Simulated with $10,000 starting capital

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.6/35
Total Return
8.6/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 31.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 30.6

30-Day Momentum

24
+0.4%
30d Return
69%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 25.2 Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,510
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
123 days
Data Gaps
10 days with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data), 2025-12-01 (no data), 2025-12-02 (no data), 2025-12-03 (no data), 2025-12-04 (no data) ... and 5 more

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,280.69
Current Value
$10,992.74
Period P&L
$712.11
Max Drawdown
-6.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
65
Winners / Losers
44 / 21
Best Trade
+0.96%
Worst Trade
-1.35%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
6.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,366,135.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$712.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$712.11
Gross Return
+6.93%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.93%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 KO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 123 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 65 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,280.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:45am ET $68.07 151 $10,278.57
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:05am ET $68.37 151 $10,323.12 $10,325.19 +$44.55
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $70.21 147 $10,320.87
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 9:35am ET $69.83 147 $10,265.01 $10,269.33 $-55.86
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 3:55pm ET $71.54 143 $10,230.22
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $71.20 143 $10,181.60 $10,220.71 $-48.62
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:40am ET $70.95 144 $10,216.08
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $71.22 144 $10,254.96 $10,259.59 +$38.88
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 11:05am ET $71.00 144 $10,224.00
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 2:20pm ET $71.00 144 $10,224.00 $10,259.59 $0.00
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $72.06 142 $10,232.52
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:35am ET $71.99 142 $10,222.58 $10,249.65 $-9.94
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $69.44 147 $10,206.95
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 11:05am ET $69.77 147 $10,256.20 $10,298.91 +$49.26
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 11:20am ET $70.78 145 $10,262.38
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 1:35pm ET $70.70 145 $10,250.78 $10,287.31 $-11.60
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 3:25pm ET $70.73 145 $10,255.13
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $70.38 145 $10,205.10 $10,237.28 $-50.02
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 10:25am ET $70.38 145 $10,205.10
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 12:45pm ET $70.36 145 $10,201.48 $10,233.66 $-3.62
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:50pm ET $70.30 145 $10,193.50
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $70.10 145 $10,164.50 $10,204.66 $-29.00
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET $69.89 146 $10,203.53
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:10am ET $70.15 146 $10,241.17 $10,242.30 +$37.64
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 10:45am ET $69.97 146 $10,214.89
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 1:20pm ET $69.82 146 $10,193.72 $10,221.13 $-21.17
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 3:25pm ET $70.07 145 $10,160.15
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $69.87 145 $10,131.15 $10,192.13 $-29.00
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $69.91 145 $10,136.95
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 10:05am ET $70.12 145 $10,166.68 $10,221.85 +$29.72
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 12:40pm ET $69.18 147 $10,168.73
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 1:30pm ET $69.24 147 $10,177.55 $10,230.67 +$8.82
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $67.96 150 $10,194.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:35pm ET $68.11 150 $10,216.50 $10,253.17 +$22.50
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET $67.52 151 $10,195.52
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:00am ET $67.60 151 $10,208.28 $10,265.93 +$12.76
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $69.23 148 $10,245.30
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $69.35 148 $10,263.06 $10,283.69 +$17.76
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 11:15am ET $70.46 145 $10,215.98
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 1:10pm ET $70.50 145 $10,221.78 $10,289.49 +$5.80
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:40pm ET $71.34 144 $10,272.96
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $71.17 144 $10,247.76 $10,264.29 $-25.20
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $70.38 145 $10,205.10
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET $70.60 145 $10,236.99 $10,296.18 +$31.89
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $70.20 146 $10,249.20
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:15am ET $70.40 146 $10,277.67 $10,324.65 +$28.47
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:50am ET $71.49 144 $10,293.84
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:15am ET $71.86 144 $10,347.12 $10,377.93 +$53.28
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 11:25am ET $73.00 142 $10,365.29
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 2:05pm ET $72.83 142 $10,341.86 $10,354.50 $-23.43
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:50am ET $73.19 141 $10,319.09
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:30am ET $73.30 141 $10,334.60 $10,370.01 +$15.51
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 12:50pm ET $73.53 141 $10,367.03
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 1:05pm ET $73.75 141 $10,398.05 $10,401.03 +$31.02
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
28 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:45pm ET $76.96 135 $10,388.93
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 3:00pm ET $76.89 135 $10,379.48 $10,391.58 $-9.45
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 3:05pm ET $77.41 134 $10,372.94
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $78.08 134 $10,462.72 $10,481.36 +$89.78
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 12:30pm ET $78.43 133 $10,431.85
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $78.57 133 $10,449.15 $10,498.65 +$17.29
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET $76.68 136 $10,428.13
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:40am ET $76.51 136 $10,405.36 $10,475.88 $-22.77
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 1:50pm ET $78.71 133 $10,467.77
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:20pm ET $78.69 133 $10,465.77 $10,473.89 $-1.99
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 2:15pm ET $78.95 132 $10,421.43
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 2:40pm ET $79.11 132 $10,442.20 $10,494.67 +$20.78
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:45am ET $79.89 131 $10,465.59
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 10:00am ET $80.60 131 $10,558.98 $10,588.06 +$93.39
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 10:00am ET $79.61 132 $10,509.18
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 10:50am ET $80.28 132 $10,597.30 $10,676.18 +$88.12
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 2:55pm ET $80.43 132 $10,616.76
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:10pm ET $80.59 132 $10,637.23 $10,696.65 +$20.47
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
37 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:35am ET $81.10 131 $10,624.65
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 12:20pm ET $80.57 131 $10,554.67 $10,626.67 $-69.98
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
38 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $79.14 134 $10,604.76
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 11:40am ET $78.07 134 $10,461.38 $10,483.29 $-143.38
(-1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
39 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 12:35pm ET $77.10 135 $10,407.83
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $77.31 135 $10,436.85 $10,512.31 +$29.02
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
40 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $76.61 137 $10,496.25
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 10:35am ET $77.03 137 $10,553.11 $10,569.17 +$56.86
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:20pm ET $78.06 135 $10,538.10
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $77.41 135 $10,450.35 $10,481.42 $-87.75
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $77.18 135 $10,419.97
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:00am ET $77.45 135 $10,455.75 $10,517.19 +$35.77
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 3:40pm ET $77.27 136 $10,508.72
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $78.01 136 $10,609.36 $10,617.83 +$100.64
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:40am ET $77.68 136 $10,564.48
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:45am ET $77.92 136 $10,597.12 $10,650.47 +$32.64
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:45am ET $76.28 139 $10,602.23
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 11:05am ET $76.48 139 $10,630.73 $10,678.98 +$28.51
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 1:10pm ET $75.57 141 $10,655.37
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 1:55pm ET $75.85 141 $10,694.85 $10,718.46 +$39.48
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $74.68 143 $10,678.54
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:30pm ET $74.80 143 $10,695.83 $10,735.75 +$17.29
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:35pm ET $75.06 143 $10,733.58
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:00am ET $75.27 143 $10,763.61 $10,765.78 +$30.03
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $75.18 143 $10,750.74
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:50am ET $75.36 143 $10,777.19 $10,792.23 +$26.45
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 3:45pm ET $75.47 143 $10,792.21
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $76.07 143 $10,878.01 $10,878.03 +$85.80
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
51 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:05am ET $75.45 144 $10,864.80
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:35am ET $75.83 144 $10,920.24 $10,933.47 +$55.44
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 1:35pm ET $76.57 142 $10,872.94
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 2:00pm ET $76.70 142 $10,891.40 $10,951.93 +$18.46
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $77.04 142 $10,938.97
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:45pm ET $77.11 142 $10,950.33 $10,963.29 +$11.36
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $75.64 144 $10,892.16
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:45am ET $75.93 144 $10,933.92 $11,005.05 +$41.76
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $77.95 141 $10,990.95
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:10am ET $78.04 141 $11,003.64 $11,017.74 +$12.69
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 11:30am ET $76.04 144 $10,949.76
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 1:05pm ET $76.01 144 $10,945.44 $11,013.42 $-4.32
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $76.19 144 $10,972.08
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $75.47 144 $10,868.40 $10,909.74 $-103.68
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $74.99 145 $10,873.55
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:40am ET $75.35 145 $10,925.03 $10,961.22 +$51.48
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:35pm ET $75.81 144 $10,916.64
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $75.90 144 $10,929.60 $10,974.18 +$12.96
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $74.90 146 $10,935.39
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:45am ET $74.82 146 $10,923.72 $10,962.51 $-11.67
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $76.43 143 $10,929.49
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $76.55 143 $10,946.65 $10,979.67 +$17.16
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $76.28 143 $10,908.04
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $76.53 143 $10,943.08 $11,014.71 +$35.04
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:05pm ET $79.79 138 $11,011.02
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $78.72 138 $10,863.36 $10,867.05 $-147.66
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.5h held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:45am ET $78.67 138 $10,856.46
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $78.82 138 $10,877.85 $10,888.44 +$21.39
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
65 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $77.76 140 $10,886.40
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:00am ET $78.50 140 $10,990.70 $10,992.74 +$104.30
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,992.74
Net Profit/Loss: +$992.74
Total Return: +9.93%
Back to Professor Mean