Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,857
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-08-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
141 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,624.70
Current Value
$8,528.20
Period P&L
$-96.48
Max Drawdown
-24.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
75
Winners / Losers
48 / 27
Best Trade
+1.16%
Worst Trade
-2.77%
Avg Trade Return
-0.01%
Avg Hold Time
6.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,231,805.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-96.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$-96.48
Gross Return
-1.12%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 141 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 75 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $8,624.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2025 3:30pm ET $699.64 12 $8,395.68
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 9:55am ET $702.34 12 $8,428.08 $8,657.09 +$32.40
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 12:45pm ET $707.62 12 $8,491.38
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2025 12:55pm ET $710.20 12 $8,522.40 $8,688.11 +$31.02
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 2:40pm ET $712.00 12 $8,544.00
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 9:30am ET $719.07 12 $8,628.83 $8,772.94 +$84.83
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2025 10:00am ET $708.70 12 $8,504.40
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 1:35pm ET $698.20 12 $8,378.40 $8,646.94 $-126.00
(-1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2025 1:45pm ET $737.19 11 $8,109.09
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $733.99 11 $8,073.89 $8,611.74 $-35.20
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 1:15pm ET $731.00 11 $8,041.00
🔴 SELL Aug 29, 2025 3:00pm ET $730.34 11 $8,033.69 $8,604.42 $-7.31
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2025 9:30am ET $731.74 11 $8,049.14
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2025 9:40am ET $736.08 11 $8,096.88 $8,652.16 +$47.74
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 2:50pm ET $743.34 11 $8,176.74
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET $738.79 11 $8,126.69 $8,602.11 $-50.05
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 9:45am ET $723.03 11 $7,953.33
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2025 10:25am ET $725.95 11 $7,985.40 $8,634.18 +$32.07
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2025 2:00pm ET $747.83 11 $8,226.13
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2025 3:25pm ET $747.53 11 $8,222.78 $8,630.82 $-3.36
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 12:00pm ET $755.32 11 $8,308.47
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2025 12:05pm ET $757.63 11 $8,333.88 $8,656.23 +$25.41
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 12, 2025 2:05pm ET $753.54 11 $8,288.98
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 2:45pm ET $755.86 11 $8,314.46 $8,681.71 +$25.48
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2025 3:10pm ET $764.49 11 $8,409.39
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2025 3:40pm ET $766.45 11 $8,430.95 $8,703.27 +$21.56
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 1:35pm ET $762.33 11 $8,385.63
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 3:20pm ET $761.36 11 $8,374.96 $8,692.60 $-10.67
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 9:30am ET $749.10 11 $8,240.10
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2025 10:00am ET $752.32 11 $8,275.50 $8,728.01 +$35.40
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 11:20am ET $744.51 11 $8,189.61
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 11:45am ET $746.73 11 $8,214.03 $8,752.43 +$24.42
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2025 12:25pm ET $740.47 11 $8,145.17
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2025 12:55pm ET $742.18 11 $8,163.97 $8,771.23 +$18.80
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 1:45pm ET $716.76 12 $8,601.12
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 2:00pm ET $713.06 12 $8,556.72 $8,726.83 $-44.40
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 26, 2025 3:30pm ET $723.32 12 $8,679.86
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 3:50pm ET $725.55 12 $8,706.60 $8,753.57 +$26.74
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
20 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 3:50pm ET $823.01 10 $8,230.10
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 9:30am ET $832.38 10 $8,323.80 $8,847.27 +$93.70
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 1:30pm ET $846.52 10 $8,465.15
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 2:10pm ET $848.44 10 $8,484.40 $8,866.52 +$19.25
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
22 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2025 12:10pm ET $848.86 10 $8,488.55
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2025 12:50pm ET $850.22 10 $8,502.20 $8,880.17 +$13.65
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
23 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:05am ET $852.11 10 $8,521.10
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 3:40pm ET $835.50 10 $8,355.00 $8,714.07 $-166.10
(-1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.6h held
24 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $815.72 10 $8,157.23
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 9:35am ET $811.37 10 $8,113.70 $8,670.55 $-43.52
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
25 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 9:35am ET $823.85 10 $8,238.50
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 9:50am ET $827.52 10 $8,275.20 $8,707.25 +$36.70
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
26 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 12:20pm ET $792.63 10 $7,926.30
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 12:30pm ET $794.61 10 $7,946.05 $8,727.00 +$19.75
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
27 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 1:20pm ET $805.21 10 $8,052.10
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 2:10pm ET $806.50 10 $8,064.95 $8,739.85 +$12.85
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
28 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 1:20pm ET $818.75 10 $8,187.50
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2025 1:45pm ET $819.56 10 $8,195.60 $8,747.95 +$8.10
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
29 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 3:25pm ET $830.91 10 $8,309.10
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET $819.42 10 $8,194.18 $8,633.03 $-114.92
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
30 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 9:35am ET $821.80 10 $8,217.99
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 10:20am ET $822.24 10 $8,222.40 $8,637.44 +$4.41
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
31 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 2:35pm ET $821.93 10 $8,219.25
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 2:40pm ET $819.65 10 $8,196.50 $8,614.69 $-22.75
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
32 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 3:25pm ET $846.19 10 $8,461.90
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 3:50pm ET $841.88 10 $8,418.80 $8,571.59 $-43.10
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
24m held
33 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $886.85 9 $7,981.65
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 10:15am ET $893.59 9 $8,042.31 $8,632.25 +$60.66
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
34 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 1:25pm ET $948.93 9 $8,540.37
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:10am ET $929.66 9 $8,366.94 $8,458.82 $-173.43
(-2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.8h held
35 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 11:55am ET $905.48 9 $8,149.32
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 12:20pm ET $910.75 9 $8,196.71 $8,506.21 +$47.38
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
36 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 1:50pm ET $964.26 8 $7,714.04
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 1:55pm ET $962.59 8 $7,700.72 $8,492.89 $-13.32
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
37 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 1:20pm ET $1,024.85 8 $8,198.80
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 1:25pm ET $1,018.37 8 $8,146.96 $8,441.05 $-51.84
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
38 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 1:40pm ET $1,027.51 8 $8,220.08
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 2:00pm ET $1,029.85 8 $8,238.76 $8,459.73 +$18.68
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
39 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 2:35pm ET $1,023.00 8 $8,184.01
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 3:45pm ET $1,023.20 8 $8,185.60 $8,461.32 +$1.59
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
40 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 3:45pm ET $1,032.84 8 $8,262.72
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET $1,036.05 8 $8,288.40 $8,487.00 +$25.68
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
41 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 10:15am ET $1,045.62 8 $8,364.96
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 10:35am ET $1,053.75 8 $8,430.00 $8,552.04 +$65.04
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
42 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 3:50pm ET $1,058.88 8 $8,471.04
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:35am ET $1,063.83 8 $8,510.65 $8,591.64 +$39.61
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
43 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 10:20am ET $1,103.00 7 $7,721.00
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 10:55am ET $1,108.31 7 $7,758.14 $8,628.78 +$37.14
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
44 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 10:00am ET $1,068.55 8 $8,548.36
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 10:50am ET $1,071.55 8 $8,572.40 $8,652.82 +$24.04
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
45 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 1:15pm ET $1,054.43 8 $8,435.44
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET $1,049.72 8 $8,397.76 $8,615.14 $-37.68
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.3h held
46 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 9:35am ET $1,025.62 8 $8,204.96
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 9:45am ET $1,020.80 8 $8,166.40 $8,576.58 $-38.56
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
47 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 1:10pm ET $1,008.73 8 $8,069.84
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 2:20pm ET $1,010.86 8 $8,086.88 $8,593.62 +$17.04
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
48 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 11:00am ET $993.00 8 $7,944.00
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 9:45am ET $986.08 8 $7,888.64 $8,538.26 $-55.36
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
22.8h held
49 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 11:50am ET $1,015.34 8 $8,122.72
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 1:00pm ET $1,019.91 8 $8,159.24 $8,574.78 +$36.52
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
50 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 9:35am ET $1,049.04 8 $8,392.32
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 9:40am ET $1,044.06 8 $8,352.48 $8,534.94 $-39.84
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
51 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 11:25am ET $1,051.44 8 $8,411.52
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 11:50am ET $1,055.48 8 $8,443.84 $8,567.26 +$32.32
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
52 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 3:45pm ET $1,060.37 8 $8,482.97
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $1,056.87 8 $8,454.96 $8,539.25 $-28.01
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
53 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 10:15am ET $1,065.38 8 $8,523.04
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 12:00pm ET $1,067.84 8 $8,542.72 $8,558.93 +$19.68
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
54 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 2:40pm ET $1,070.99 7 $7,496.90
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 3:35pm ET $1,072.36 7 $7,506.52 $8,568.55 +$9.63
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
55 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 2:45pm ET $1,072.82 7 $7,509.74
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 3:10pm ET $1,074.54 7 $7,521.78 $8,580.59 +$12.04
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
56 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 3:30pm ET $1,083.14 7 $7,581.98
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 3:50pm ET $1,080.22 7 $7,561.54 $8,560.15 $-20.44
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
57 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $1,077.37 7 $7,541.59
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 9:40am ET $1,081.20 7 $7,568.40 $8,586.96 +$26.81
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
58 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:45am ET $1,068.09 8 $8,544.68
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:50am ET $1,058.83 8 $8,470.66 $8,512.94 $-74.02
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
59 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 2:30pm ET $1,097.61 7 $7,683.27
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $1,101.65 7 $7,711.55 $8,541.22 +$28.28
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
60 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:55am ET $1,078.84 7 $7,551.88
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 12:50pm ET $1,081.16 7 $7,568.12 $8,557.46 +$16.24
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
61 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $1,071.58 7 $7,501.06
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:25am ET $1,079.06 7 $7,553.42 $8,609.82 +$52.36
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
62 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 12:30pm ET $1,067.03 8 $8,536.24
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 2:10pm ET $1,066.67 8 $8,533.34 $8,606.92 $-2.90
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
63 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 3:10pm ET $1,029.82 8 $8,238.56
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,032.51 8 $8,260.08 $8,628.44 +$21.52
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
64 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $1,027.33 8 $8,218.64
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:15am ET $1,039.23 8 $8,313.82 $8,723.62 +$95.18
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
65 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:05pm ET $1,069.10 8 $8,552.80
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 2:45pm ET $1,075.30 8 $8,602.40 $8,773.22 +$49.60
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
66 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,087.33 8 $8,698.64
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $1,066.58 8 $8,532.64 $8,607.22 $-166.00
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
67 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $1,056.05 8 $8,448.40
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 10:55am ET $1,062.84 8 $8,502.72 $8,661.54 +$54.32
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
68 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 2:15pm ET $1,048.08 8 $8,384.64
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $1,019.00 8 $8,152.00 $8,428.90 $-232.64
(-2.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
69 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 12:25pm ET $1,024.40 8 $8,195.20
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 1:30pm ET $1,027.73 8 $8,221.88 $8,455.58 +$26.68
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
70 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:30pm ET $1,035.26 8 $8,282.05
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $1,043.67 8 $8,349.36 $8,522.89 +$67.31
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
71 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $1,038.74 8 $8,309.92
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET $1,043.84 8 $8,350.72 $8,563.69 +$40.80
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
72 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:20pm ET $1,090.93 7 $7,636.51
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:40pm ET $1,098.43 7 $7,689.01 $8,616.19 +$52.50
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
73 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 2:10pm ET $1,026.38 8 $8,211.00
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:40pm ET $1,019.78 8 $8,158.24 $8,563.43 $-52.76
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
74 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $1,052.00 8 $8,416.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 1:30pm ET $1,052.60 8 $8,420.80 $8,568.23 +$4.80
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
75 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $1,031.76 8 $8,254.11
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:25am ET $1,026.76 8 $8,214.08 $8,528.20 $-40.03
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,528.20
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,471.80
Total Return: -14.72%
Back to Professor Mean