Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-20 19:39:38

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

49
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.4/35
Total Return
11.7/25
Win Rate
9.5/15
Profit Factor
4.8/15
Consistency
7.7/10
Raw Quality 49.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 49.0

30-Day Momentum

27
+1.0%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 29.4 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,168
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
129 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,206.06
Current Value
$12,495.04
Period P&L
$1,289.02
Max Drawdown
-5.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
69
Winners / Losers
49 / 20
Best Trade
+1.64%
Worst Trade
-1.68%
Avg Trade Return
+0.16%
Avg Hold Time
7.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,616,960.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,289.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,289.02
Gross Return
+11.50%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 129 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 69 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,206.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET $204.16 54 $11,024.37
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:35am ET $206.44 54 $11,147.49 $11,329.14 +$123.12
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 11:10am ET $207.29 54 $11,193.66
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 1:45pm ET $206.99 54 $11,177.46 $11,312.94 $-16.20
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 3:40pm ET $207.99 54 $11,231.46
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $206.74 54 $11,163.69 $11,245.17 $-67.77
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $206.50 54 $11,151.00
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 11:30am ET $206.81 54 $11,167.74 $11,261.91 +$16.74
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $206.20 54 $11,134.80
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 1:45pm ET $206.42 54 $11,146.68 $11,273.79 +$11.88
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:45am ET $205.35 54 $11,088.90
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 12:45pm ET $205.62 54 $11,103.48 $11,288.37 +$14.58
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:25pm ET $206.35 54 $11,142.90
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:00pm ET $206.72 54 $11,162.88 $11,308.35 +$19.98
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:30am ET $205.26 55 $11,289.31
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:35am ET $204.81 55 $11,264.55 $11,283.59 $-24.76
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 12:30pm ET $216.97 52 $11,282.44
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 1:45pm ET $217.24 52 $11,296.22 $11,297.37 +$13.78
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 11:00am ET $218.85 51 $11,161.10
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 11:25am ET $219.49 51 $11,193.99 $11,330.27 +$32.90
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:50pm ET $217.20 52 $11,294.40
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $217.87 52 $11,328.98 $11,364.85 +$34.58
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:45pm ET $219.06 51 $11,171.81
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $219.39 51 $11,188.89 $11,381.93 +$17.08
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 2:45pm ET $224.37 50 $11,218.50
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 3:35pm ET $224.79 50 $11,239.50 $11,402.93 +$21.00
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 12:05pm ET $227.30 50 $11,365.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 1:05pm ET $227.66 50 $11,383.00 $11,420.93 +$18.00
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $227.09 50 $11,354.25
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 3:30pm ET $227.56 50 $11,378.00 $11,444.68 +$23.75
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:25pm ET $233.40 49 $11,436.60
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 2:20pm ET $234.10 49 $11,470.90 $11,478.98 +$34.30
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:55pm ET $237.32 48 $11,391.36
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:20pm ET $237.88 48 $11,418.00 $11,505.62 +$26.64
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $240.01 47 $11,280.47
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $238.95 47 $11,230.65 $11,455.80 $-49.82
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:30pm ET $239.67 47 $11,264.49
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:40pm ET $239.17 47 $11,240.99 $11,432.30 $-23.50
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET $242.70 47 $11,406.67
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET $243.66 47 $11,452.25 $11,477.89 +$45.59
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 12:00pm ET $244.89 46 $11,264.94
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 12:25pm ET $245.35 46 $11,286.10 $11,499.05 +$21.16
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $242.42 47 $11,393.74
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET $244.85 47 $11,507.95 $11,613.26 +$114.21
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $246.05 47 $11,564.35
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 3:25pm ET $245.88 47 $11,556.59 $11,605.50 $-7.76
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET $244.23 47 $11,478.81
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:30am ET $243.43 47 $11,440.98 $11,567.67 $-37.83
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $245.34 47 $11,530.98
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 11:15am ET $245.77 47 $11,551.19 $11,587.88 +$20.21
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 2:05pm ET $245.09 47 $11,519.23
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:05pm ET $245.54 47 $11,540.61 $11,609.27 +$21.39
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 1:50pm ET $241.90 47 $11,369.07
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 2:45pm ET $242.13 47 $11,380.11 $11,620.32 +$11.05
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 3:35pm ET $242.96 47 $11,419.12
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 10:55am ET $242.73 47 $11,408.31 $11,609.51 $-10.81
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 3:50pm ET $243.41 47 $11,440.27
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $244.10 47 $11,472.47 $11,641.70 +$32.19
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:50am ET $241.38 48 $11,586.24
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:55am ET $241.16 48 $11,575.64 $11,631.10 $-10.60
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 2:35pm ET $236.90 49 $11,607.86
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:05pm ET $237.32 49 $11,628.56 $11,651.80 +$20.70
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $237.18 49 $11,622.06
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:55am ET $237.72 49 $11,648.28 $11,678.02 +$26.22
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $234.55 49 $11,493.19
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 1:25pm ET $235.32 49 $11,530.68 $11,715.51 +$37.49
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
34 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $234.58 49 $11,494.42
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $236.76 49 $11,601.24 $11,822.33 +$106.82
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
35 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET $239.32 49 $11,726.44
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:50am ET $240.29 49 $11,774.21 $11,870.10 +$47.77
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
36 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 2:30pm ET $241.54 49 $11,835.22
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $244.04 49 $11,957.96 $11,992.84 +$122.74
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
37 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 1:25pm ET $242.84 49 $11,898.92
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 2:15pm ET $243.32 49 $11,922.92 $12,016.85 +$24.01
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 1:30pm ET $243.43 49 $11,928.07
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 2:20pm ET $243.76 49 $11,944.24 $12,033.02 +$16.17
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $240.19 50 $12,009.50
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $237.80 50 $11,890.00 $11,913.52 $-119.50
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET $235.84 50 $11,792.00
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:05am ET $238.15 50 $11,907.50 $12,029.02 +$115.50
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:25pm ET $243.05 49 $11,909.45
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:25am ET $239.42 49 $11,731.58 $11,851.15 $-177.87
(-1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
21h held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $234.67 50 $11,733.50
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $237.66 50 $11,883.25 $12,000.90 +$149.75
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
43 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $237.80 50 $11,890.00
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 1:20pm ET $237.68 50 $11,883.75 $11,994.65 $-6.25
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held
44 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:40am ET $232.55 51 $11,860.05
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:00am ET $234.14 51 $11,941.14 $12,075.74 +$81.09
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
45 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 12:45pm ET $232.46 51 $11,855.46
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $232.82 51 $11,873.82 $12,094.10 +$18.36
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
46 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $230.39 52 $11,980.28
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $229.79 52 $11,949.08 $12,062.90 $-31.20
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
47 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $225.55 53 $11,954.10
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:10am ET $227.91 53 $12,079.23 $12,188.03 +$125.13
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
48 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:10pm ET $228.97 53 $12,135.41
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 2:10pm ET $227.11 53 $12,036.83 $12,089.45 $-98.58
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
49 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 2:45pm ET $227.04 53 $12,033.12
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $228.26 53 $12,097.52 $12,153.85 +$64.40
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
50 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $228.90 53 $12,131.44
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:10am ET $229.57 53 $12,167.21 $12,189.63 +$35.78
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
51 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $224.41 54 $12,118.41
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:50pm ET $224.60 54 $12,128.40 $12,199.62 +$9.99
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
52 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $225.34 54 $12,168.36
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 11:55am ET $224.67 54 $12,132.19 $12,163.45 $-36.17
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
53 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $221.91 54 $11,983.14
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $223.19 54 $12,052.26 $12,232.57 +$69.12
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
54 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 3:05pm ET $225.28 54 $12,165.12
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $225.80 54 $12,193.20 $12,260.65 +$28.08
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held
55 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:35am ET $229.50 53 $12,163.50
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:50am ET $231.13 53 $12,249.89 $12,347.04 +$86.39
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
56 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 10:10am ET $229.10 53 $12,142.30
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 12:20pm ET $228.78 53 $12,125.34 $12,330.08 $-16.96
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
57 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:35am ET $229.25 53 $12,150.25
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 12:10pm ET $230.05 53 $12,192.65 $12,372.48 +$42.40
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
58 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $229.70 53 $12,174.10
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 10:00am ET $229.88 53 $12,183.64 $12,382.02 +$9.54
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held
59 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $232.97 53 $12,347.41
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 11:10am ET $230.24 53 $12,202.72 $12,237.33 $-144.69
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
60 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $231.63 52 $12,044.50
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 2:25pm ET $231.87 52 $12,057.24 $12,250.07 +$12.74
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
61 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:40am ET $229.33 53 $12,154.49
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:55pm ET $225.47 53 $11,949.91 $12,045.49 $-204.58
(-1.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5.3h held
62 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $222.45 54 $12,012.03
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:40am ET $223.96 54 $12,094.11 $12,127.57 +$82.08
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
63 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 3:35pm ET $223.51 54 $12,069.54
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $227.18 54 $12,267.72 $12,325.75 +$198.18
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
64 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $232.74 52 $12,102.48
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:35am ET $234.13 52 $12,174.76 $12,398.03 +$72.28
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
65 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:20pm ET $236.99 52 $12,323.22
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $238.79 52 $12,416.82 $12,491.63 +$93.60
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held
66 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:45pm ET $240.33 51 $12,256.83
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $239.66 51 $12,222.66 $12,457.46 $-34.17
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
67 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:45am ET $234.21 53 $12,413.13
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:35am ET $234.30 53 $12,417.90 $12,462.23 +$4.77
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
68 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $233.31 53 $12,365.43
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:10pm ET $232.90 53 $12,343.70 $12,440.50 $-21.73
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
69 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:20pm ET $228.53 54 $12,340.62
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:40pm ET $229.54 54 $12,395.16 $12,495.04 +$54.54
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,495.04
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,495.04
Total Return: +24.95%
Back to Professor Mean