Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:11:15

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.9/35
Total Return
8.6/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 29.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 29.6

30-Day Momentum

17
+0.1%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.2 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,230
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
126 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,414.34
Current Value
$10,970.48
Period P&L
$556.14
Max Drawdown
-5.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
72
Winners / Losers
45 / 27
Best Trade
+1.36%
Worst Trade
-1.88%
Avg Trade Return
+0.08%
Avg Hold Time
6.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,524,799.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$556.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$556.14
Gross Return
+5.34%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.34%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 126 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 72 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,414.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 3:50pm ET $575.58 18 $10,360.44
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET $577.77 18 $10,399.77 $10,453.65 +$39.33
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 12:50pm ET $579.73 18 $10,435.05
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 10:45am ET $579.84 18 $10,437.12 $10,455.72 +$2.07
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 3:55pm ET $577.89 18 $10,402.02
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $575.56 18 $10,360.08 $10,413.78 $-41.94
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 12:05pm ET $574.05 18 $10,332.90
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 1:30pm ET $573.98 18 $10,331.64 $10,412.52 $-1.26
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 2:50pm ET $572.72 18 $10,308.92
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET $572.56 18 $10,306.08 $10,409.69 $-2.84
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 3:40pm ET $583.22 17 $9,914.66
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 3:45pm ET $582.25 17 $9,898.25 $10,393.28 $-16.41
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 9:35am ET $577.90 17 $9,824.34
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:20am ET $580.01 17 $9,860.17 $10,429.11 +$35.83
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 1:15pm ET $564.34 18 $10,158.03
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 1:45pm ET $565.28 18 $10,174.95 $10,446.03 +$16.92
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 3:20pm ET $543.89 19 $10,333.91
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 3:50pm ET $546.13 19 $10,376.38 $10,488.50 +$42.47
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 11:35am ET $542.42 19 $10,305.98
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 1:30pm ET $541.44 19 $10,287.36 $10,469.88 $-18.62
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $541.12 19 $10,281.28
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $542.35 19 $10,304.65 $10,493.25 +$23.37
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:10am ET $529.94 19 $10,068.86
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $526.36 19 $10,000.76 $10,425.15 $-68.10
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:45am ET $526.57 19 $10,004.74
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 11:05am ET $527.72 19 $10,026.68 $10,447.10 +$21.94
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 11:55am ET $523.68 19 $9,949.92
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 1:10pm ET $524.41 19 $9,963.79 $10,460.97 +$13.87
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:00pm ET $521.92 20 $10,438.30
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $522.52 20 $10,450.30 $10,472.97 +$12.00
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $538.96 19 $10,240.24
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:10am ET $541.78 19 $10,293.88 $10,526.61 +$53.64
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET $553.29 19 $10,512.51
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:45am ET $555.32 19 $10,551.08 $10,565.18 +$38.57
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 12:35pm ET $550.47 19 $10,458.93
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $552.96 19 $10,506.24 $10,612.49 +$47.31
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET $541.28 19 $10,284.32
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:50am ET $537.54 19 $10,213.26 $10,541.43 $-71.06
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:15pm ET $541.59 19 $10,290.21
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $541.46 19 $10,287.74 $10,538.96 $-2.47
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $516.00 20 $10,320.00
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET $523.01 20 $10,460.20 $10,679.16 +$140.20
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 3:15pm ET $528.84 20 $10,576.80
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $524.51 20 $10,490.10 $10,592.46 $-86.70
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 12:10pm ET $520.66 20 $10,413.20
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 12:30pm ET $521.51 20 $10,430.20 $10,609.46 +$17.00
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 1:15pm ET $503.52 21 $10,574.02
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 3:35pm ET $494.04 21 $10,374.84 $10,410.28 $-199.18
(-1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 11:55am ET $511.94 20 $10,238.80
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 1:05pm ET $512.17 20 $10,243.40 $10,414.88 +$4.60
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $509.87 20 $10,197.40
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:45am ET $515.40 20 $10,307.90 $10,525.38 +$110.50
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:45am ET $516.33 20 $10,326.60
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:40am ET $518.49 20 $10,369.80 $10,568.58 +$43.20
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $520.90 20 $10,418.00
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:35am ET $524.02 20 $10,480.40 $10,630.98 +$62.40
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
29 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:40am ET $516.60 20 $10,332.00
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 10:25am ET $519.01 20 $10,380.10 $10,679.08 +$48.10
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
30 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 11:10am ET $509.51 20 $10,190.10
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 12:15pm ET $512.04 20 $10,240.90 $10,729.88 +$50.80
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $514.36 20 $10,287.30
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $515.58 20 $10,311.60 $10,754.18 +$24.30
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $501.69 21 $10,535.49
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:10am ET $505.02 21 $10,605.52 $10,824.21 +$70.03
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET $496.21 21 $10,420.51
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 2:10pm ET $497.82 21 $10,454.12 $10,857.81 +$33.60
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
34 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $509.95 21 $10,708.96
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 1:10pm ET $510.43 21 $10,718.98 $10,867.83 +$10.02
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
35 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $488.41 22 $10,745.02
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $491.89 22 $10,821.58 $10,944.39 +$76.56
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
36 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $496.95 22 $10,932.90
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $498.05 22 $10,957.10 $10,968.59 +$24.20
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
37 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $497.10 22 $10,936.09
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:55am ET $496.80 22 $10,929.71 $10,962.21 $-6.38
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
38 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET $495.68 22 $10,904.96
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:30am ET $499.51 22 $10,989.11 $11,046.36 +$84.15
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
39 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 1:15pm ET $500.34 22 $11,007.48
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 2:10pm ET $500.86 22 $11,018.92 $11,057.80 +$11.44
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
40 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $482.78 22 $10,621.16
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $488.45 22 $10,745.79 $11,182.43 +$124.63
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET $496.21 22 $10,916.62
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:35am ET $494.56 22 $10,880.32 $11,146.13 $-36.30
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $499.24 22 $10,983.28
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:50am ET $501.63 22 $11,035.82 $11,198.67 +$52.54
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
43 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $509.48 21 $10,699.08
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $509.46 21 $10,698.66 $11,198.25 $-0.42
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
44 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $501.01 22 $11,022.22
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $497.74 22 $10,950.28 $11,126.31 $-71.94
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held
45 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:50pm ET $511.98 21 $10,751.58
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:20pm ET $511.29 21 $10,737.09 $11,111.82 $-14.49
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
46 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:05am ET $518.81 21 $10,894.95
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:00am ET $519.47 21 $10,908.91 $11,125.78 +$13.96
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
47 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:35pm ET $523.32 21 $10,989.62
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET $523.15 21 $10,986.15 $11,122.32 $-3.46
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
48 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 12:15pm ET $511.84 21 $10,748.64
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:35pm ET $512.17 21 $10,755.57 $11,129.25 +$6.93
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
49 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:45am ET $504.57 22 $11,100.54
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 12:15pm ET $502.49 22 $11,054.89 $11,083.60 $-45.65
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
50 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $501.69 22 $11,037.18
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $505.82 22 $11,128.04 $11,174.46 +$90.86
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
51 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:20pm ET $513.77 21 $10,789.17
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 1:45pm ET $512.65 21 $10,765.65 $11,150.94 $-23.52
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $513.96 21 $10,793.16
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:45am ET $507.56 21 $10,658.76 $11,016.54 $-134.40
(-1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
53 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $495.01 22 $10,890.22
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:10pm ET $495.01 22 $10,890.22 $11,016.54 $0.00
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
54 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $500.37 22 $11,008.14
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:50am ET $502.39 22 $11,052.58 $11,060.98 +$44.44
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
55 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $498.93 22 $10,976.46
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 11:00am ET $494.22 22 $10,872.80 $10,957.32 $-103.66
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
56 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 2:55pm ET $498.06 22 $10,957.32
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 3:20pm ET $499.00 22 $10,978.00 $10,978.00 +$20.68
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
57 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $495.40 22 $10,898.80
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 12:30pm ET $492.93 22 $10,844.46 $10,923.66 $-54.34
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3h held
58 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 1:55pm ET $489.39 22 $10,766.58
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 3:10pm ET $489.59 22 $10,770.98 $10,928.06 +$4.40
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
59 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $490.95 22 $10,800.90
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:40am ET $493.61 22 $10,859.42 $10,986.58 +$58.52
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
60 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $494.63 22 $10,881.86
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 11:35am ET $493.39 22 $10,854.58 $10,959.30 $-27.28
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
61 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $499.41 21 $10,487.61
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $500.35 21 $10,507.35 $10,979.04 +$19.74
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held
62 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $494.36 22 $10,875.92
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 11:05am ET $493.94 22 $10,866.68 $10,969.80 $-9.24
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
63 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $493.05 22 $10,847.21
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 1:10pm ET $488.65 22 $10,750.30 $10,872.89 $-96.91
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7h held
64 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $494.21 22 $10,872.62
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:00am ET $494.67 22 $10,882.63 $10,882.90 +$10.01
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
65 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:40am ET $481.82 22 $10,600.04
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 1:20pm ET $482.42 22 $10,613.24 $10,896.10 +$13.20
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
66 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:55am ET $483.00 22 $10,626.00
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 2:20pm ET $480.11 22 $10,562.53 $10,832.63 $-63.47
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
67 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $487.95 22 $10,735.01
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 11:00am ET $488.64 22 $10,750.08 $10,847.70 +$15.07
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
68 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET $492.43 22 $10,833.46
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:55am ET $496.35 22 $10,919.59 $10,933.83 +$86.13
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
69 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 10:10am ET $487.48 22 $10,724.56
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 11:55am ET $486.24 22 $10,697.28 $10,906.55 $-27.28
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
70 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:10pm ET $487.19 22 $10,718.19
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:10pm ET $488.27 22 $10,741.83 $10,930.19 +$23.64
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
71 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 1:45pm ET $497.18 21 $10,440.78
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 2:15pm ET $499.13 21 $10,481.73 $10,971.14 +$40.95
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
72 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $493.72 22 $10,861.84
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 10:10am ET $493.69 22 $10,861.18 $10,970.48 $-0.66
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,970.48
Net Profit/Loss: +$970.48
Total Return: +9.70%
Back to Professor Mean