held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $88.92 153 $13,604.00
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:15pm ET $89.63 153 $13,713.39 $13,765.62 +$109.39
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $82.66 166 $13,721.63
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $80.77 166 $13,407.69 $13,451.68 $-313.94
(-2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $75.45 178 $13,430.10
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $80.20 178 $14,275.60 $14,297.18 +$845.50
(+6.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.7h held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $87.54 163 $14,269.02
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $86.39 163 $14,081.57 $14,109.73 $-187.45
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $85.72 164 $14,058.08
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $76.80 164 $12,595.20 $12,646.85 $-1,462.88
(-10.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
43 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $74.34 170 $12,637.38
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET $76.13 170 $12,942.10 $12,951.57 +$304.72
(+2.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
44 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 9:35am ET $74.23 174 $12,916.02
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:55am ET $76.19 174 $13,257.06 $13,292.61 +$341.04
(+2.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
45 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 12:30pm ET $74.34 178 $13,232.52
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 1:45pm ET $74.29 178 $13,223.62 $13,283.71 $-8.90
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
46 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $74.82 177 $13,244.02
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 11:35am ET $72.39 177 $12,813.03 $12,852.72 $-430.99
(-3.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
47 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $76.98 166 $12,778.68
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 1:45pm ET $75.30 166 $12,499.80 $12,573.84 $-278.88
(-2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.3h held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $78.52 160 $12,563.20
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 2:50pm ET $78.97 160 $12,635.20 $12,645.84 +$72.00
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $77.99 162 $12,634.38
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 10:40am ET $78.43 162 $12,705.94 $12,717.40 +$71.56
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 1:20pm ET $76.98 165 $12,701.75
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $77.35 165 $12,762.75 $12,778.40 +$61.00
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $78.03 163 $12,718.89
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:35am ET $79.57 163 $12,970.72 $13,030.23 +$251.83
(+2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:35am ET $77.17 168 $12,964.56
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:40am ET $76.55 168 $12,860.64 $12,926.31 $-103.92
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $76.16 169 $12,871.04
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 11:35am ET $75.92 169 $12,830.65 $12,885.92 $-40.39
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 1:05pm ET $72.85 176 $12,821.60
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 1:55pm ET $73.30 176 $12,900.80 $12,965.12 +$79.20
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $70.36 184 $12,946.61
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $70.72 184 $13,012.48 $13,030.99 +$65.87
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
56 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $72.59 179 $12,993.61
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $71.50 179 $12,798.50 $12,835.88 $-195.11
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
57 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 3:00pm ET $72.46 177 $12,824.54
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:25pm ET $72.78 177 $12,882.06 $12,893.40 +$57.52
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
58 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $68.74 187 $12,854.38
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $67.79 187 $12,677.66 $12,716.69 $-176.71
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
59 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:55pm ET $64.17 198 $12,705.66
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:40pm ET $64.43 198 $12,757.14 $12,768.17 +$51.48
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 12:35pm ET $70.23 181 $12,711.63
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 1:00pm ET $70.70 181 $12,796.70 $12,853.24 +$85.07
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $69.85 184 $12,851.48
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $68.26 184 $12,559.84 $12,561.60 $-291.64
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $72.64 172 $12,494.08
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:45pm ET $72.02 172 $12,387.44 $12,454.96 $-106.64
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $69.58 179 $12,454.82
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:35am ET $69.81 179 $12,495.10 $12,495.23 +$40.27
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $77.52 161 $12,480.72
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $78.22 161 $12,594.22 $12,608.74 +$113.51
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $85.03 148 $12,583.70
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:05am ET $85.83 148 $12,702.84 $12,727.88 +$119.14
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
66 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $91.49 139 $12,717.11
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:45pm ET $91.15 139 $12,669.85 $12,680.62 $-47.26
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
67 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET $88.12 143 $12,601.16
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:35pm ET $87.92 143 $12,572.57 $12,652.03 $-28.59
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
68 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $86.63 146 $12,647.98
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:55am ET $86.70 146 $12,658.07 $12,662.12 +$10.09
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
69 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 3:35pm ET $84.45 149 $12,583.05
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $84.90 149 $12,650.10 $12,729.17 +$67.05
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
70 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:35am ET $81.50 156 $12,714.00
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 11:05am ET $82.19 156 $12,821.64 $12,836.81 +$107.64
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
71 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:35pm ET $72.66 176 $12,788.92
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 1:50pm ET $72.57 176 $12,773.20 $12,821.09 $-15.72
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
72 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $74.56 171 $12,749.76
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $74.90 171 $12,807.90 $12,879.23 +$58.14
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,879.23
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,879.23
Total Return: +28.79%
Back to Professor Mean