Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:12:38

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.6 overbought
20d Trend
+5.3%
5d Trend
+2.7%
EMA20 Dist
+2.8%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

48
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
18.8/35
Total Return
12.0/25
Win Rate
6.9/15
Profit Factor
4.8/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 48.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 48.1

30-Day Momentum

14
-0.2%
30d Return
54%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.2 Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-34 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,899
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,317.73
Current Value
$12,686.02
Period P&L
$368.31
Max Drawdown
-4.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
71
Winners / Losers
39 / 32
Best Trade
+1.10%
Worst Trade
-1.32%
Avg Trade Return
+0.04%
Avg Hold Time
7.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,737,816.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$368.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$368.31
Gross Return
+2.99%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.99%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 71 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,317.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 2:40pm ET $299.06 41 $12,261.46
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $301.70 41 $12,369.50 $12,425.76 +$108.04
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $299.03 41 $12,260.03
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 10:50am ET $298.33 41 $12,231.53 $12,397.27 $-28.49
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 1:25pm ET $307.35 40 $12,294.00
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 2:30pm ET $306.96 40 $12,278.50 $12,381.77 $-15.50
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 2:30pm ET $307.50 40 $12,299.80
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $310.00 40 $12,400.00 $12,481.97 +$100.20
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 11:10am ET $304.64 40 $12,185.60
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 11:55am ET $305.23 40 $12,209.20 $12,505.57 +$23.60
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 2:20pm ET $305.60 40 $12,223.80
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 11:20am ET $303.05 40 $12,122.00 $12,403.77 $-101.80
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
21h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $308.00 40 $12,320.00
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 10:45am ET $308.36 40 $12,334.40 $12,418.17 +$14.40
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 1:25pm ET $309.07 40 $12,362.80
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 2:30pm ET $309.08 40 $12,363.35 $12,418.71 +$0.55
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 3:20pm ET $311.08 39 $12,131.93
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 3:40pm ET $311.68 39 $12,155.52 $12,442.31 +$23.60
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 1:55pm ET $305.23 40 $12,209.00
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET $301.98 40 $12,079.20 $12,312.51 $-129.80
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 11:30am ET $308.13 39 $12,017.07
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 12:45pm ET $308.19 39 $12,019.22 $12,314.65 +$2.15
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 3:50pm ET $310.72 39 $12,118.08
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 9:45am ET $311.67 39 $12,154.94 $12,351.51 +$36.85
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 12:45pm ET $308.52 40 $12,340.80
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 1:25pm ET $309.42 40 $12,376.80 $12,387.51 +$36.00
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 1:25pm ET $311.06 39 $12,131.34
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $310.82 39 $12,121.98 $12,378.14 $-9.36
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 11:10am ET $316.46 39 $12,341.94
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 1:00pm ET $316.33 39 $12,336.87 $12,373.07 $-5.07
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 2:00pm ET $314.97 39 $12,283.64
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 2:35pm ET $315.68 39 $12,311.62 $12,401.05 +$27.98
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 3:50pm ET $320.34 38 $12,172.73
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $319.75 38 $12,150.50 $12,378.82 $-22.23
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $315.85 39 $12,318.15
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $314.57 39 $12,268.42 $12,329.09 $-49.73
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET $311.75 39 $12,158.06
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 9:35am ET $311.18 39 $12,135.83 $12,306.86 $-22.23
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 12:30pm ET $310.36 39 $12,104.04
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 2:10pm ET $310.23 39 $12,098.97 $12,301.79 $-5.07
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $306.85 40 $12,274.00
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 11:10am ET $307.36 40 $12,294.41 $12,322.20 +$20.41
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
22 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 3:00pm ET $306.21 40 $12,248.20
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $302.95 40 $12,117.80 $12,191.80 $-130.40
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $301.21 40 $12,048.40
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 11:20am ET $301.16 40 $12,046.40 $12,189.80 $-2.00
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 1:40pm ET $303.25 40 $12,130.00
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 3:20pm ET $302.98 40 $12,119.20 $12,179.00 $-10.80
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET $303.51 40 $12,140.20
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:45am ET $304.92 40 $12,196.80 $12,235.60 +$56.60
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 9:45am ET $306.71 39 $11,961.69
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 11:20am ET $306.06 39 $11,936.27 $12,210.19 $-25.42
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 1:40pm ET $306.46 39 $11,951.94
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 3:45pm ET $306.46 39 $11,951.94 $12,210.19 $0.00
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 1:25pm ET $307.01 39 $11,973.39
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $306.69 39 $11,960.91 $12,197.71 $-12.48
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET $306.92 39 $11,970.06
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 11:15am ET $306.59 39 $11,956.82 $12,184.47 $-13.24
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $304.54 40 $12,181.60
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:40pm ET $303.85 40 $12,153.80 $12,156.67 $-27.80
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $306.15 39 $11,939.66
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $306.03 39 $11,935.17 $12,152.18 $-4.49
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 11:10am ET $311.47 39 $12,147.33
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 12:50pm ET $311.18 39 $12,136.02 $12,140.87 $-11.31
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:40pm ET $313.57 38 $11,915.66
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $314.14 38 $11,937.32 $12,162.53 +$21.66
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
34 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 12:55pm ET $315.73 38 $11,997.74
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 1:20pm ET $316.48 38 $12,026.24 $12,191.03 +$28.50
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 12:40pm ET $316.95 38 $12,044.29
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 1:45pm ET $316.78 38 $12,037.64 $12,184.38 $-6.65
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:55pm ET $319.94 38 $12,157.72
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 3:05pm ET $320.18 38 $12,166.84 $12,193.50 +$9.12
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $322.20 37 $11,921.58
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:45am ET $324.10 37 $11,991.70 $12,263.62 +$70.12
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET $323.82 37 $11,981.16
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:25am ET $325.90 37 $12,058.48 $12,340.95 +$77.33
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:20pm ET $326.62 37 $12,084.94
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $323.12 37 $11,955.44 $12,211.45 $-129.50
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 9:40am ET $325.01 37 $12,025.37
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 10:10am ET $327.20 37 $12,106.40 $12,292.48 +$81.03
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 3:00pm ET $329.41 37 $12,188.17
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 9:50am ET $329.29 37 $12,183.73 $12,288.04 $-4.44
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 3:35pm ET $334.30 36 $12,034.62
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET $335.18 36 $12,066.66 $12,320.08 +$32.04
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
43 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:35am ET $332.26 37 $12,293.44
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 10:30am ET $332.23 37 $12,292.33 $12,318.97 $-1.11
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
44 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $334.24 36 $12,032.82
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $337.92 36 $12,165.12 $12,451.27 +$132.30
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:45am ET $338.35 36 $12,180.60
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 1:30pm ET $336.14 36 $12,100.86 $12,371.53 $-79.74
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 2:00pm ET $330.71 37 $12,236.27
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 2:55pm ET $330.97 37 $12,245.89 $12,381.15 +$9.62
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $323.82 38 $12,305.07
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 10:55am ET $324.30 38 $12,323.40 $12,399.48 +$18.33
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:20pm ET $326.81 37 $12,091.97
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:00pm ET $328.43 37 $12,151.91 $12,459.42 +$59.94
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $323.25 38 $12,283.50
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:50am ET $325.57 38 $12,371.66 $12,547.58 +$88.16
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 12:45pm ET $324.50 38 $12,331.00
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 12:55pm ET $325.59 38 $12,372.42 $12,589.00 +$41.42
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:40pm ET $327.86 38 $12,458.68
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $327.36 38 $12,439.87 $12,570.19 $-18.81
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 3:20pm ET $316.46 39 $12,341.94
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 1:55pm ET $312.27 39 $12,178.53 $12,406.78 $-163.41
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
22.6h held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 3:40pm ET $309.31 40 $12,372.40
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $310.18 40 $12,407.40 $12,441.78 +$35.00
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $306.27 40 $12,251.00
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:10am ET $309.36 40 $12,374.60 $12,565.38 +$123.60
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 2:50pm ET $311.96 40 $12,478.40
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:50am ET $312.27 40 $12,491.00 $12,577.98 +$12.60
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19h held
56 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:30am ET $307.18 40 $12,287.40
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 11:00am ET $308.83 40 $12,353.40 $12,643.98 +$66.00
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
57 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:50pm ET $309.17 40 $12,367.00
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 2:20pm ET $309.84 40 $12,393.60 $12,670.58 +$26.60
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET $306.44 41 $12,564.04
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:50am ET $307.52 41 $12,608.52 $12,715.06 +$44.48
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $306.50 41 $12,566.50
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $307.25 41 $12,597.25 $12,745.81 +$30.75
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $308.78 41 $12,659.98
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 12:20pm ET $306.53 41 $12,567.53 $12,653.36 $-92.45
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:40pm ET $310.50 40 $12,420.00
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:10pm ET $310.81 40 $12,432.40 $12,665.76 +$12.40
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:25pm ET $305.25 41 $12,515.25
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:15am ET $304.82 41 $12,497.42 $12,647.93 $-17.83
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET $305.43 41 $12,522.63
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:50am ET $306.28 41 $12,557.48 $12,682.78 +$34.85
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:45am ET $310.71 40 $12,428.40
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 11:45am ET $309.11 40 $12,364.20 $12,618.58 $-64.20
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 12:55pm ET $302.90 41 $12,418.90
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 2:35pm ET $302.37 41 $12,397.17 $12,596.85 $-21.73
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
66 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:35pm ET $300.07 41 $12,302.87
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $302.67 41 $12,409.47 $12,703.45 +$106.60
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
67 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $302.47 41 $12,401.27
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $300.32 41 $12,313.12 $12,615.30 $-88.15
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
68 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $294.11 42 $12,352.80
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 1:00pm ET $294.46 42 $12,367.32 $12,629.82 +$14.52
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
69 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 2:05pm ET $292.79 43 $12,589.97
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:50pm ET $291.76 43 $12,545.68 $12,585.53 $-44.29
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
70 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:15pm ET $287.45 43 $12,360.35
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $287.72 43 $12,371.96 $12,597.14 +$11.61
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
71 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:40am ET $283.13 44 $12,457.50
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:00am ET $285.14 44 $12,546.38 $12,686.02 +$88.88
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,686.02
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,686.02
Total Return: +26.86%
Back to Professor Mean