Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:22:52

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

47
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.6/35
Total Return
11.3/25
Win Rate
9.5/15
Profit Factor
4.7/15
Consistency
7.9/10
Raw Quality 47.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 46.9

30-Day Momentum

29
+1.4%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 30.4 Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,744
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
134 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,041.47
Current Value
$12,163.45
Period P&L
$1,122.02
Max Drawdown
-5.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
70
Winners / Losers
50 / 20
Best Trade
+1.28%
Worst Trade
-1.86%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
6.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,602,127.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,122.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,122.02
Gross Return
+10.16%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 134 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 70 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,041.47 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 10:20am ET $185.63 59 $10,951.88
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 11:05am ET $186.13 59 $10,981.67 $11,071.22 +$29.79
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 1:30pm ET $185.80 59 $10,962.20
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 2:00pm ET $186.78 59 $11,019.73 $11,128.74 +$57.52
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 2:25pm ET $194.38 57 $11,079.66
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 3:35pm ET $194.51 57 $11,086.79 $11,135.87 +$7.13
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 3:40pm ET $194.99 57 $11,114.15
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $195.31 57 $11,132.67 $11,154.39 +$18.52
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 3:55pm ET $195.96 56 $10,973.76
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:35am ET $197.13 56 $11,039.28 $11,219.91 +$65.52
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 2:25pm ET $202.12 55 $11,116.33
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 3:10pm ET $202.42 55 $11,132.83 $11,236.41 +$16.50
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 1:00pm ET $205.64 54 $11,104.56
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 2:35pm ET $205.82 54 $11,114.28 $11,246.13 +$9.72
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 2:40pm ET $204.50 54 $11,043.00
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 3:50pm ET $205.35 54 $11,088.63 $11,291.76 +$45.63
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $206.29 54 $11,139.39
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 9:35am ET $207.01 54 $11,178.27 $11,330.64 +$38.88
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 9:45am ET $206.23 54 $11,136.15
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 9:50am ET $205.81 54 $11,113.74 $11,308.23 $-22.41
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 3:50pm ET $205.97 54 $11,122.38
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 3:55pm ET $205.52 54 $11,098.08 $11,283.93 $-24.30
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 1:10pm ET $205.45 54 $11,094.03
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 1:25pm ET $205.62 54 $11,103.48 $11,293.38 +$9.45
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 1:20pm ET $201.85 55 $11,101.94
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 1:35pm ET $202.14 55 $11,117.43 $11,308.87 +$15.49
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 1:45pm ET $202.04 55 $11,111.93
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET $204.29 55 $11,235.95 $11,432.90 +$124.03
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 1:35pm ET $209.76 54 $11,326.77
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 3:20pm ET $209.45 54 $11,310.30 $11,416.43 $-16.47
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 9:35am ET $213.44 53 $11,312.32
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 2:20pm ET $209.48 53 $11,102.44 $11,206.55 $-209.88
(-1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $210.43 53 $11,152.79
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $210.01 53 $11,130.53 $11,184.29 $-22.26
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 9:35am ET $208.15 53 $11,031.95
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 9:55am ET $208.56 53 $11,053.68 $11,206.02 +$21.73
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET $204.16 54 $11,024.37
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:35am ET $206.44 54 $11,147.49 $11,329.14 +$123.12
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 11:10am ET $207.29 54 $11,193.66
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 1:45pm ET $206.99 54 $11,177.46 $11,312.94 $-16.20
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 3:40pm ET $207.99 54 $11,231.46
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $206.74 54 $11,163.69 $11,245.17 $-67.77
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $206.50 54 $11,151.00
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 11:30am ET $206.81 54 $11,167.74 $11,261.91 +$16.74
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $206.20 54 $11,134.80
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 1:45pm ET $206.42 54 $11,146.68 $11,273.79 +$11.88
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:45am ET $205.35 54 $11,088.90
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 12:45pm ET $205.62 54 $11,103.48 $11,288.37 +$14.58
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:25pm ET $206.35 54 $11,142.90
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:00pm ET $206.72 54 $11,162.88 $11,308.35 +$19.98
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:30am ET $205.26 55 $11,289.31
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:35am ET $204.81 55 $11,264.55 $11,283.59 $-24.76
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 12:30pm ET $216.97 52 $11,282.44
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 1:45pm ET $217.24 52 $11,296.22 $11,297.37 +$13.78
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 11:00am ET $218.85 51 $11,161.10
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 11:25am ET $219.49 51 $11,193.99 $11,330.27 +$32.90
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:50pm ET $217.20 52 $11,294.40
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $217.87 52 $11,328.98 $11,364.85 +$34.58
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:45pm ET $219.06 51 $11,171.81
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $219.39 51 $11,188.89 $11,381.93 +$17.08
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 2:45pm ET $224.37 50 $11,218.50
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 3:35pm ET $224.79 50 $11,239.50 $11,402.93 +$21.00
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 12:05pm ET $227.30 50 $11,365.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 1:05pm ET $227.66 50 $11,383.00 $11,420.93 +$18.00
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $227.09 50 $11,354.25
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 3:30pm ET $227.56 50 $11,378.00 $11,444.68 +$23.75
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:25pm ET $233.40 49 $11,436.60
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 2:20pm ET $234.10 49 $11,470.90 $11,478.98 +$34.30
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:55pm ET $237.32 48 $11,391.36
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:20pm ET $237.88 48 $11,418.00 $11,505.62 +$26.64
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $240.01 47 $11,280.47
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $238.95 47 $11,230.65 $11,455.80 $-49.82
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:30pm ET $239.67 47 $11,264.49
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:40pm ET $239.17 47 $11,240.99 $11,432.30 $-23.50
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET $242.70 47 $11,406.67
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET $243.66 47 $11,452.25 $11,477.89 +$45.59
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 12:00pm ET $244.89 46 $11,264.94
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 12:25pm ET $245.35 46 $11,286.10 $11,499.05 +$21.16
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $242.42 47 $11,393.74
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET $244.85 47 $11,507.95 $11,613.26 +$114.21
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $246.05 47 $11,564.35
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 3:25pm ET $245.88 47 $11,556.59 $11,605.50 $-7.76
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET $244.23 47 $11,478.81
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:30am ET $243.43 47 $11,440.98 $11,567.67 $-37.83
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $245.34 47 $11,530.98
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 11:15am ET $245.77 47 $11,551.19 $11,587.88 +$20.21
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 2:05pm ET $245.09 47 $11,519.23
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:05pm ET $245.54 47 $11,540.61 $11,609.27 +$21.39
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 1:50pm ET $241.90 47 $11,369.07
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 2:45pm ET $242.13 47 $11,380.11 $11,620.32 +$11.05
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 3:35pm ET $242.96 47 $11,419.12
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 10:55am ET $242.73 47 $11,408.31 $11,609.51 $-10.81
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 3:50pm ET $243.41 47 $11,440.27
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $244.10 47 $11,472.47 $11,641.70 +$32.19
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:50am ET $241.38 48 $11,586.24
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:55am ET $241.16 48 $11,575.64 $11,631.10 $-10.60
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 2:35pm ET $236.90 49 $11,607.86
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:05pm ET $237.32 49 $11,628.56 $11,651.80 +$20.70
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $237.18 49 $11,622.06
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:55am ET $237.72 49 $11,648.28 $11,678.02 +$26.22
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $234.55 49 $11,493.19
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 1:25pm ET $235.32 49 $11,530.68 $11,715.51 +$37.49
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $234.58 49 $11,494.42
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $236.76 49 $11,601.24 $11,822.33 +$106.82
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET $239.32 49 $11,726.44
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:50am ET $240.29 49 $11,774.21 $11,870.10 +$47.77
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 2:30pm ET $241.54 49 $11,835.22
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $244.04 49 $11,957.96 $11,992.84 +$122.74
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 1:25pm ET $242.84 49 $11,898.92
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 2:15pm ET $243.32 49 $11,922.92 $12,016.85 +$24.01
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 1:30pm ET $243.43 49 $11,928.07
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 2:20pm ET $243.76 49 $11,944.24 $12,033.02 +$16.17
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $240.19 50 $12,009.50
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $237.80 50 $11,890.00 $11,913.52 $-119.50
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET $235.84 50 $11,792.00
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:05am ET $238.15 50 $11,907.50 $12,029.02 +$115.50
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:25pm ET $243.05 49 $11,909.45
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:25am ET $239.42 49 $11,731.58 $11,851.15 $-177.87
(-1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
21h held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $234.67 50 $11,733.50
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $237.66 50 $11,883.25 $12,000.90 +$149.75
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $237.80 50 $11,890.00
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 1:20pm ET $237.68 50 $11,883.75 $11,994.65 $-6.25
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:40am ET $232.55 51 $11,860.05
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:00am ET $234.14 51 $11,941.14 $12,075.74 +$81.09
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 12:45pm ET $232.46 51 $11,855.46
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $232.82 51 $11,873.82 $12,094.10 +$18.36
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $230.39 52 $11,980.28
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $229.79 52 $11,949.08 $12,062.90 $-31.20
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $225.55 53 $11,954.10
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:10am ET $227.91 53 $12,079.23 $12,188.03 +$125.13
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
66 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:10pm ET $228.97 53 $12,135.41
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 2:10pm ET $227.11 53 $12,036.83 $12,089.45 $-98.58
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
67 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 2:45pm ET $227.04 53 $12,033.12
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $228.26 53 $12,097.52 $12,153.85 +$64.40
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
68 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $228.90 53 $12,131.44
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:10am ET $229.57 53 $12,167.21 $12,189.63 +$35.78
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
69 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $224.41 54 $12,118.41
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:50pm ET $224.60 54 $12,128.40 $12,199.62 +$9.99
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
70 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $225.34 54 $12,168.36
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 11:55am ET $224.67 54 $12,132.19 $12,163.45 $-36.17
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,163.45
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,163.45
Total Return: +21.63%
Back to Professor Mean