Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,977
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-08-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
139 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,046.82
Current Value
$11,846.33
Period P&L
$1,799.51
Max Drawdown
-8.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.42

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
78
Winners / Losers
58 / 20
Best Trade
+2.71%
Worst Trade
-1.05%
Avg Trade Return
+0.21%
Avg Hold Time
4.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,683,480.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,799.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,799.51
Gross Return
+17.91%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.91%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 139 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 78 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,046.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 12:20pm ET $82.84 121 $10,023.64
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2025 1:45pm ET $82.66 121 $10,001.86 $10,025.03 $-21.78
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2025 3:15pm ET $84.31 118 $9,947.99
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 9:35am ET $84.50 118 $9,971.00 $10,048.04 +$23.01
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 3:20pm ET $85.12 118 $10,044.16
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 9:30am ET $85.31 118 $10,066.58 $10,070.46 +$22.42
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 2:25pm ET $86.65 116 $10,051.40
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 9:30am ET $87.20 116 $10,115.20 $10,134.26 +$63.80
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2025 9:40am ET $86.77 116 $10,065.32
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 9:45am ET $86.22 116 $10,001.52 $10,070.46 $-63.80
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2025 9:55am ET $85.17 118 $10,050.06
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2025 10:10am ET $85.38 118 $10,074.84 $10,095.24 +$24.78
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2025 10:15am ET $84.62 119 $10,069.19
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2025 12:10pm ET $84.11 119 $10,008.50 $10,034.55 $-60.69
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2025 1:20pm ET $82.91 121 $10,032.11
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2025 1:45pm ET $83.05 121 $10,048.45 $10,050.89 +$16.34
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2025 11:25am ET $84.68 118 $9,992.24
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2025 11:30am ET $84.47 118 $9,967.46 $10,026.11 $-24.78
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 12:05pm ET $83.30 120 $9,995.40
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2025 1:10pm ET $83.38 120 $10,005.60 $10,036.31 +$10.20
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 3:25pm ET $84.30 119 $10,031.70
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 3:50pm ET $84.55 119 $10,061.45 $10,066.06 +$29.75
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET $83.98 119 $9,993.62
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 11:35am ET $83.99 119 $9,994.81 $10,067.25 +$1.19
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 12:45pm ET $85.10 118 $10,041.80
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2025 2:05pm ET $85.06 118 $10,036.49 $10,061.94 $-5.31
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 12, 2025 2:25pm ET $83.26 120 $9,991.60
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 2:35pm ET $83.42 120 $10,010.40 $10,080.74 +$18.80
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2025 9:45am ET $80.97 124 $10,040.28
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2025 11:15am ET $80.90 124 $10,031.60 $10,072.06 $-8.68
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 12:05pm ET $81.81 123 $10,062.63
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2025 1:50pm ET $81.67 123 $10,045.41 $10,054.84 $-17.22
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 3:15pm ET $81.35 123 $10,005.44
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 3:50pm ET $81.65 123 $10,042.95 $10,092.36 +$37.52
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 9:35am ET $81.15 124 $10,062.60
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2025 9:55am ET $81.49 124 $10,104.76 $10,134.52 +$42.16
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 12:40pm ET $80.13 126 $10,096.38
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 1:35pm ET $80.26 126 $10,112.13 $10,150.27 +$15.75
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2025 1:50pm ET $79.61 127 $10,109.84
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2025 2:30pm ET $79.67 127 $10,117.46 $10,157.89 +$7.62
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 3:55pm ET $77.60 130 $10,088.00
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 9:30am ET $78.19 130 $10,164.70 $10,234.59 +$76.70
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 29, 2025 9:30am ET $78.25 130 $10,172.50
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 9:55am ET $78.38 130 $10,189.47 $10,251.55 +$16.96
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
23 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 3:45pm ET $90.10 113 $10,180.74
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 9:30am ET $90.78 113 $10,258.42 $10,329.24 +$77.69
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 9:35am ET $88.28 117 $10,328.76
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 10:05am ET $88.99 117 $10,411.67 $10,412.14 +$82.91
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
25 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 1:00pm ET $88.93 117 $10,404.97
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 2:45pm ET $88.84 117 $10,394.57 $10,401.74 $-10.40
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2025 10:15am ET $87.13 119 $10,368.47
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2025 12:05pm ET $87.07 119 $10,361.33 $10,394.60 $-7.14
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Oct 9, 2025 3:20pm ET $87.29 119 $10,386.92
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $87.48 119 $10,410.12 $10,417.81 +$23.21
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
28 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 9:45am ET $85.55 121 $10,351.55
🔴 SELL Oct 13, 2025 10:45am ET $86.03 121 $10,409.79 $10,476.04 +$58.24
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
29 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 11:25am ET $84.49 123 $10,391.66
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 12:15pm ET $84.74 123 $10,423.02 $10,507.41 +$31.36
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
30 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 3:35pm ET $84.13 124 $10,431.50
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 9:40am ET $84.31 124 $10,454.44 $10,530.35 +$22.94
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held
31 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 10:25am ET $83.43 126 $10,512.51
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 11:20am ET $83.81 126 $10,559.86 $10,577.70 +$47.35
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
32 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 2:35pm ET $86.55 122 $10,558.49
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 9:30am ET $86.68 122 $10,574.96 $10,594.17 +$16.47
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.9h held
33 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 12:55pm ET $88.30 119 $10,507.11
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 2:25pm ET $88.35 119 $10,513.06 $10,600.12 +$5.95
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
34 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 2:25pm ET $86.99 121 $10,525.19
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2025 2:35pm ET $87.21 121 $10,551.81 $10,626.74 +$26.62
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
35 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 3:45pm ET $87.35 121 $10,569.35
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 3:50pm ET $87.63 121 $10,603.23 $10,660.62 +$33.88
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
36 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 9:30am ET $87.58 121 $10,597.18
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 9:40am ET $87.34 121 $10,568.14 $10,631.58 $-29.04
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
37 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 2:35pm ET $86.43 123 $10,630.89
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 3:40pm ET $86.57 123 $10,648.11 $10,648.80 +$17.22
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
38 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 11:05am ET $84.65 125 $10,581.25
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 11:45am ET $85.19 125 $10,648.13 $10,715.68 +$66.87
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
39 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 2:55pm ET $82.91 129 $10,695.39
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $83.18 129 $10,730.22 $10,750.51 +$34.83
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held
40 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 12:50pm ET $85.73 125 $10,716.25
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 2:00pm ET $85.80 125 $10,725.00 $10,759.26 +$8.75
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
41 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 3:15pm ET $91.28 117 $10,679.18
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 3:40pm ET $91.59 117 $10,716.03 $10,796.11 +$36.85
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
42 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $92.19 117 $10,786.24
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:35am ET $91.80 117 $10,740.60 $10,750.47 $-45.64
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
43 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:45am ET $92.70 115 $10,660.51
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 10:15am ET $93.74 115 $10,780.03 $10,869.99 +$119.52
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
44 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET $96.25 112 $10,780.00
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 9:55am ET $96.62 112 $10,820.88 $10,910.87 +$40.88
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
45 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 10:45am ET $94.57 115 $10,875.55
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:05am ET $95.04 115 $10,929.03 $10,964.34 +$53.48
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
46 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 2:30pm ET $98.72 111 $10,957.37
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $100.52 111 $11,157.72 $11,164.70 +$200.35
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
47 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 1:15pm ET $104.27 107 $11,156.89
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 1:30pm ET $104.71 107 $11,203.96 $11,211.77 +$47.07
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
48 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 1:40pm ET $105.18 106 $11,148.55
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 3:40pm ET $105.12 106 $11,142.72 $11,205.94 $-5.83
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
49 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 12:15pm ET $102.47 109 $11,169.23
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 1:15pm ET $102.58 109 $11,181.22 $11,217.93 +$11.99
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
50 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 3:50pm ET $102.49 109 $11,171.41
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $102.31 109 $11,151.79 $11,198.31 $-19.62
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
51 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 1:10pm ET $99.37 112 $11,128.88
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 1:30pm ET $99.92 112 $11,191.04 $11,260.47 +$62.16
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
52 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 2:45pm ET $98.76 114 $11,258.07
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 3:10pm ET $98.96 114 $11,281.44 $11,283.84 +$23.37
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
53 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 9:40am ET $96.56 116 $11,200.96
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 9:55am ET $97.31 116 $11,288.19 $11,371.07 +$87.23
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
54 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 1:45pm ET $98.62 115 $11,341.30
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 2:40pm ET $98.81 115 $11,363.15 $11,392.92 +$21.85
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
55 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 1:00pm ET $99.11 114 $11,298.54
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 1:55pm ET $99.47 114 $11,339.58 $11,433.96 +$41.04
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held
56 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 9:35am ET $100.24 114 $11,427.36
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 10:10am ET $101.12 114 $11,527.11 $11,533.71 +$99.75
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
57 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 1:15pm ET $104.53 110 $11,498.30
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 1:20pm ET $104.69 110 $11,515.79 $11,551.20 +$17.49
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
58 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 10:45am ET $106.18 108 $11,466.90
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 12:35pm ET $106.25 108 $11,475.00 $11,559.30 +$8.10
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
59 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 3:55pm ET $106.66 108 $11,519.28
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $106.19 108 $11,469.03 $11,509.05 $-50.25
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
60 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $105.33 109 $11,480.97
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 11:35am ET $105.60 109 $11,510.40 $11,538.48 +$29.43
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
61 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:35pm ET $106.61 108 $11,513.88
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 1:45pm ET $106.96 108 $11,551.68 $11,576.28 +$37.80
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
62 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 1:55pm ET $108.58 106 $11,509.48
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 2:05pm ET $108.98 106 $11,551.88 $11,618.68 +$42.40
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
63 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $110.19 105 $11,569.43
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:20pm ET $109.82 105 $11,531.10 $11,580.35 $-38.33
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
64 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $109.72 105 $11,520.08
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:40am ET $110.48 105 $11,600.40 $11,660.68 +$80.33
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
65 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 12:00pm ET $107.86 108 $11,648.88
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 1:25pm ET $108.01 108 $11,665.08 $11,676.88 +$16.20
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
66 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:35am ET $109.68 106 $11,626.08
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET $109.11 106 $11,565.13 $11,615.93 $-60.95
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
67 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET $109.23 106 $11,578.37
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 12:15pm ET $109.17 106 $11,572.02 $11,609.58 $-6.35
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
68 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 12:50pm ET $108.41 107 $11,599.34
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:10pm ET $108.68 107 $11,628.76 $11,639.00 +$29.43
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
69 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET $110.28 105 $11,579.40
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:00pm ET $109.12 105 $11,457.60 $11,517.20 $-121.80
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.4h held
70 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:35am ET $107.87 106 $11,434.22
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 11:50am ET $107.33 106 $11,376.72 $11,459.70 $-57.51
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
71 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:45pm ET $107.34 106 $11,378.04
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 1:10pm ET $107.63 106 $11,408.78 $11,490.44 +$30.74
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
72 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 1:50pm ET $106.51 107 $11,396.57
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 3:10pm ET $106.55 107 $11,400.85 $11,494.72 +$4.28
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
73 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 3:30pm ET $109.16 105 $11,461.80
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:35am ET $109.43 105 $11,490.15 $11,523.07 +$28.35
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held
74 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:30pm ET $112.40 102 $11,464.80
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 1:40pm ET $112.57 102 $11,482.65 $11,540.92 +$17.85
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
75 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:40pm ET $115.69 99 $11,453.31
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $118.82 99 $11,763.67 $11,851.28 +$310.36
(+2.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
76 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:35am ET $121.16 97 $11,752.52
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 12:35pm ET $121.58 97 $11,793.74 $11,892.51 +$41.22
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
77 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $119.69 99 $11,849.31
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET $119.04 99 $11,785.45 $11,828.65 $-63.86
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
78 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:55am ET $116.76 101 $11,793.26
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:15am ET $116.94 101 $11,810.94 $11,846.33 +$17.68
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,846.33
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,846.33
Total Return: +18.46%
Back to Professor Mean